Strange Spurs Line...

[Its Gravy]

Moneyline at sbook

Spurs +110
Mavs -130

Pts Spurs +2 (-115)
Mavs -2 (-105)
why would they pay +110 on spurs moneyline, yet +2 is -115, at +2 u almost expect them to win the game, which I do.

 

[Happy Hippo]

if you want to bet the spurs (but didn't you already bet them Gravy?), personally i would take the points - 4 of the last 10 games vs the Mavs have been decided by 3 points or less :scared - the spurs won 3 out of 4 of these close matchups, but dallas won the last one and they have three of the best fourth quarter closers in the league - dirk, harris, terry (i'll try to find the stats for this)....

 

[Happy Hippo]

couldn't find those stats for dirk harris & terry (an article i read a long time ago and should have printed it out...) but dallas is the BEST fourth quarter team in the league, winning the fourth quarter 60% of the time...so if this one is close the spurs could be in trouble...

 

[SpursDynasty]

couldn't find those stats for dirk harris & terry (an article i read a long time ago and should have printed it out...) but dallas is the BEST fourth quarter team in the league, winning the fourth quarter 60% of the time...so if this one is close the spurs could be in trouble...

They are both great 4rth quarter teams.

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

Agreed Gravy... any Spurs backer should be on the money line... GL...

 

[gman2]

normally i would agree. but 2 of the 3 games in this series have seen the home team win the game but not cover a 2 or 3 point spread.

 

[WayneWonder]

Click here for 4th quarter leaders in scoring and other categories.

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

Assuming you bet to win $1,000...

To bet on the moneyline (+110), you are going to risk $909, wheras if you take the 2 points (-115) you are going to risk $1,115, which is a differance of $206.

So you are going to risk more than 20% of your wager for 2 measly points?

Put another way, if you think there is a 20% chance or more that this game ends in a Maverick win by either exactly 1 point or 2 points, take the points. Everyone else, take the moneyline...

Surprised to see you, Gman, of anyone not following this line of thinking... You are my partner in crime in selling back points.

 

[gman2]

i never said i would take the (+2) at (-115). i was just pointing out that 2 of the 3 games have been home wins, but non-covers of very short spreads. if im playing the dog in this spot, its on the moneyline regardless. but im not touching this one.

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

Ah, I see... Sorry, bud... misunderstood...

Thought you were advocating taking the points (as opposed to the ML), which shocked me.