Friday Plays

[CherryPicker]

Playing some line moves here, going small to test this out so tread lightly if you are thinking about tailing.

PIT +123 (Houston best line @ Pinny)
BAL +131 (LAA best line @ Pinny)
DET -136 (Cleveland best line @ Pinny)
CHC +104 (Atlanta best line @ Sportsbook)
CIN +130 (Arizona best line @ Sportsbook)
LAD -116 (Washington best line @ WSEX)
MIL -110 (Philadelphia best line @ WSEX)

My two big side plays are:

TEX -131 (Decent money coming in at Pinny and I will continue to fade the A's who win and lose in streaks, also like this kid Koronka and the Rangers lineup IMO strongest in the league right now)
SFO -151 (Heavy money coming in at Pinny on the Giants, Schmidt as tough as they come at home and Rockies may not be the road warriors everyone though first quarter of season)

Some ripe overs:

FLA O7.5 (Big Over park, Pedro L3 starts 3-0 O/U with total set at this number, both teams can hit and both have questionable pens, I am not sold on Wagner and we know FLA's issues)
CIN O9.5 (Both pitchers 3-0 O/U L3 starts, CIN hitting .304 vs. RHP L10 and Zona hitting .314 vs. LHP L10, bullpens are questionable, also think Webb is due for a bad outing after starting out 7-0 so far this season)
MIN O9 (Felix is 7-2 O/U this season and the Twins are hitting well at home .292 so far this season)

Gonna tail Ray on the Twins and the Over in Detroit as well.

 

[CherryPicker]

Almost forgot about my boy Cashmir but will wait until the D-Rays turn into plus money and then I will pounce.

 

[CherryPicker]

First play:

CHC (+105) 500/525

I will only bet on the Cubs with Z on the hill at home against poor to average road teams. I am not too excited about this play but the Braves are 2-8 on the road this year when the ML is between -100 and -125. Z is averaging more than one SO per inning and Chipper is only batting .208 at Wrigley and is 4-14 vs. Zambrano. Likewise Andruw Jones is only batting .154 against Z going 2-13 with one dinger and 5 K's. The thing I like about this game is Z's ability to go deep, he has made it to the 7th inning in all of his last 4 starts giving up only 5 ER's, with 4 of them coming against the White Sox. His day splits leave much to be desired but I cannot ignore his current form, 3-0 L3 and a WHIP of 1.00 w/ 23 K's and 10 BB in 23 IP.

 

[CherryPicker]

Second Play:

PIT (+125) 400/500

Snell out to avenge a 4/22 loss against Buchholz and he is in good current form, 3-1 with a 4.15 ERA, w/ 25K's in 26 IP. Lance Berkman (3-7 w. a .429 avg vs. Snell) will be sidelined indefinately and Houston's road record of 7-14 (-8.40) makes a play on the home team as desirable as possible when backing the Pirates. Pitt is 4-1 w/ a day off and 10-5 at home when the total is between 9 and 9.5, additionally the Pirates are batting .295 vs. RHP L10 and will be facing a rookie in Buchholz who is 1-2 w/ a 6.10 ERA away from Minute Maid.

 

[ChicosBailBonds]

CP - Looks like were on some of the same plays in the NL today. Agree with your assesments on Pitt and Cubbies. Pitt looks almost too easy, huh? That's whay I'm scared!

Good luck with all your plays!

 

[CherryPicker]

Third Play:

MIL (-104) 312/300

Someone was hitting the Brewers pretty hard last night as PHI was pushed to a +106 dog and I can see why. They were almost shut out by Jeremy Gonzalez yesterday and have definately lost some of that early season momentum and now they are going against a team that has won it's first 4 games against them. The Brewers are not playing great ball on the road however they are sending out their staff ace lefty who has had 10 quality starts this year and is facing a Phils squad that is hitting lefties at only .250 on the year. Lidle is not in good current form going 1-1 L3 w/ a 6.43 ERA and a WHIP of 1.57 and is not a strong pitcher at home, 3-3 w/ a 5.79 ERA.

 

[CherryPicker]

Glad we are on the same sides Chicos as you are a good capper. I don't think PIT is going to be easy but I think they have a lineup that can hang with the Stro's sans Berkman against a rookie on the road.

 

[CherryPicker]

Fourth Play:

DET (-137) 411/300

Not much of a write up here, Westbrook is suspect on the road and the Tigers are hot as hell. Both pitchers have poor records against the opponent and the total looks ripe as Ray has pointed out however the Under is 9-1-2 L12 meeting between the teams so I will hope for at least a win on the side to cover my exposure on the Over total play.

 

[CherryPicker]

Fifth Play:

MIN (-121) 484/400

See Ray's write up as he has a good analysis on this game. I am playing the over as well here too.

 

[CherryPicker]

Sixth Play:

CIN (+138) 200/276

The D-Backs are 0-5 (-5.2) on the road with the total set between 9 and 9.5 and they are sending Brandon Webb to the hill in hopes of becoming the first 8-0 starter this year. I think the line stinks and am willing to bet 2 units against it, also on the over here heavy as I think Webb get's roughed up tonight with the Reds batting .304 vs. RHP and Milton is good for some runs especially vs. a D-Backs team that is hitting .314 against lefties.

 

[CherryPicker]

Lucky number Seven?

FLA (+207) 400/828

Not much of a right up here as it is tough to bet against Pedro but he does not deserve to lay this kind of wood on the road against a starter who is in equally as good current form. I think the Fish get to Pedro early and often and I am on the over here as well fairly heavy.

 

[CherryPicker]

Last plays, going fairly heavy on them and will parlay the four also:

LAD (-116)
SFO (-151)
TEX (-131)
LAA O9.5 (-110)

 

[RexBudler]

gl with the big card today buddy

 

[CherryPicker]

Thanks Rex, GL to you also.

 

[cisco]

Thassa full plate ya got there bro'. You lookin' ta make som serious coin taday.

I like a lot of your picks and hope you come out in the plus column.

 

[CherryPicker]

Threw some loose change at a par with all the teams in my first post except for the Dodgers, Rangers, Reds and Over Reds. Good Luck to you all well cisco.

 

[SMOKE JENSEN]

Gl CP.


SMOKE

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

GL with the plays today CP :SIB

 

[Wise and Wiser]

Best of luck CP!

 

[CherryPicker]

Thanks guys, adding a 6 teamer:

MIN/BOS/STL/CWS/FLA O7.5/CIN O9.5 5 to win 20