Saturday Play

[soul train]

Going to try another Fade the public line drop play...Similar to last nights Niners play

In this situation we have the K.C. Chiefs currently at a +3 Dog with 66% of the public on there side

My point is the Chiefs opened a 1 pt chalk and since have gone to the dog with the public on there side

That`s a 4 pt swing........With that movement i will take my chances with the Texans tonight

The Play.......Houston Texans -3

 

[DrTrivia]

Good call on "Da Bears" last night soul. One of the drawbacks of working 2nd shift is not seeing the line movement just prior to game time. But hey you had it right yesterday long before game time. GL with the pick tonight.

:toast: Doc

 

[kegray1]

A quick note on this game.
Kubiak said the starters will go a quarter and some will go longer.
2nd team will be mixed in during 2ndQ and play entire 3rd.
3rd team takes the 4thQ. This is a little longer playing time than usual for guys making the team in game 1.He said he wants unity and mixing in new players to play with others(Eric Moulds,Mario W.).
All reports here so far is that Williams is as advertised.
Dominic Davis will not play toniteAtwoin Smith,Morency,and Walli Lundy will get the work).Texans are also very thin a corner right now with a ton of injuries.
Kubiak wants to establish a win attitude.

Playing Texans(-3) and a small play on the OVER 35.5

Good Luck Soul

 

[Sun Tzu]

Texans badly want to win this game. Might be the only team that cares about winning these first couple of weeks.

 

[Jaxx]

Agree with the line movement but am seeing conflicting numbers on which side the Public is on in this game. Thanks for the info texas folks.

 

[kegray1]

More people are are the Chiefs even with the line movement.
Not sure why the O/U is dropping so much.
I know preseason scores have been low for the most part,but this line opened at 38 and is now 35.

One reason the public may be on the Chiefs is that the Texans are 3-14 in their history in preseason.
It was under a different staff with different agendas.
Kubiak wants to win.
Rosenfels plays 2nd and 3rdQ,maybe even more.

Here is the Texans depth chart for the game:

http://www.houstontexans.com/team/depth_chart.php?section=TH Depth Chart

Davis will not play tonite from what they have been saying.He has been sitting out practices.

 

[kegray1]

Texans do have a ton of 2nd teamers trying to prove something.
Sam Cowart,Phil Buchanon. and they have 4 solid DT's fighting for playing time.All 4 will be in rotation during season,but they all want to be starters.
I think this is a 6 win team in the regular season,but they come to play tonite.After last season the fans want to see something new even if it is just preseason.

 

[sdf]

i would suspect kc is going to RUN as much as possible.
--

KANSAS CITY -
(08/12 03:05am) The Star reports - Herm Edwards does not want to leave Houston with any
more quarterback injuries. He's vowed to quickly escort Trent Green out of the game as
soon as his starter gets some meaningful reps. That left the Chiefs with rookie Casey
Printers before the Smoker acquisition, and it's possible Printers could play three
quarters tonight in front of his family, which lives in Houston.

 

[kegray1]

Printers is a poor man's Mike Vick.
I guess Damon Huard won't see any action tonite.
This is why the line has moved more towards the Texans and the O/U is diving.
Good Post sdf

 

[Jaxx]

More people are are the Chiefs even with the line movement.

All the sites I normally check for betting percentages show most on Houston except for one which shows the exact opposite. Does not look like a large public play if at all. But cannot discount the large line movement in the game.
Good luck

 

[soul train]

This public fade line drop stuff is working out so far

:toast:

 

[freelancc]

This public fade line drop stuff is working out so far

:toast:

:yup :yup

 

[Jaxx]

Nice call Soul!