Thursday - Very Strong

BASON

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West Virginia-16

This is the strongest game on the Board this week. Maryland has serious problems on offense. They can not throw the ball. Friedgen is very nervous about his young WRs running the wrong routes and Hollenbach throwing interceptions. I have been to both MD games this year and they have not looked good. Some say they are laying low for this game, but I do not buy it.

MDs one strength is its offensive line, but West Va will load up against the run and force them to pass. On offense WVa will be able to run the ball which will then allow them to pass and expose MDs weak secondary.

This is the first of 3 key Thursday night games for WVa and their first chance to show the Nation they are for real. MD has had the best of them for the last 5 years and the Mountaineers get big payback this Thursday.

West Virginia 41
Maryland 10
 

BASON

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More of a reason to like Wva

MORGANTOWN, W.Va. -- Once upon a time, Steve Slaton was a turtle. Delighted to be one. Displayed knick-knacks of the aquatic creature around his house in Levittown, Pa. Itched to play football down Interstate 95 for those University of Maryland Terrapins.

Look at him now. He's ready to cook some turtle soup.

"I'm going to be a little more amped," Slaton was saying last night of Thursday's ESPN-televised date between his onetime Maryland and his fifth-ranked West Virginia.

"I just want to show them what they missed out on.

"Hopefully, every carry is a touchdown against them."

Fear the Turtle? The slogan might require a rewrite this week: Fear this, Turtle.

This is soft-spoken sophomore who has rushed for 308 yards in five quarters this season and for 100-plus in seven of his past nine games as a starter, a streak that began after West Virginia played at College Park, Md., last Sept. 17. Slaton only touched the field that day on the Mountaineers' kick-return team.

The way he's talking, he may refuse to leave the surface of Mountaineer Field all Thursday night. May refuse to let go of the football.

It is surprising for Slaton to give such a peek through the usually drawn curtains to the window of his soul. That should show his emotions for Maryland (2-0) at West Virginia (2-0) Thursday, his excitement level -- which he labeled modestly: "High. Really high."

"He doesn't really say anything about it," said redshirt freshman guard Greg Isdaner, a fellow Philadelphia-area prep schooler. "But I'm sure this game will have a lot of significance for him. If they had told him he was playing running back, we wouldn't have him. Thank God he's here."

"I'm sure pretty soon he'll talk about it," added quarterback Patrick White, Slaton's best friend and confidante with whom he's so cartoonishly close, they could carry the nicknames SpongeBob and Patrick. "They turned him down. That definitely hurt him."

Slaton's Philadelphia story is a simple one. He was an indoor-track demon and a star tailback at Conwell-Egan High in the lightly considered Philadelphia Catholic League. He visited Maryland as a junior, mulled over other schools -- including West Virginia -- and jumped when the Terrapins' staff offered a scholarship.

"I committed; I was already there," Slaton recalled. "Upcoming program. They were pretty close to home. I liked my family coming to games, and that was a pretty big reason to go there."

In October 2004, a reporter called the Slaton household. He was the one who informed the Conwell-Egan kid that Maryland rescinded its scholarship offer. The turtle knick-knacks? "They're gone," Slaton said.

Tailback was the position this 5-foot-11, 195-pound speedster longed to play and, well, Maryland wondered if he might try defensive back instead, what with them recruiting a couple of homegrown tailbacks. Boston College and others wondered about defensive back, too. But not the Mountaineers.

"I liked him from the first two minutes I saw him on film; everybody else looked like they were going in slow motion," Mountaineers coach Rich Rodriguez said. "I certainly never wavered."

Jason Gwaltney was the nationally heralded recruit at West Virginia, the freshman whose No. 14 jersey was worn around the stands -- including last Sept. 17 at Maryland, when Gwaltney scored a 15-yard touchdown and keyed a 31-19 Mountaineers victory. Slaton, impressive in practice, finally got his tailback turn two weeks later against Virginia Tech and started the following week at Rutgers, where Gwaltney was last seen as a college football player.

Since then, Slaton has compiled 1,304 yards rushing and scored 23 touchdowns in nine starts. He had 105 yards and two touchdowns on just eight carries last Saturday in a lopsided 52-3 win against Eastern Washington. What Maryland is missing: roughly 144 yards and 2 1/2 touchdowns per game.

"I thought I found a home," Slaton said. "It shows recruiting is just a business. But I feel everything happens for a reason."

Soup happens Thursday? "I'm sure," fullback Owen Schmitt said, "inside there's a little ... grudge."

After casting a look last night at his buddy wearing a protective boot over a tweaked left ankle but preparing to return to practice today at tailback, White offered a smile and an understatement: "I'm pretty sure he's ready."



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gman2

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west virginia is good. very good. and perhaps bcs good.
but imo, youre grossly underestimating maryland in this one. wvu could very well cover, but this line is grossly inflated and anything more than 11 or 12 is an overlay. to your point, terps need to avoid turnovers and hollenbach can be prone to the INT. but theres no way the talent disparity is more than 2 TDs. terps are much like ncstate in that they continue to have nfl-caliber talent on their roster but tend to underachieve. that makes them a tough chalk, but an always live underdog.
 

Deezeldogg

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gman, what's your take on toledo and kansas? I can't believe toledo is a 5 point favorite over a Big 12 team after Toledo just got thumped by another MAC team. Is Kansas that bad?
 

BASON

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GMAN

Appreciate your insight, and actually agree with much of it, but I am sticking with my prediction. I am a MD fan and booster, and no one wants them to win more than me, but I just do not see that happening.

If MD does not turn the ball over, they have a chance to cover, but I expect to see at least two interceptions this week.

Trust me, Friedgen puts on a good show, but he is very unhappy with his quarterback and WR situation this year. Next year he will have the offense he wants, but not this year.

I actually hope I am wrong, but my money will be on WVa to roll.

Good Luck!
 

redking

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west virginia is good. very good. and perhaps bcs good.
but imo, youre grossly underestimating maryland in this one. wvu could very well cover, but this line is grossly inflated and anything more than 11 or 12 is an overlay. to your point, terps need to avoid turnovers and hollenbach can be prone to the INT. but theres no way the talent disparity is more than 2 TDs. terps are much like ncstate in that they continue to have nfl-caliber talent on their roster but tend to underachieve. that makes them a tough chalk, but an always live underdog.

This is good analysis. West Virginia has played nobody to start the season 2-0. I think it will be an adjustment for them to face a BCS team.
 

gardenweasel

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maryland has a decent running game...several solid backs.....

my question is,how is west va`s run defense?....

i slightly disagree with g`s talent analysis....i don`t think that maryland`s recruiting has been all that hot the last few years(even though i admittedly don`t follow closely)....they can`t seem to find an impact qb and friedgen`s a proven coaching commodity.....

they are finishing consistently in the middle to lower echelon of the pack in the now stronger acc the last few years.....

i honestly think the program has become a bit stagnant....

west va looks like a very powerful club this year....

i think the only way that maryland can hang here is to control the ball on the ground.....eat up clock...

of course,i`m sure that rodriguez is privy to my scintillating analysis(or will seek my opinion out) and will adjust accordingly...:D

g.l.,fellers....
 

DJP

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I am also a MD season ticket holder and have been to both games. I think losing DC Blackney was a real big loss and is going to have an effect on this team this year. Their problem on D is stopping the short passing game right now. i think they have done fairly well against the run. They only allowed 40 yards running last week so maybe they were working on that during the game.

I think both teams will stack the lines and dare the other team to pass and call me crazy but I think that MD can do that. I think if you get 17 its generous.
 

BASON

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Boy, the media is really wearing out this Slavin (scholarship taken back by MD) thing.

The line is moving up, but I would not be surprised to see MD money tomorrow and the line settle in around 16. There seems to be a lot of MD support of there that is waiting for a larger number.

DJP - I totally agree and hope you are right, I just hope Hollenbach remembers what color jersey his teammates have.

Weasel - MD will have its QB next year!
 

cardiacsteve

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WV has won the last 2, so don't understand how Maryland has had the best of them the last 5 years.

I am a WV season ticket holder so I like your excitement about WV and the dismay of losing Steve Slaton(? Slavin)

I remember WV lost one of it QB's to Maryland a few years back (Scott McBrian ? its Mc something)
We kept Marshall but Scott turned out to be a very good player in MD's setup.

I would like to see the line move back down so I side with Gman and others that the line is inflated. WV/MD games tend to be close or MD blowing them out, and I don't see a blow out by MD, so dog looks like better option with these points. Consider the ESPN jinks WV has and rain also expected.

Still like WV but fear the points
 

Don Wallace

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BASON, I REALLY LIKE YOUR PLAY HERE AND YOUR ANAYLSIS AND RESONING IS SOUND. MY FRIENDS IN VEGAS SEEM TO BELIEVE THIS LINE WILL ONLY CONTINUE TO CLIMB. MARYLAND LOOKS DISCOMBOBULATED OFFENSIVELY. THIS COULD BE A LONG YEAR FOR THE TERPS. I BELIEVE WEST VIRGINA WILL SERVE THEM UP BY 21 TO 28 POINTS................BUT STILL, I RATHER BITE INTO BROKEN GLASS THEN LAY POINTS. JUST NOT MY WAY OF DOING BUSINESS, BUT NONETHELESS, GOOD LUCK
 

BASON

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Don, you may be right, the line seems to still be creeping up though I still see a lot of MD support out there.

Weather will not be great, but should not be that bad.

I do think it is a lot of points, but sometimes you have to lay them. I just have that feeling MD is going to get killed, but my heart is with them.

Cardiac - Yes MD lost the last two, but they won the 4 before that and none of them were close. This is more of a rivalry than people think and Morgantown is going to be crazed tonight. I think a lot of furniture will be in flames.

Enjoy the game.
 

cardiacsteve

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Your right it is a bigger rilvalry than outsiders know because the media doesn't milk it like the Back Yard Brawl or the newest rivalry with Louisville.

Agreed, I read it like MD had won the last 5

Rain should not be a factor tonite.
 

TouchdownJesus

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I really like Mountaineers tonight to win big. West Virginia is loaded. Well coached team with an offensive system that is hard to defend.
I don't know much about Md. this year, but they have not impressed in the last couple years.

Taking WVA -17
Leaning towards Over, but new rule is very irritating for many reasons...
 

Wilson

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I think it should be noted:

WVU has recorded ZERO sacks versus two inferior opponents.

May be a problem for WVU backers.

I like the over.
 

BASON

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That is a good point Wilson, but MD has the same problem. They are starting a different nose tackle tonight to try to get more of a rush. They do have 5 sacks, but they are all on blitzes. Middle TN was very successful throwing the ball because they could not get a pass rush.

I think White's ability to run will be the difference in this game. MD has been practicing against it all week and their Florida transfer, Portis, has been giving the defense fits in practice.

Side note: Josh Portis appears to be the real deal and will give Friedgen the offense he wants, but that is next year.
 

Wilson

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That is a good point Wilson, but MD has the same problem. They are starting a different nose tackle tonight to try to get more of a rush. They do have 5 sacks, but they are all on blitzes. Middle TN was very successful throwing the ball because they could not get a pass rush.

I think White's ability to run will be the difference in this game. MD has been practicing against it all week and their Florida transfer, Portis, has been giving the defense fits in practice.

Side note: Josh Portis appears to be the real deal and will give Friedgen the offense he wants, but that is next year.

Good Luck...I hope you win.
 
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