Early Leans Week 4

[blgstocks]

Ark/Bama under 37 - Ark avg 20 against piss poor defenses, Bama offense is still a weak link, but their defense is sound.

Stanford +10.5 - think this is too many points to give stanford at home, they hung with oregon for a half and got blown out by navy who is the best at thier biggest weakness(defending the run)

Virginia/GT under 39 - Virginia is bad, real bad. And GT has a very pumped up defense at home. I think GT dominates this game and keeps the score low. Will have to see what Virginia run d is like because I really think GT gets out to a quick lead and then trys to establish thier running game that GT coach has said he wants to establish more.

Cincy/VT under 44.5 - You can look at any of my post to see why I like VT unders. I will have to look closer at Cincy, but betting VT unders at home seems to be a good bet.

Tucky/Florida Over 52 - Kentucky isnt totally inept on offense and like I said features one of the best return teams in the SEC. Florida has been scoring alot of points on bad defenses and I think they come out firing and dont stop

Just some thoughts, all opinions are welcome to help shape this into a winning card

 

[Gators4Life]

I really like the Florida over, not only because its my team...but we are coming off a huuuuge emotional victory and the Swamp is going to be nuts!

Kentucky almost always seems to figure out a way to score at least two TDs on us.

After beating Tennessee, Florida is going to give its best fans a fireworks show! I cant wait! If only I placed bets on Florida...but if I did, I think this would be the one.

Good luck on your picks.

 

[Bama6895]

I like that Alabama under play. Alabama has a good defense that is very fast. You also have a Bama team that has had problems over the last year converting in the red zone. I don't see that changing against Arkansas. Also you have Alabama that loves to run the ball with Darby, Johns, McClain, Castille, and Upchurch. We will continue to try to do that.

Arkansas has an improved defense this year IMO. They too are very dependent on the run with studs like McFadden and Jones. Toss in they have a true frosh at QB and I think they will run the ball even more against the Alabama defense.

I think this all leads to a very low scoring defensive struggle. I would predict a 17-10 or 17-14 score. I think it stays under.