Virginia +17
I know the Wahoos have looked awful......but here is a key number: 2
That is the number of times in the last five seasons that Georgia Tech has won an ACC game by more than 17 points....last year against Duke and back in 2001, also against Duke. To be fair, the Jackets also have a 17-point win over Duke in '04 and over Wake in '03. But there is no history there of big, decisive wins against their ACC brethern.....plus the Jackets have a history of underachieving when much is expected out of them and overachieving when nobody expects much.....i am sure ACC followers can attest to that fact........they are only 6-14 ATS in their last 20 conference home games.
I actually like the fact Virginia is starting the RS Frosh Sewell tonight at QB......he gives them an added dimension running the football and i expect them to move the chains as a result, at least enough to put a couple of scores on the board.
On the other side of the ball, i thinks the Cavs ends can harass Ball.....and if they can contain him in the pocket probably wont give up a ton of points....almost 1/3 of the points scored against Virginia this year have been on defensive scores, so if they can avoid that, their D will keep them iin the game heading into the fourth quarter.
Virginia lost last week to Western Michigan as a double digit favorite. I have a thread devoted to this topic, but i will repeat those numbers here.
Underdogs after losing outright as DD favorites the week before are 33-17-2 ATS the last three seasons.
Road underdogs who lost at home as DD favorites the week before are 77-44-2 ATS, including 21-12 ATS the last three seasons.
I know the Wahoos have looked awful......but here is a key number: 2
That is the number of times in the last five seasons that Georgia Tech has won an ACC game by more than 17 points....last year against Duke and back in 2001, also against Duke. To be fair, the Jackets also have a 17-point win over Duke in '04 and over Wake in '03. But there is no history there of big, decisive wins against their ACC brethern.....plus the Jackets have a history of underachieving when much is expected out of them and overachieving when nobody expects much.....i am sure ACC followers can attest to that fact........they are only 6-14 ATS in their last 20 conference home games.
I actually like the fact Virginia is starting the RS Frosh Sewell tonight at QB......he gives them an added dimension running the football and i expect them to move the chains as a result, at least enough to put a couple of scores on the board.
On the other side of the ball, i thinks the Cavs ends can harass Ball.....and if they can contain him in the pocket probably wont give up a ton of points....almost 1/3 of the points scored against Virginia this year have been on defensive scores, so if they can avoid that, their D will keep them iin the game heading into the fourth quarter.
Virginia lost last week to Western Michigan as a double digit favorite. I have a thread devoted to this topic, but i will repeat those numbers here.
Underdogs after losing outright as DD favorites the week before are 33-17-2 ATS the last three seasons.
Road underdogs who lost at home as DD favorites the week before are 77-44-2 ATS, including 21-12 ATS the last three seasons.
