Friday Night Play 9/22/06

Destructor D

Destructor
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Dec 6, 2005
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Northwestern @ Nevada... At first glance, the road dog looks very tempting. You have a Big 10 team getting 6.5-7 points on the road. Northwestern has given up just 3 points to Miami-Ohio and 6 points to E. Michigan (EMU scored 20 against Michigan State). However, the Mildcats got beaten 34-17 by New Hampshire?!?! That is Div I-AA NHU... Northwestern has serious QB issues as neither freshman Kafka or Brewer has thrown the ball worth a damn. Kafka has played for more, but the two QB's have combined for 1 TD pass in their first 3 games. Tyrell Sutton has done his thing for Northwestern gaining 253 rushing yards. I expect a well coached team like Nevada to stack 8-9 guys in the box and force Northwestern to beat the Wolfpack through the air.

On the other hand, Nevada's Rowe lit up Colorado State like a Christmas tree last week going 19 for 22 with 210 yards passing and 2 TD's. I prefer going with the well balanced offensive team that is winning better than a hot stock tip @ home in recent years (Wolfpack are 12-2 ATS in Reno their last 14 home games!!!). Nevada held Colorado State to 177 total yards of offense last week and I expect the Wolfpack defense to play much better at home.
Prediction: Nevada 31-16

Nevada -6.5 for 7.5*

Thoughts and comments are welcome and encouraged...

GLTA
 

bryanz

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New Hampshire is the # 1 team in DIAA . Nevadas win over Colo ST doen't look so good when you factor in : Colo St played a close 14-10 gm with Colo. Colo is close to the bottom and lost to Montana st (DIAA).
 

Destructor D

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We'll just have to see what happens tonight. I know Nevada is far better at home and Reno is a long road trip for Northwestern with plenty of distractions as well. I also like the huge advantage at QB for Nevada.
 

Dr. Fade

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Sep 29, 2005
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*********.com Consensus

Northwestern 677-1224 35.61%
Nevada 1224-677 64.39%


Tough game to call. I kind of like the Under 47- so you should probably take the Over. What are you looking @ for tomorrow?
 
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