Week 5 MLS Plays (NCAAF)

[UT-Longhorn]

Central Florida +4 (6 units) Tuesday Night Game

South Florida +4 (6 units) Friday Night Game

Both fit the system.
17-5 +36.6 units*

(* 1 play pending on MNF Falcon ML)

 

[UT-Longhorn]

adding-

Kansas State +3.5 (-120) to win 6 units

 

[UT-Longhorn]

adding-

Oregon State +9 (to win 6 units)

*am holding off on this line at the moment-still a play though. Majority is on Cal at the moment and feel it will go back up and will try to get a +10. If it doesnt go back up will buy it back to 9 or take the 9.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

adding-

Ball State +7 (to win 6 units)

Kent +3 (to win 6 units)

Minnesota +9 (to win 6 units)

Arizona State +3 (-120 to win 6 units)

Colorado +14 (-120 to win 6 units)

Virginia Tech ML -440 to win 6 units

on the bubble-(any movement another 5-10 cents and will be a play)

Boise St -4 -185
Miami Oh -8 -360
Arizona ML 3.5 -180

 

[Tavros]

Are these plays made at any time during the week when you see a discrepancy? If one of your plays swings back to the other side..or the ML bonces around to an area that is no longer a play...does it matter?

 

[RIGHT SIDE]

GL with the system plays UT!! Glad to see it on Minnesota! All I'm reading so far is how Mich is gonna roll them for last years upset win and the whole flag ordeal on the field.....Mich might win this, but I feel it's too many points.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

buying back my Central Florida +4, will bet it again closer to gametime since the line is climbing. Currently at +6. Hoping to get a +7 at kickoff. Still to win 6 units, plus 1 unit on the ML.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Are these plays made at any time during the week when you see a discrepancy? If one of your plays swings back to the other side..or the ML bonces around to an area that is no longer a play...does it matter?

Hey, still a work in progress. Found last week that had i gone with the original light lines early in the week, was much more profitable versus daily all week with the fluctation. :shrug: But it appears I will have to respect/follow late money on any game. 8 minutes before kickoff last night on the MNF game, someone hit the New Orleans moneyline, knocked it from -230 to -200. This system is still a work in progress, and as SSB can confirm (who tipped me off while driving last night that it dropped late) the late money was right. I wasnt near a computer to post to buy it back and play new orleans, live and learn I guess. I do though however greatly respect late money and will in the future. Late money hit rams, seattle, cinci and new orleans this past weekend, all winners.

 

[Cellular18]

buying back my Central Florida +4, will bet it again closer to gametime since the line is climbing. Currently at +6. Hoping to get a +7 at kickoff. Still to win 6 units, plus 1 unit on the ML.

Hey buddy just curious about your Central Florida pick. Any reason why you like them over So. Miss?

I'm not sure which way to lean on this game.

I was considering playing a 7 point teaser. Taking
Under 54 and then I'd have a choice between taking

Central Florida at +13.5
or
So. Miss at +1.5

Any thoughts?:shrug:

 

[gambinoshark]

UT- Bowmans has UCF +7, just a heads up...

 

[gambinoshark]

i like the UCF pick by the way, RB coming back plus a more experianced qb, will take the TD at home, gl to you...

 

[UT-Longhorn]

update-no play on UCF tonite, moneyline has evened itself to where it's supposed to be. If it moves before kick, ill post a play but for now, no play on UCF for me.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

UCF +7.5 (-120) to win 7 units

 

[The Judge]

Good luck, Longhorn. I'm on the same side of this one.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Thanks Judge. Late $ hit the UCF Moneyline 3 mins before kick, lets hope it is right.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Hey buddy just curious about your Central Florida pick. Any reason why you like them over So. Miss?

I'm not sure which way to lean on this game.

I was considering playing a 7 point teaser. Taking
Under 54 and then I'd have a choice between taking

Central Florida at +13.5
or
So. Miss at +1.5

Any thoughts?:shrug:

sorry took so long to get back to you. I would have gone with the dog + points.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

1-0 tonite +4 units

1-0 Tues Nite +7 units

Late $ hit SC Moneyline, so SC was a play, but wasnt able to post it fwiw.

updated record- 19-6 +33.8 units

 

[UT-Longhorn]

fwiw, these late $ moneyline movement plays are 8-0 last 8.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

South Florida +4 (to win 16 units)
South Florida ML (risking 4 units)

 

[Tavros]

hey ut-

what's the deal with all the units? not attacking you personally, but just dont get it...16 units on one play? i thought the whole point of a "unit" was to be about what an avg bet you play is...how can one game be a 4 unit and another a 16 unit...means you think you have a 4x chance at winning the 16 unit game theoretically? Just doesn't make much sense to me...for some tout maybe if they are trying to pad their unit statistics...but for guys on this board it should be all about win %. You like a game enough to bet it...play it...you don't..lay off.