plays & info for 9/26-9/30....

[AR182]

46-34......+7.10*

so far this year i have been lacking the consistency in college like past years & haven't been hitting my larger plays......hoping to turn it around this week.

tonight...

under 49 so. miss./c.fla.....

pinnacle opened the total at 50.5 & got it when it hit 49.

am looking for c.fla. to run the ball more in this game to cutdown on moffit's mistakes.this year s. miss. has been more of a running team than passing team.

weather forecast for tonight's game....

Kick-Off Forecast for 7:30 PM

Scattered T-Storms
81?F Feels Like:85?F
Probability of Precipitation: 40%
Wind: From the Northeast at 8 mph

good luck.

 

[jdp1152]

wow...that line is down to 46.5 at Betjamaica.

 

[Cellular18]

46.5 now at Pinnacle too.

I'm thinking of a teaser. Maybe a 7 pointer.

Bump the line up and play the UNDER. And then take So. Miss at +1

Any thoughts?

Does anyone think Central Florida will keep it close?

:shrug:

 

[blgstocks]

Any system that backs this play AR?

 

[ajoytoy]

you grabbed it at a good time...gl this week AR

 

[Irish]

Nice job AR, Good luck this weekend

Cheers
Irish

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

gl this weekend ari :toast:

 

[AR182]

thanks guys....appreciate it.

so. carolina+15(120)....

got this last night at 14.5 & bought the .5 point.

i may be a sucker playing so. car., but i just can't see how auburn is favored on the road by 2 tds against a steve spurrier coached team. sc's defense is playing well, i think the best player on the field (rice) is on sc, it's a weeknight home game for sc, & they suffered one of their worst losses in school history last year to auburn.i also like the fact that sc qb newton can run & throw, which should keep the auburn's defense off balance a little.

good luck.

 

[AR182]

here are some of the games that i'm playing this weekend....

4*cin.-7(124)...

got this at 8 & bought it down to 7.

eventhough they are 0-3, i have been pretty impressed with cin. so far this year....i like their toughness.miamo ohio is a a rebuilding team with just 7 returning starters from last year.from a line of scrimmage point of view they are not doing much of anything on offense (allowed 23 sacks in 4games) or defense..so i expect cin. to pretty mcuh control this game.

last year miami humiliated cin. by beating them in a weeknight game 44-16. i read about a system that applies to a team that is seeking revenge from a weeknight beating....it states...

from game 3 on, play on a favorite of 3-27.5 points with leass than 12 days rest off a saturday contest & seeking revenge for a non-saturday road su loss in their last match-up....

since 1998, the favorites under the above situation are 24-0 su/ats...winning by more than 22 points a game & beating the spread by an average of 13 points per game.

the theory behind this system is that a non-satuday game in colleg is very similar to mnf in the pros...since this is usually the only game on, everybody is generally focused on that game....& by being humiliated, cin. should be out for revenge.

4*fla.-14...

this is another revenge game.last year bama gave fla. it's worst sec road loss in the last 15 years & it was the worst loss ever in urban meyer's coaching career. fla. has a huge rushing advantage in this game & an advantage in all phases of the game.

4*pitt.-14...

toledo is not the team that they were last year, they are much weaker on both offense & defense this year, & their qb is nowhere near as good as gradkowski was. pitt. is much stronger this year, seems to be playing well (except against mich. st.). i think pitt. also wants to wipe away that humiliating loss last year from another mac team (ohio) & will come out strong in this game.

georgia-17....

i know about the offensive problems that georgia is having. but if they want to qualify for a bcs bowl, richt knows that his offense will have to come around. & i think it will start in their sec opener against ole miss, a team that has a qb who can't throw the ball down the field with any accuracy & a defense that is weak....here is a system that read about pertaining to this play...

play any college football team with a perfect 100% record if they had to come from behind in the 4th quarter last week to win by 1 or 2 points...

since 1997 the ats record is 19-6 (76%).

miami-14(130)...

i just think the players will rally around coker. it's also a big difference in playing fla.st & louisville & playing houston.

over48(120) smu/tulane....

tailing a very good capper with this play.

good luck.

 

[DeadPrez]

good luck tonite AR

 

[thom24ad]

I like the card AR...good luck...I'm pounding Miami as well and still haven't quite made up my mind on FL...I'll taill the over 48 as well I trust your opinion...almost forgot thanks for the under on tuesday...GL

 

[RAYMOND]

gl big al

 

[blgstocks]

Goodluck AR, will be hoppin on a few of those with ya!

 

[AR182]

thanks guys.....


a few more....


under 42 wash/az....

i've taken under in all of az's games this year & it has paid off....


under 44 col. st/fresno st....

col. st. plays strong run defense & lacks an offense.


4*laf.-6(120)....

this is a revenge game for laf. & this is e. mich's 4th road game in 5 weeks & is coming off an emotional ot game last week.


a.f.-12...

n. mex. won last week as a double digit dog...history suggests that they come in flat for this game.


kansas st.+3(120)....

kent+3....

good luck.

 

[AR182]

i play a lot of games in the beginning of the week..sometimes i hold them to try to middle the games, sometimes i don't..so if i post a play with a line that is not available anymore, there is nothing i can do about it.

adding a few more for saturday....

oregon st.+10(120).....

here is a system that i read on another site that supports this play....if you don't like systems or are against them for any reason i prefer you not commenting on them & just ignore them.i post them because i know there are some who like them....

in game 5, play against a road team with less than 13 days rest off a home favorite su win in its last game, 2 home su wins before that, and a road su loss in Game 1 vs. an opponent not off a conference road underdog SU & ATS loss.

here we have teams that played their first game on the road and lost. they then returned home and won 3 straight, including the last as a favorite. now, without a bye week, they go back on the road. against opponents not off a su & ats loss as a conference road dog, these visitors have had a hard time on the road again, going 0-13 ats since at least 1980.

this will be the 5th straight year that there's a qualifying game. last year,tex. a & m opened the season with a loss at Clemson. they then returned home to defeat smu,texas state,& baylor.next, they went to colorado as 3-point underdogs and got blasted 41-20. similarly,calif. started the 2006 season with a loss at tenn. at home for their next 3 games, the calif. beat minn,potland st., and asu last week as a favorite. They now travel to Oregon to play the Beavers who are coming off a 38-0 home win over Idaho.

play...oagainst calif. & on oregon st.


vt-9....

i've never been impressed with reggie ball...so this can be called an anti ball play. also v.t. is 35-12-1(74%) at home when not favored by more than 14 points & under beamer, v.t. is 47-18-1(72%) in the first 5 games of the season.


arizona st.p....

here is something that i read...

oregon yields an average of 171 yds on the ground per game, asu averages 178 yds. per game on the ground...asu has won 14 games in a row when it runs for 100 or more yards.

duke+6...

duke has the better qb & i think that they can win this game.

utah-4....

i wasn't impressed with boise's defense against hawaii so i'm taking the team with the strong home field.

good luck.

 

[AR182]

adding....

utep-16..

i like to take dd favorites who lost the week before as a dd favorite....think they win by 4tds.

missouri-13(127)...

was waiting for this to come down.mu has a better offense & a better defense than cu..think they win by at least 17.

good luck.

 

[StevieD]

Good luck Al.

 

[AR182]

thanks stevie..

note to self....never bet duke again no matter how good they look on paper. their runners are very tentative & the coach doesn't have a clue....may be my worst bet so far this year...but i'm sure i'll make other crappy bets in the future....lol

 

[shamrock]

Al, did you say something about the Duke QB being good? I have Duke +16 in a tease and they have no chance. wow I have never seen such a terrible half, did you catch any of that disaster?

 

[AR182]

Al, did you say something about the Duke QB being good? I have Duke +16 in a tease and they have no chance. wow I have never seen such a terrible half, did you catch any of that disaster?

danny..

i actually said that the duke qb was better than virginia's. and yes i did see the 1st quarter & got sick....i then went to watch the pitt. & mizz games.


adding...

san jose st.+3
under 51 utah/boise st.

been holding these to see if i would go for middles if the opportunities were available but then decided against it.


good luck.