Se?or Cappers Wk 4 peeks/plays

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Can't seem to get a handle on the NFL but it gots to get better. Right? :shrug:

Anyways.....



Indianapolis -9.5 @ New York-A
IND-K-Vinatieri-Questionable

Division sandwich for the Colts, but the JETS is in off a pair of division games. Indy comes in with their 25th rated "D".

JETS are 5-2-1 of late, with misses by just 1 & 1.5 pts.

Colts are a 15-3 spread play on the non-division road while the JETS are 10-18 ATS as pups

---I'll lean towards the soon-to-be 10.0 points.---


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San Diego -1.5 @ Baltimore
BAL-QB-McNair-Probable

So much for riding the Ravens. They were fortunate LW against the undercooked Brownies.
Baltimore still leads the league in takeaways early in this season with a +10, but will that be enough to curtail the red-hot Chargers who have a 435-142 RY edge?

Chargers are 22-8 ATS of late, 21-5 ATS off less 11 pt "D" effort, 13-2 ATS as dogs in 2nd HG & a pleasant 6-1 ATS off a bye.

Ravens are 10-3 in 2nd hoster.

--Line is right on the money. Points are a premium here--

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Minnesota @ Buffalo -1.0
MIN-WR-Robinson-Questionable

Three costly turnovers cost the Bills LW.

Vikings "D" has held the last 9 of its last 10 foes under 20 pts. Impressive.

Bills are 10-2 ATS off a SU division loss

Vikings are 6-16 ATS on the non-division road, 2-9 as road dogs vs foes off a SU win & ATS loss as well as 1-6 as an Oct dog vs a losing opponent.

Bills "D" steps up & wins this game.


PLAYED - BUFFALO BILLS -1.0


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Dallas -10.0 @ Tennessee
DAL-WR-Owens-Questionable
TEN-RB-Brown-Questionable

Division sandwich for the Boys but they've had an extra week to prepare without Owens.

Titans stink but are 9-2 ATS as dogs vs a AFC team.



Cowboys are just 3-14 ATS on the AFC road, 2-11 on the road off a win of at least 14 pts & 1-8 ATS on the road off a SU division win.

I'll pull a semi- M C Hammer and "Don't touch this".


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409 San Francisco @ Kansas City -7.0
SF-RB-Gore-Questionable

A couple a points dropped in the spot in this one due to Greens concussion.
Just a sickening 8 ppg for the rested Chiefs vs Cincy & Denver, but San Fran is just what the doctor ordered

49ers are an amazing 18-142 ATS when losing outright, while the SU winner is a finger-licking 60-7 ATS in Chief HGs.

KC is 12-2 ATS in its 3rd HG & a solid 12-4 ATS in Oct.


---PLAYED KANSAS CITY -7.0 ---
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New Orleans @ Carolina -7.5

Hilton opened this game at -9.0 & was quickly bet down. I've have to admit that the points appear attracive here.

The dog is still a profitable 39-17 ATS when the Panthers take the field.

Saints are 17-3 ATS on the division road & 12-4 as RDs of 6+ pts of late.

Panthers are just 2-8 ATS off a SU division road win, and the series host checks in at 1-10 vs the points.


--Leaning towards that glaring hook on the end--


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Arizona @ Atlanta -7.0

Not too interested here.

Cards are 10-3 ATS off a loss of less than 8 pts, but 4-16 ATS on the non-division road & 3-12 away back-to-back losses.

SU winner is 16-2-1 ATS in 'Zona games since LY.

--Atlanta, if anything---

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Miami -4.0 @ Houston

STINKER !!!!!

--PASS--

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Detroit @ St. Louis -5.5

Haven't looked but at first sight I would give the 5.5

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New England @ Cincinnati -6.0
NE-RB-Dillon-Questionable


Believe or not, the Bengals are a perfect 7-0 ATS vs the Patsies.

Patsies are 16-5 ATS off a SU loss, but 3-17 in its 2nd RG of the year.

I have the Bengals by 7.

--still I LEAN BENGALS -6.0--

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Jacksonville v-2.5 @ Washington

Sure there's a chance that the Jags may suffer a letdown this Sunday, off that 3-game run, but they are a strong 15-5 ATS in non-division play.

'Skins are 0-4 hosting AFC teams.


--PLAYED JACKSONVILLE -2.5--
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Cleveland -3.0 @ Oakland
CLE-RB-Droughns-Questionable
OAK-QB-Brooks-OUT


Another STINKER but would lean to the 3.0 if my arm was being twisted.

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Seattle @ Chicago -3.0
-NBC-
SEA-RB-Alexander-Out
CHC-TE-Clark-Questionable

Same as last week I took Da Bears early again without batting a lash.

Bears are 14-6 ATS non-division HFs.

Seattle is 17 pts from an 18-2 ATS run, but Chicago has covered their last 7 HGs.
Seahawks are also 1-7 ATS on non-division road & did not cover more than 2 straight last year.


--PLAYED DA BEARS -3.0--

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Green Bay @ Philadelphia -11.0

A lot like Christmas here...Haven't even peeked.

One thing for sure is I would'nt bet your money on GB.

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Mr. Black Cat

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Great write-ups.

I'm with you on the Bills.

Best of luck! I'll know you will come back strong...the NFL is your game. To be honest, your record isn't all that bad. Add in the NCAA and football is treating you just fine.

Thanks again for posting. :hail
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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welcome


adding......

New Orlean Saints +7

Waited too long & the hook dropped off. :(

Lets see... The Saints are 3-0 and the Panthers are 1-2? Isn't it supposed to be the other way around? But it isn't and makes one think LETDOWN.

Nah.

The dog is still a profitable 39-17 ATS when the Panthers take the field.

Saints are 17-3 ATS on the division road & 12-4 as RDs of 6+ pts of late.

Panthers are just 2-8 ATS off a SU division road win, and the series host checks in at 1-10 vs the points.
 

watrdogg

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Good luck Senor. When are u gonna give us one of those Insane plays?
 
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
speechless-smiley-004.gif
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
KANSAS CITY -7 HUGE WINNAH!!!

BUFFALO -1 WINNAH

NEW ORLEANS +7 WINNAH

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MY 1ST MONEYLINE BET W/ AINTS LOSSAH


IM FINALLY IN THE BLACK!!!
 
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