Is SD -3.5 a trap?

[Glenn Quagmire]

Ok, I wanted to get opinions on this game from the resident experts if you fellas don't mind. My opinion is that SD is a much better team than Pitt this year (even if there coach has the mental capacity of Radio). So why would they only be laying 3.5 at HOME, and at PLUS money on Pinny? I know it's a huge game for Pitt and all, but am I missing something? Perhaps giving the Bolts too much credit?

P.S. Some other sites have SD -3 at -120 or -125.

 

[Killrus]

well

well

For some reason this has the feel of the Pats/Cinci game.
Except the bolts have a D.

 

[amich1]

do you really think the steelers will lose 3 in a row by more than a fieldgoal? i smell a bounceback, especially from the pitt D.

 

[cmamoulelis]

i thought it was a trap the other way, why is pitt getting 3.5?

sd dominated two poor teams and then gave away a game to another team that dominated two poor teams, so they havent really showed anything in my opinion.

i will be betting pitt + 3.5

of course, i got killed last weekend so take what i say with a grain of salt

 

[Stabler-12]

I agree with the last poster. The hook may be trying to lure you into a Pitt bet. Therefore it is a trap if you pick the steelers thinking that they should bounce back and if not win atleast keep it within 3. Goodluck but I will pass on that game.

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

I could be way off but I haven't been real impressed with the Steelers yet this year. Ben hasn't really gotten into form yet and their offense doesn't scare me much. While they have a good defense I do think they can be passed on. I think SD is strong on both sides of the ball. Their biggest weakness is their coach. Yes Rivers is young but I don't see him as a huge liability. I would possibly take SD -3.5 over Pitt on a neutral field, that's why I have trouble understanding the small number when they're at home. Good luck fellas...

 

[Stabler-12]

Its all about perception and when does ben have to play great for a Steeler win? Seldom. This is a tough game and I believe the Steelers beat the Chargers last season with a more seasoned QB in Drew Brees. Will Rivers respond well to the pitt pressuer? Who knows and that is why I would stay away. Best of luck my friend

 

[thom24ad]

I could be way off but I haven't been real impressed with the Steelers yet this year. Ben hasn't really gotten into form yet and their offense doesn't scare me much. While they have a good defense I do think they can be passed on. I think SD is strong on both sides of the ball. Their biggest weakness is their coach. Yes Rivers is young but I don't see him as a huge liability. I would possibly take SD -3.5 over Pitt on a neutral field, that's why I have trouble understanding the small number when they're at home. Good luck fellas...

Its a very tough card this week...I only have two plays circled so far this week...KC and PITT...still not 100% on KC but I'm sold on PITT this week...I'm playing the same angle on both those games...I always consider young inexperienced QBs to be a liability...Schottenheimer has been keeping a pretty tight leash on Rivers throwing...I look for this week's game to be very similar to last week's...low scoring and defense...I think Pitt pulls this one out in the fourth...PITT goes back to what has worked in the past...defense and running the ball...I'm also leaning on NYG and Jaxs as well...any thoughts?...good luck with which ever way you go thats just my 2 cents...

 

[jr11]

I can't quite understand the line with the hook myself. The bye week couldn't of come at a better time for Pittsburgh. They get to clear Ben's head, rest Polamalu and Ward. Pittsburgh strength has always been to stop the run, and come up with crazy blitz schemes. If they can control LT, Rivers will not know what is going on in this game. IMO, this is almost a must win for Pittsburgh, but we all know how this goes. Good luck with your play.

jr11

 

[Juu3]

My opinion is that SD is a much better team than Pitt this year (even if there coach has the mental capacity of Radio). So why would they only be laying 3.5 at HOME, and at PLUS money on Pinny? I know it's a huge game for Pitt and all, but am I missing something? Perhaps giving the Bolts too much credit?

1. No, SD is not better than Pitt
2. Yes you are missing something
3. Yes they are giving the Bolts to much credit

I hope you took my playoff plays last year, and the Super Bowl play, here's another one for you-

PITT +3'

 

[gjn23]

here's something to ponder when wagering on the chargers

will you be comfortable as a charger backer with a 7-8-9-10-11 point lead entering the 4th quarter knowing that marty moose is on the sidelines???????

the guy will go run-run-run-punt all quarter keeping the steelers and the cover in play

 

[Juu3]

While they have a good defense I do think they can be passed on.

This is true, they can be passed on, but not by Phillip Rivers in his first game against the Steelers. They will stop the run and then it will be time for Rivers to either step up or fade a little, but, even if he isn't up for the challenge this time, which I don't think he'll be, Rivers should be a good QB in the near future. I love the ATHENS BOY, in fact, I'm going to the game, but I'll be going for Big Ben and Steelers D.

good talk Glenn

 

[The Sponge]

when i see a game like this with guys making some good points on both sides i just move off of it. I do agree with most of the guys and think your missing something. The three and a half line leads me to believe the books want us to take Pitt. 2.5 and id think they want us to take SD.

 

[MrChristo]

under, under, under...

37.5 is a crazy total (imho)

Both teams want to run, both teams best at stuffing run.
Both D weakness is the pass, BB is having a shocker, and Rivers struggled in his first REAL test last week.
Another 17-13, 17-14 game either way?? :shrug:

 

[treynolds]

i agree with mr christo
is the under 37.5 a trap? That looks too good to be true, i expected this line to be a fg less and then i think i still would have played the under

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Its a very tough card this week...I only have two plays circled so far this week...KC and PITT...still not 100% on KC but I'm sold on PITT this week...I'm playing the same angle on both those games...I always consider young inexperienced QBs to be a liability...Schottenheimer has been keeping a pretty tight leash on Rivers throwing...I look for this week's game to be very similar to last week's...low scoring and defense...I think Pitt pulls this one out in the fourth...PITT goes back to what has worked in the past...defense and running the ball...I'm also leaning on NYG and Jaxs as well...any thoughts?...good luck with which ever way you go thats just my 2 cents...

Sounds like a lot of people are on Pitt. I haven't played SD but with a lot of good cappers on Pitt, including yourself, I may not play it. Just my opinion, but if Pitt covers the spread I think it will have more to do with this being a must-win game than anything else.

I haven't looked at the Giants game but I did jump on Jax -7. All last year I thought the Jags were the most underrated team in football and I think they are very underrated this year as well. Their defense is sick. I can't see the Jets doing too much on the road in this game. I personally think Jax wins by at least 10. Good luck Thom...

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

1. No, SD is not better than Pitt
2. Yes you are missing something
3. Yes they are giving the Bolts to much credit

I hope you took my playoff plays last year, and the Super Bowl play, here's another one for you-

PITT +3'

1. What makes Pitt a better team than SD at this point in the season? I don't see many areas where they have a decided advantage.
2. What exactly am I missing?
3. Why is -3.5 at home for a very good team getting too much credit?

Like I said, I could be way off on this game. But you didn't provide much reasoning for your answers.

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

here's something to ponder when wagering on the chargers

will you be comfortable as a charger backer with a 7-8-9-10-11 point lead entering the 4th quarter knowing that marty moose is on the sidelines???????

the guy will go run-run-run-punt all quarter keeping the steelers and the cover in play

Yeah, I was on the Chargers last week. Completely agree with your point. That's why I said Marty is their biggest weakness.

 

[SoCalYo]

Both D weakness is the pass, BB is having a shocker, and Rivers struggled in his first REAL test last week.
Another 17-13, 17-14 game either way?? :shrug:

I wouldn't say Rivers struggled last week, in fact I think he played better than expected, Marty held him back again and Rivers was pretty pissed about it. After how the media and fans have trashed Marty this week about his conservative calls last week after halftime, I think he'll let Cameron open up the play book a little more and I'm sure he'll have something up his sleeve to counter Pitts blitzes. Also, expect to see more of Turner LT's back up who is more of a power runner and fares better than LT against fast defenses per LT's admission, although LT ran for 98 yards against the Baltimore defense. Think they had around 140 yards combined on the ground. I dont think Pittsburgh can run on the chargers so they'll have to go with the pass but should be a lot of 3rd and long situations relying heavily on Ben's arm their biggest weakness so far. That's my take. Good luck to all.

 

[thom24ad]

Sounds like a lot of people are on Pitt. I haven't played SD but with a lot of good cappers on Pitt, including yourself, I may not play it. Just my opinion, but if Pitt covers the spread I think it will have more to do with this being a must-win game than anything else.

I haven't looked at the Giants game but I did jump on Jax -7. All last year I thought the Jags were the most underrated team in football and I think they are very underrated this year as well. Their defense is sick. I can't see the Jets doing too much on the road in this game. I personally think Jax wins by at least 10. Good luck Thom...

One thing to remember I think its either toaist or kneifl says something about the only thing that scares him more than a midget is a public road dog...:142smilie

Jacksonville, yeah I'm pretty high on them too...The other night I played them @ 35/1 to win the SB...