Tenn (-2.5) over Georgia
Georgia gets a spark with its starting QB returning from injury. The Bulldogs have not looked good in recent weeks and the offense has struggled. The defense has kept them in games but they really haven?t seen a very good offense. Tennessee offense averaging 32 points per game, second-most in the SEC. On Saturday at Memphis, the Volunteers amassed 566 yards of total offense. The wideouts (Swain and Meachem) are the top two targets for Ainge, who has thrown for 1,389 yards, 12 TDs and five interceptions through 5 games while completing 69.9 % of his passes. This offense is clicking and has the ability in the coaching staff to get a lot of production. Although the offense is doing its part the defense is now stepping up in games. Tennessee is allowing only 16.6 points and 284 ypg, despite having played Florida and Cal. Georgia?s defense is holding teams to less than 2 TD?s but this is a whole different test. Tenn will come out and move the ball on offense, I know the Georgia defense will step up at home but IMO there is too much speed at WR for the bulldogs secondary. I also think Tenn can open up some running room and take some pressure off Ainge. Georgia has struggled to get the running game going and a rusty QB will not ease the running game. I would expect Tenn will come out and try to test Tereshinski, force him to be the difference maker. I like this game as a tough rivalry, the past 2 games the away team has won and I like Tenn?s offense and a Georgia team that has not looked overly impressive.
Oklahoma (+5) over Texas
Texas front 7 against Peterson is going to be the question. The entire country is going to try to stop the Oklahoma running game yet he still produces big numbers. This is going to be a grudge match, but IMO the freshman QB might struggle in such a situation. I do not see Oklahoma as a team as solid as Ohio St But they are still good enough to make a game of this. Plus to give this (pissed after Oregon team) team 5 in such a rivalry is a good buy. Thompson has been playing well considering, but with everyone trying to stop the running game I would think that opens up coverage a bit. Texas will be ready for this game because they cannot afford to lose another game but Oklahoma will give them all they can handle. Texas has a great front 7 but screen passes from Oklahoma should result in big gains for Oklahoma. I am not expected a big shootout but I think this will be a dog fight and the teams defense will be the difference. In this game I have to take the points, with the running game and the experienced QB (even though he was at WR last year). Even though I do not think he is a great QB over the past few games he has gotten better and making solid reads. I know his best read is a check down to Peterson in the flat. Stoops will have his guys playing with a chip on thier shoulders.
Cheers
Irish