Sunday - 10-08

[#cruncher]

Had a disater week last week going 9-19. Hope no one took me too seriously :sadwave: After surveying the damage and spending endless hours with the calculator I performed a major overall with my power rating(s). I have N Illinois by 22.0 tonight but I'm only going to list it as a lean. I'm going to confine my selections to within a point spread range of +4.0 to -6.0 to cut down on plays. Be out with the rest of them no later than Thursday.

 

[#cruncher]

rest of the week

rest of the week

back to the old way...with major adjustments tho

Clemson -46.5 vs Temple
Va Tech -1.0 at B College
Air Force -3.0 vs Colorado St
Pittsburgh -11.0 at Cen Florida
W Virginia -22.5 vs Syracuse
Purdue -3.0 at Northwestern
Wisconsin -9.5 vs Minnesota
Iowa -16.0 at Indiana
N C State -2.5 vs Wake Forest
Maryland 'Pick' at Virginia
So Florida -7.5 at No Carolina
Cen Michigan -13.5 vs Ball St
UConn -5.0 vs Army
Navy -7.0 vs Rutgers
Missouri -2.5 at Texas A&M
Nebraska -8.5 at Kansas St
Alabama -19.0 vs Mississippi
Utah -1/2 at Wyoming
Tulsa -5.0 at E Carolina
SMU -3.0 vs Marshall
Florida -7.5 at Auburn
California -2.0 at Washington St
Georgia -10.0 vs Vanderbilt
Ohio St -10.0 at Michigan St
Florida St -16.0 at Duke
Washington -7.0 vs Oregon St
Oregon -6.0 vs UCLA
Kent St -8.0 vs Toledo
Bowling Green -18.0 vs vs E Michigan
Oklahoma -19.5 vs Iowa St
Hawaii -4.5 at Fresno St
Arizona -1.5 at Stanford
San Jose St -21.0 vs Utah St
UAB -2.0 at Rice
Illinois -6.0 vs Ohio
Louisville -25.5 vs Cincinnati
So Mississippi -2.0 vs Houston
Oklahoma St -1.5 at Kansas
Texas Tech -11.0 at Colorado
Texas -21.0 vs Baylor
Louisiana Tech -1.0 vs Idaho
LSU -27 vs Kentucky
So Cal -20.0 vs Arizona St
Michigan -2.0 at Penn St
UTEP -9.0 vs Tulane
New Mexico -3.0 at UNLV
Miami -16.5 vs Florida Intl
Memphis -7.0 vs Arkansas St
Troy St -10.5 vs ULM

Selections:
---------------
decided to with -13 to +13 spread range
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1. Florida +2.5 at Auburn
2. Washington St +7.5 vs California
3. Virginia +4.5 vs Maryland
4. So Florida -2.5 at No Carolina
5. Cen Michigan -9.0 vs Ball St
6. Navy -2.5 vs Rutgers
7. UCLA +11.0 at Oregon
8. Bowling Green -10.5 vs E Michigan
9. Oklahoma St +3.5 at Kansas
10. Penn St +7.0 vs Michigan
11. Tulane +13.5 at UTEP
12. Arkansas St +12.0 at Memphis

Leans:
---------
1. Alabama -14.0 vs Mississippi
2. Michigan St +16.0 vs Ohio St
3. Duke +22.0 vs Florida St
4. San Jose St -14.0 vs Utah St
5. Baylor +28.5 at Texas
6. Florida Intl +29.5 at Miami

 

[#cruncher]

Good DD Dog?

Good DD Dog?

Tulane +13.5 at UTEP
-------------------------------
1. I realize Tulane's defensive isn't world class but they can put up some points. In that type of situation I would never want to lay 13 to 13.5 points.

2. UTEP's average margin of victory in their 3 wins is 5.3 points.

San Diego St by 7.0
N Mexico St by 6.0
SMU by 3

Not exactly a top 25 schedule

3. And fwiw, read in a local paper yesterday where ever since Tulane went to a mostly no-huddle offense 2 weeks ago their offensive production, especially running game has been much improved.

4. Just think 13.5 is too much to give in this situation and that the Greenies have an outside chance to win straight up.