Early Plays:

[stwoody]

I always play early lines that have initial value compared to my numbers........problem of course is suspension, injury, etc......but sometimes presents great middling opp.....here is what I already played: Y-T-D: 33-32-1 -0.2 units......truth is these halftimes have been harder to predict and while a reliable system I use will kick in this week, I dumbfounded as to some of the 2nd half results. Will probably play on paper my halftimes (with system) this week, and see how things turn out!

Piits (-10) over Central FLorida...........I have this game capped at -18 and feel there is a lot of value in this overlooked Panther squad. (7 units)

Iowa (-17)......over Indiana..........I know, road chalk isn't a good thing to make a living on, but Hoosiers are reeling and Iowa may have the woodshed on the menu (5 unitS)

Wyoming (+4)..........over Utah.........I liked Utes situation on Thurs night, but Wyoming is tough at home and feel the wrong team is favored......I will probably be playing the ML on this one. (7 units)

Cal (-7).........bought the hook although I don't think I will need it.......Call is hitting their stride and Tedfords team should outshoot St. as I wasn't impressed with St. effort against the Beavs (5 units)

Florida St (-22).......Duck err Duke isn't a good football team and Florida St is usually good cover after a loss......If Virginia can beat Duke 37-0.....then Seminoles should be able to name the score. (5 units)


Have a good week~

 

[stwoody]

Add two totals:

Add two totals:

Just played two totals:

CSU/Air Force over 46 (5 Units)

Colorado State is averaging 23.4 points per game and 295 yards; mostly throught the air.......Air Force averaging 25.5 points and combined 342; mostly on the ground..........CSU plays the ground game fairly well only giving up 75 average BUT shutting down the likes of UNLV (averages 82 ypg rush) Colorado and Weber State isn't a great meter stick.........Air Force is a strong running team (averaging 265 yards on the ground).....and Rams will be hard pressed to slow down this attack. Air Force is a good team and has put up some good numbers against good defensive teams (Tenn, Wyoming, New Mexico).......I don't think they will have much trouble getting into the high 20's or low 30's in this one. Last year these two combined for 64 points..... Pred. Air Force 34- CSU 24.

Trend: Over is 14-2 in Air Force last 16 conference games........



Army/Uconn over 42 (10 units)

I played this one fairly large as both teams defense give up way too many yards (over 300 yards) and I feel this total is too low. U.Conn just surrendered 38 points to South FLorida and 41 to Navy........while Army built some confidence against a lowly VMI posting a 62-7 route. Army is a Jekyll and Hyde team but looking back they did post 24 against Texas A&M and 27 beating a decent Baylor squad....They did only score 14 against Rice which is a little concern, but feel that was an aberration and offense will click at U.Conn........Pred. UCONN 28- ARMY 24.........
* Over is 9-3 in Amry last 12 road games!

 

[stwoody]

Recap: 37-35-1 +1.8 units

Today actually was a good day as I won some on the Wyoming ML and have ASU pending.......my totals sucked but some things have become increasingly clear which should pave the way for some good weeks ahead. Hawaii put the wood to Fresno which I thought was interesting and Colorado upending T. Tech was a bit of a surprise. Some of these teams appear to be lying down early this season. I didn't expect ASU would pull off the upset but it might happen. This isn't looking good for USC with the schedule they have coming up. Should be a fun remainder of the season!
good Luck!