One word: Humbled.
After going 9-1-1 in Week 5 I had a total meltdown in Week 6 going a horrid & pathetic 2 & 7. :scared
Well looking at the brightside, maybe I'm due for another week in the black. Then again ... :shrug:
----------------
San Diego -5.5 @ Kansas City
KC-QB-Green-OUT
Not too hip betting with my team and definitely not against them.
KCs wins came against SF & AZ (a combined 3-8)
SD is on a 24-9-2 ATS run & has a 151 -55 pt edge, so far.
KC counters with a respectable 7-1 ATS trend at home, 19-6 ATS at home off a 30+ defensive effort, 34-10 ATS as a HD & a stellar 9-1 ATS mark as a HD vs an opponent off a pair of wins.
Last year. not that it matters, the Chiefs won 20-7.
Lean KC +5.5
----------------
Jacksonville -10.0 @ Houston
JAC-WR-Jones-Questionable
Jags are well rested, but unfortunately they're on the road, where they allow 28.5 ppg.
Texans are a 6-2 ATS series play.
Jags are 8-18 ATS as favs of 8+ pts & 5-12 ATS as RFs.
Lean Houston +10
-----------------
New England -5.5 @ Buffalo
First revenge game of the season, as the Bills went down, opening weekend, by a late safety. So it leads one to believe that the Bills may be worth a shot here.
NOT.
Bills have a 745-387 yd deficit over the past couple weeks & have topped 17 pts in 4 of their last 16 games.
Pats are money on the road, with a 383-12 RY edge, in the guest role. They've yet to allow 17 pts & are an outstanding 7-1 ATS as a RF. 16-6 ATS as division chalks & 18-4 ATS yielding 10 pts or less.
Pats are an amazing 16-2 ATS in their 2nd meeting with Buffalo
played NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5.5
-----------------
Pittsburgh -2.5 @ Atlanta
This one scares the bejesus out of me.
PASS
-----------------
Green Bay @ Miami -4.0
GB-RB-Green-Questionable
MIA-QB-Harrington-Expected to start
Another one I'm not interested in. Although it wouldn't surprise me if GB wins outright.
The underdog is 8-2-1 ATS in Miami games.
Miami is a horrid 0-7 ATS of HFs of more than 3.5 pts & 4-12 ATS hosting non-division.
Green Bay + or nothing
-------------------
Philadelphia -5.5 @ Tampa Bay
PHI-WR-Stallworth-Probable
Bucs lost by 27, 11, 2, 3, & 1 pt. It appears that they 're improving.
Eagles are on the 4th RG of the season, with 3 HGs on deck.
Reid is an impressive 12-3 ATS off a SU chalk loss.
Tampa counters with a 11-3 ATS mark in the 2nd of 2 HGs & 28-15 ATS as a non-division host, and 13-2 ATS as HDS.
played TAMPA BAY +5.5
------------------
Detroit @ New York JETS -3.5
DET-DT-Rogers-Suspended
not interested but -flip - Lean JETS +3.5
-----------------
Carolina @ Cincinnati -3.5
4th of a brutal 8 game run for the Bengals, whose 3-0 start has turned a bit shabby. 2 straight losses along with a RY deficit of 532-211 in their last 3 games.
Time for a bounceback ?
Not so fast.
The last HG they played New England gave them the whammy, to the tune of 38-13.
The Panthers finally got their 1st cover & are on a 4-0 SU run. Tight games are the rule when the Panthers take the field with 4 of its last 5 games decided by 3, 2, 3, & 2 pts SU.
The pup is now on a spectacular 42-16 run in Panther games.
Carolina is an outstanding 11-1 ATS play in October vs an opponent off a SU loss.
played CAROLINA PANTHERS +3.5
-----------------
Denver -5.0 @ Cleveland
Very interesting....
First non-Sunday Night affair for the Broncos, since week 2. Ironically they won all 3 of those games by the same 10 pt. margin, including consecutive 13-3 wins.
Broncos are 13-5 ATS vs non-division foes
Brownies are 6-14 ATS vs winning teams & 2-13 ATS off a pair of SU losses, when taking on an opponent a DD win.
ever-so-slight lean towards Denver -5.0
------------------
Washington @ Indianapolis -9.5
IND-K-Vinatieri-Questionable
The 5-0 Colts are fresh off their bye. The "O" looks great as usual byt the "D" ranks 2nd to last in them NFL, allowing 180 RY per game in their last 3.
Brunell is hurting & Washington is 3-11 ATS off a SU chalk loss.
Colts are an impressive 10-2 ATS vs an opponent off a SU loss.
Chalk is just as impressive going 7-0-1 ATS when 'Skins are on the road.
Lean Colts -9.5
-----------------
Minnesota @ Seattle -6.5
SEA-RB-Alexander-OUT
SEA-TE-Stevens, WR-Engram-Both Questionable
At first glance Minnesota plus the 6.5/7 appeared attractive. However its hard to back a team that has only scored 2 offensive TDs in its last 16+ quarters.
Vikings are 7-16 ATS a non-division RDs & 3-9 ATS in RGs before a Monday Nighter.
The home team is an outstanding 10-1-1 ATS play in Seattle games lately.
Seahawks are only 19 pts from a 19-3 ATS run.
Holmgren is 15-3 ATS at home vs non-division foes off a SU & ATS loss.
Nuff for me....
played SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -6.5
------------------
Arizona -3.0 @ Oakland
AZ-WR-Fitzgerald
Yuck.
Az is only 1 pt away from a 0-5 ATS start, 2-11 ATS away vs losing teams, & 4-17 ATS on non-divsion road.
I hate to even mouth it.....
lean to Oakland +
===========
New York Giants @ Dallas -3.0
Giants "D" posted 7 sacksin dismantling the Falcons in Atlanta LW. Their "O" ranks 22nd in the NFL. Impressive indeed.
But the Boys aint lacking "O" (26.2 ppg average in their 3 chalk roles)
Giants are a recent 2-9 spread plays on Mondays, and 10-19 as Monday guests.
Tough call.
played DALLAS COWBOYS -3.0
==========
Best to all
SC
After going 9-1-1 in Week 5 I had a total meltdown in Week 6 going a horrid & pathetic 2 & 7. :scared
Well looking at the brightside, maybe I'm due for another week in the black. Then again ... :shrug:
----------------
San Diego -5.5 @ Kansas City
KC-QB-Green-OUT
Not too hip betting with my team and definitely not against them.
KCs wins came against SF & AZ (a combined 3-8)
SD is on a 24-9-2 ATS run & has a 151 -55 pt edge, so far.
KC counters with a respectable 7-1 ATS trend at home, 19-6 ATS at home off a 30+ defensive effort, 34-10 ATS as a HD & a stellar 9-1 ATS mark as a HD vs an opponent off a pair of wins.
Last year. not that it matters, the Chiefs won 20-7.
Lean KC +5.5
----------------
Jacksonville -10.0 @ Houston
JAC-WR-Jones-Questionable
Jags are well rested, but unfortunately they're on the road, where they allow 28.5 ppg.
Texans are a 6-2 ATS series play.
Jags are 8-18 ATS as favs of 8+ pts & 5-12 ATS as RFs.
Lean Houston +10
-----------------
New England -5.5 @ Buffalo
First revenge game of the season, as the Bills went down, opening weekend, by a late safety. So it leads one to believe that the Bills may be worth a shot here.
NOT.
Bills have a 745-387 yd deficit over the past couple weeks & have topped 17 pts in 4 of their last 16 games.
Pats are money on the road, with a 383-12 RY edge, in the guest role. They've yet to allow 17 pts & are an outstanding 7-1 ATS as a RF. 16-6 ATS as division chalks & 18-4 ATS yielding 10 pts or less.
Pats are an amazing 16-2 ATS in their 2nd meeting with Buffalo
played NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5.5
-----------------
Pittsburgh -2.5 @ Atlanta
This one scares the bejesus out of me.
PASS
-----------------
Green Bay @ Miami -4.0
GB-RB-Green-Questionable
MIA-QB-Harrington-Expected to start
Another one I'm not interested in. Although it wouldn't surprise me if GB wins outright.
The underdog is 8-2-1 ATS in Miami games.
Miami is a horrid 0-7 ATS of HFs of more than 3.5 pts & 4-12 ATS hosting non-division.
Green Bay + or nothing
-------------------
Philadelphia -5.5 @ Tampa Bay
PHI-WR-Stallworth-Probable
Bucs lost by 27, 11, 2, 3, & 1 pt. It appears that they 're improving.
Eagles are on the 4th RG of the season, with 3 HGs on deck.
Reid is an impressive 12-3 ATS off a SU chalk loss.
Tampa counters with a 11-3 ATS mark in the 2nd of 2 HGs & 28-15 ATS as a non-division host, and 13-2 ATS as HDS.
played TAMPA BAY +5.5
------------------
Detroit @ New York JETS -3.5
DET-DT-Rogers-Suspended
not interested but -flip - Lean JETS +3.5
-----------------
Carolina @ Cincinnati -3.5
4th of a brutal 8 game run for the Bengals, whose 3-0 start has turned a bit shabby. 2 straight losses along with a RY deficit of 532-211 in their last 3 games.
Time for a bounceback ?
Not so fast.
The last HG they played New England gave them the whammy, to the tune of 38-13.
The Panthers finally got their 1st cover & are on a 4-0 SU run. Tight games are the rule when the Panthers take the field with 4 of its last 5 games decided by 3, 2, 3, & 2 pts SU.
The pup is now on a spectacular 42-16 run in Panther games.
Carolina is an outstanding 11-1 ATS play in October vs an opponent off a SU loss.
played CAROLINA PANTHERS +3.5
-----------------
Denver -5.0 @ Cleveland
Very interesting....
First non-Sunday Night affair for the Broncos, since week 2. Ironically they won all 3 of those games by the same 10 pt. margin, including consecutive 13-3 wins.
Broncos are 13-5 ATS vs non-division foes
Brownies are 6-14 ATS vs winning teams & 2-13 ATS off a pair of SU losses, when taking on an opponent a DD win.
ever-so-slight lean towards Denver -5.0
------------------
Washington @ Indianapolis -9.5
IND-K-Vinatieri-Questionable
The 5-0 Colts are fresh off their bye. The "O" looks great as usual byt the "D" ranks 2nd to last in them NFL, allowing 180 RY per game in their last 3.
Brunell is hurting & Washington is 3-11 ATS off a SU chalk loss.
Colts are an impressive 10-2 ATS vs an opponent off a SU loss.
Chalk is just as impressive going 7-0-1 ATS when 'Skins are on the road.
Lean Colts -9.5
-----------------
Minnesota @ Seattle -6.5
SEA-RB-Alexander-OUT
SEA-TE-Stevens, WR-Engram-Both Questionable
At first glance Minnesota plus the 6.5/7 appeared attractive. However its hard to back a team that has only scored 2 offensive TDs in its last 16+ quarters.
Vikings are 7-16 ATS a non-division RDs & 3-9 ATS in RGs before a Monday Nighter.
The home team is an outstanding 10-1-1 ATS play in Seattle games lately.
Seahawks are only 19 pts from a 19-3 ATS run.
Holmgren is 15-3 ATS at home vs non-division foes off a SU & ATS loss.
Nuff for me....
played SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -6.5
------------------
Arizona -3.0 @ Oakland
AZ-WR-Fitzgerald
Yuck.
Az is only 1 pt away from a 0-5 ATS start, 2-11 ATS away vs losing teams, & 4-17 ATS on non-divsion road.
I hate to even mouth it.....
lean to Oakland +
===========
New York Giants @ Dallas -3.0
Giants "D" posted 7 sacksin dismantling the Falcons in Atlanta LW. Their "O" ranks 22nd in the NFL. Impressive indeed.
But the Boys aint lacking "O" (26.2 ppg average in their 3 chalk roles)
Giants are a recent 2-9 spread plays on Mondays, and 10-19 as Monday guests.
Tough call.
played DALLAS COWBOYS -3.0
==========
Best to all
SC
