nflx.........................8-8............+5.80*
nfl regular season.....22-13*......+55.72*
4*n.e-4(130)....
i took the bills last week against the lions & wasn't at all impressed with their performance against a winless team that had a patch work offensive line & one of the worse rushing attacks in the league. they allowed the lions rusher to gain about 125 yards & seemed to let roy williams roam free in the 2ndary.a lot of people will chalk that performance up to the bills looking ahead to this week's game against the pats.but i disagree. the bills, imo needed that win to get to 3-3 & a shot of a wild card for the playoffs, they know that they will never catch n.e. for first place in their division. but instead neither their offense or their defense looked very good.
on the other hand n.e. looks like they are starting to get their act together.they are coming off a bye week & in the 2 previous games they gave up 13 points to cin. & 10 points to miami.i think brady is getting more comfortable with his wide receivers & with the addition of maroney in the backfield, n.e. seems to have a good rushing attack.
there are a few trends that support this play & i think the pats will be at the top of their game against the bills.
4*phil-4(130)....
phil. is coming off a road loss to the saints while t.b. beat cin. at home last week. since andy reid became coach of the eagles, phil. is 8-0 ats on the road when on a 1 game su/ats losing streak. also phil.is 6-0 ats as a favorite off a su/ats loss last week vs. a team that is off a su/ats win.
one of the reasons why t.b. was able to get their first win last week was because they were facing a defense (cin.) that ranks #29 in yards per carry allowed (4.71). this enabled the bucs to stay on the field & prevent the cin. offense from getting into any type of flow. they won't be able to do this against a phil. defense that allows 3.63 yds. per rush. imo, this will force t.b. to pass more than they would want with a rookie qb.
this is a bad spot for t.b.coming off a game in which they had to battle throughout to get their first win & i think phil wins pretty comfortably.
4*washington+10(130)....
this may be a sucker play. i can't figure out why indy is such a big favorite over the skins. is it because wash. lost last week to tenn. as a double digit favorite ? but teams that lose as a favorite of 6 points or more are 122-70-8 ats (63%) as a dog in their next game.and in their last 10 times,wash. is 10-0 ats in their next game after a su loss as a td + favorite
eventhough indy is unbeaten, 4 of their 5 wins have been by 7 points or less. their defense is allowing teams that average 4 yds. per carry on the year to rush for 5.3 ypr. bettis averages 4.3 ypr & betts averages 4.6 ypr for wash.
i think wash. should stay within the number with their running attack.
good luck.
nfl regular season.....22-13*......+55.72*
4*n.e-4(130)....
i took the bills last week against the lions & wasn't at all impressed with their performance against a winless team that had a patch work offensive line & one of the worse rushing attacks in the league. they allowed the lions rusher to gain about 125 yards & seemed to let roy williams roam free in the 2ndary.a lot of people will chalk that performance up to the bills looking ahead to this week's game against the pats.but i disagree. the bills, imo needed that win to get to 3-3 & a shot of a wild card for the playoffs, they know that they will never catch n.e. for first place in their division. but instead neither their offense or their defense looked very good.
on the other hand n.e. looks like they are starting to get their act together.they are coming off a bye week & in the 2 previous games they gave up 13 points to cin. & 10 points to miami.i think brady is getting more comfortable with his wide receivers & with the addition of maroney in the backfield, n.e. seems to have a good rushing attack.
there are a few trends that support this play & i think the pats will be at the top of their game against the bills.
4*phil-4(130)....
phil. is coming off a road loss to the saints while t.b. beat cin. at home last week. since andy reid became coach of the eagles, phil. is 8-0 ats on the road when on a 1 game su/ats losing streak. also phil.is 6-0 ats as a favorite off a su/ats loss last week vs. a team that is off a su/ats win.
one of the reasons why t.b. was able to get their first win last week was because they were facing a defense (cin.) that ranks #29 in yards per carry allowed (4.71). this enabled the bucs to stay on the field & prevent the cin. offense from getting into any type of flow. they won't be able to do this against a phil. defense that allows 3.63 yds. per rush. imo, this will force t.b. to pass more than they would want with a rookie qb.
this is a bad spot for t.b.coming off a game in which they had to battle throughout to get their first win & i think phil wins pretty comfortably.
4*washington+10(130)....
this may be a sucker play. i can't figure out why indy is such a big favorite over the skins. is it because wash. lost last week to tenn. as a double digit favorite ? but teams that lose as a favorite of 6 points or more are 122-70-8 ats (63%) as a dog in their next game.and in their last 10 times,wash. is 10-0 ats in their next game after a su loss as a td + favorite
eventhough indy is unbeaten, 4 of their 5 wins have been by 7 points or less. their defense is allowing teams that average 4 yds. per carry on the year to rush for 5.3 ypr. bettis averages 4.3 ypr & betts averages 4.6 ypr for wash.
i think wash. should stay within the number with their running attack.
good luck.
