2008 is the key year for these Democrats. Winning the Presidency will start getting increasingly tougher for them. Demographers say that after the 2010 census, more electoral college votes will shift in favor of the red states, wth no end in sight to this trend.
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We Are Firmly Behind Hillary Clinton, And Will Remain So For As Long As It Takes Barack Obama To Get In
Contributed by Jonathan Alter - Posted: October 24, 2006 11:41:03 AM
The latest iteration of the Barack Obama boomlet: Hillary Clinton's folks are quaking about the possibility of his running in 2008. There's even speculation an Obama race might preclude her getting in. Here's why: Hillary's game plan is to raise enough money and generate enough momentum to survive a loss in Iowa (perhaps to John Edwards, who is well-organized there) or New Hampshire (to the flavor of the moment), but then secure the nomination by running the table on Super Tuesday. The reason she thought she could do that is that Super Tuesday primaries in the Democratic Party are dominated by African-American voters, who generally love the Clintons. But there's someone they would love even more, namely a certain senator from Illinois.
To make matters even tougher for any other Democrat, an Obama adviser told me that if he runs, he would launch a huge voter registration drive in the South. The aim would be to so expand black registration that Southern states would no longer be gimmees for the GOP. At a minimum, it would pin down Republicans defending their base in the South. The little-known clincher is that Obama has personal experience in voter registration. Before entering the state Senate in 1996, he ran a registration drive that registered more than 100,000 new black voters in Chicago alone.
No wonder that when I saw Obama at an off-the-record book party on New York's East Side last week, the crowd included several of Hillary's biggest backers. They know this thing is changing fast.
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We Are Firmly Behind Hillary Clinton, And Will Remain So For As Long As It Takes Barack Obama To Get In
Contributed by Jonathan Alter - Posted: October 24, 2006 11:41:03 AM
The latest iteration of the Barack Obama boomlet: Hillary Clinton's folks are quaking about the possibility of his running in 2008. There's even speculation an Obama race might preclude her getting in. Here's why: Hillary's game plan is to raise enough money and generate enough momentum to survive a loss in Iowa (perhaps to John Edwards, who is well-organized there) or New Hampshire (to the flavor of the moment), but then secure the nomination by running the table on Super Tuesday. The reason she thought she could do that is that Super Tuesday primaries in the Democratic Party are dominated by African-American voters, who generally love the Clintons. But there's someone they would love even more, namely a certain senator from Illinois.
To make matters even tougher for any other Democrat, an Obama adviser told me that if he runs, he would launch a huge voter registration drive in the South. The aim would be to so expand black registration that Southern states would no longer be gimmees for the GOP. At a minimum, it would pin down Republicans defending their base in the South. The little-known clincher is that Obama has personal experience in voter registration. Before entering the state Senate in 1996, he ran a registration drive that registered more than 100,000 new black voters in Chicago alone.
No wonder that when I saw Obama at an off-the-record book party on New York's East Side last week, the crowd included several of Hillary's biggest backers. They know this thing is changing fast.
