Se?or Cappers Week 8 Leans/Plays

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Nov 14, 2000
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Normally I get the ball rolling on Tuesdays, however I must attend an Employee of the Month Party at the Palms this evening. So I will have post tomorrow.

But I did play CHICAGO -16. Thought I would put that up before the 17s come out.

:)
 

Dice34

Off parole
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Dec 18, 2004
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D.O.C.
after the AZ performance, I see the Bears relying more heavily on the run game and churning up the clock, creating short fields for the D, ocassionally taking shots downfield......GL on the play.....should be an inspired performance from a team off a bye who was embarrassed for 3 qtrs in there last game
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Minus Sixteen. Last team I gave that kind of points (over 10) I got slammed. Matter of fact it was with Da Bears. Sixth Sense had sense enough to stay clear.

Anyway.....


Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans -3.0

Second time chalk role for the Titans. First time was a loss to the JETS. Since then they've showed great progress vs the Colts & Skins (17.5 & 13.5 pt covers) and how about the running game? 408 yds in their last 2 games.

The visitor is strong, going 5-1 ATS in Titan games & they also lost their HG 45-17.

Titans are a horrid 3-12 ATS as division HFs.
Chalk series stands at 0-5 ATS.

One would have to be NSANE to back the Titans here.....


speechless-smiley-004.gif



NSANE play of the week.....

played TITANS -3.0



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Jacksonville Jaguars @ Phildelphia Beagles -6.0

JAC-QB-Leftwich-Questionable

Philly suffers another excruciating loss. when TB kick a 62 yd FG as time expired.

Jack came from a 34 pt cover to a 27.5 pt spread loss in a week. Home & away.

So far this year the host is a perfect 5-0-1 ATS in Jacksonville games, by an average of 17.3 ppg.

Beagles, with the NFLs top rated "O" whose 4 wins have come by 14, 14, 22, & 14 pts SU.

Division sandwich for the Jags.


played EAGLES -6.0
kar.gif


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Atlanta Falcons @ Cincinnati Bungholes -5.0

Cincy is only 2 pts away from a 5-1 SU start. Check a 882-333 RY disadvantage in their last 4 games, while averaging 14.4 ppg in the last 3.

First RG for the Falcons since Monday night loss to the Aints, who are still cranking it up overland (175-55 RY edge over Pit).

Visitor is 22-5-2 ATS in Cincy games.

Dog has covered by 19 & 24 pts in Atlantas first 2 RGs.

Falcons are on a 14-4 ATS run on Oct road vs winning teams.

Bungholes are 1-7 as non-division favs & 5-14 ATS vs NFC off SU win.


played FALCONS +5.0
sumo.gif


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Tampa Bay Bucc-a-beer @ New York Gents 9.0

Bucs are a horrendous 1-12 ATS on the non-division road.

Gents are a horrid 2-10 ATS in this series, & 13-3 as HFs of more than 5 pts.


pass


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San Francisco 69ers @ Chicago Da Bears -16.0

When something in the NFL looks too easy, it probably isn't, & I should have learned that when Chicago went into Arizona. So when I seen this line the first reaction would be to run away, without haste. This does appear too easy.

Both teams are fresh off their bye. San Frans lost their last RG to the tune of 41-0.

Bears have a 111-20 pt edge at home, and allow just 7.3 ppg in their last 9 regular season HGs.

Chicago is 16-6 ATS as non-division HF.



played DA BEARS -16.0
pop.gif



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Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay FudgePackers -3.5

AZ-WR-Fitzgerald-OUT
GB-RB-Green-Probable

Not too hip in this affair.

Pack are 3-9 ATS play as HF & a perfect 0-6 at home vs <.250 opponents.

Cards are 4-17 on the non-division road.

pass
sleeping-smiley-009.gif



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Seattle Seahags @ Kansas City Chefs -5.0

SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-OUT(sprained MCL)
SEA-RB-Alexander-OUT
KC-QB-Green-OUT

Skins snapped Seahags 12-game home win streak, and 5-0 ATS run in Seattle.

KC have covered 8 of their last 9 hosters. Huard continues to impress at 7/1 for the year. Joihnson ran over the Chargers LW, posting 132 RYs.

KC is 17-6 ATS at home off a win & cover,.

Seattle is a pultry 1-7 ATS of DD spread setback.

played my CHIEFS -6
kult.gif


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Baltimore Ravens @ New Orleans Aints -2.5

BAL-QB-McNair-Probable

Ravens round up their feared 28th ranked "O" and travel to Superdome. The bright spot here is that their 3rd ranked "D" has allowed 14 or less pts in 5 of the past 6 outtings.

Ravens a a horrid 2-12 SU on the road (3-11 ATS) as well as 6-12 ATS as a pup vs the NFC.


lean SAINTS -2.5

-----------------------


St. Louis Hams @ San Diego Chargers -8.5

SD-LB-Merriman-Expected to PLAY (appealing suspension)

I wouldn't bet the Hams on the road with BTJs money.

Rams are just 7-23 ATS on the non-division road & 7-18 ATS on the real stuff. Add a putrid 0-9 ATS vs. .666 or better foes off a SU loss.

SD is an impressive 13-4 ATS off being upset.


lean SAN DIEGO CHARGERS -8.5

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Pittsburgh Squeelers -8.5 @ Oakland Faders

PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Questionable
OAK-QB-Brooks-OUT, QB-Walter-Probable

After a 11-game skid, the Raiders win a game.
Good for them. This game? Not good for us. :nono:

Steelers are 10-1 ATS in the 2nd of 2 RGs.

Raiders 5-13 ATS as hosts off a win & cover.

pass


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New York JETS @ Cleveland Brownies -2.0

Currently I'm ot interested, but ....
lean JETS +2.0


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Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos -3.0

Tough game to call.

Colts are 15-4 ATS on the non-division road & 16-8 ATS off topping 27 pts but rank dead last in "D".

If the line was under the 3 I would have bit on Denver.

still might bite
mad.gif



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Dallas Cowgirls @ Carolina Panthers -5.0

CAR-WR-Smith-Probable

Second consecutive night game for the 'Boys who were embarrassed by the G-Men LW.

Carolina is 4-10 ATS non-division HF.

When the dog takes the field they are an impressive 42-16 ATS, in Panther games.

We all know the Cowboys took a dump LW.
kngt.gif



still slightly leaning COWBOYS +5.5 -, 6.0 soon


=========


New England Patriots- 2.5 @ Minnesota Vikings

NE-TE-Graham-Questionable

At first glance I was thinking Minnesota moneyline. I'll wait and watch the Joes push it up.

without question...VIKINGS
susel.gif

=========


Best to all
SC
 
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
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Strong trends:

Play On any road team off a bye that lost its last game bye 3 or less points before the bye. (20-4 83.3%) Baltimore


The Jaguars are 8-2-1 ATS as away dogs and the Eagles are grounded as a home favorites against the AFC with a 4-12 against the spread mark. SU winner of Jacksonville games in October is 18-1-1 ATS.


Broncos team that is 11-2 ATS in October against a team off two more consecutive wins.
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
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Waiting for the Dallas line to rise.

In addition to the M/L plays...

FINAL PLAYS

TEN -3.0

ATL +5.0

PHI -6.0

CHI -16.0

IND +3.0 :scared

NOR -1.5 :scared

-----

MIN +2.5


BEST TO ALL

SC
 
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
RECAP

RECAP

SHIFTY MAC
Sorry I didn't see your post and unfortunately you didn't see I was also on the moneyline. Hopefully you cashed.

==============



TEN -3.0 WINNAH

ATL +5.0 OUTRIGHT WINNAH!!

PHI -6.0 LOSSAH -NEVER IN THE GAME

CHI -16.0 HUGE WINNAH

PIT -8.5 HUGE LOSSAH- BIG BEN BITES

DAL +5.0 OUTRIGHT WINNAH

NOR -1.5 LOSSAH

IND +3.0 OUTRIGHT WINNAH

5-3

--------------------


ATL +180 M/L WINNAH

ARI +180 M/L LOSSAH

DAL M/L +200 WINNAH

+2.80
 
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