Se?or Cappers Week 11 Leans/Plays

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Nov 14, 2000
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Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs -9.5

OAK-QB-Brooks-back to practicing, but not expected to start
KC-QB-Green-Expected to start; TE-Gonzalez-OUT

Well the Raiders streak didn't last too long. No surprise. Back to their normal ways. Check 6.5 ppg pts in their last 2 games. Can't get a lower ranking in "O" but their "D" has stepped it up.

They travel to the feared confines of Arrowhead Stadium ;) Where they meet up with my beloved Chiefs who are averaging 35.3 ppg in the last 3 hosters. With Johnson running like a fleeing felon (534 RYs last 4 games) Huard, 11-1, this season will be taking a back seat to returning starter Green.

Being 2 games behind both the Chargers & Broncos I believe the these Chiefs will get the cover.

KC is an impressive 12-2 ATS in 2nd division hoster.

Oakland is a pathetic 10-20 ATS on the road, the last 30.

Tough to lay this number with a cold QB, but call me a homer. Doah !!

Kansas City Chiefs -9.5

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Indianapolis Colts -1.0 @ Dallas Cowboys

DAL-WR-Glenn-Questionable
DAL-WR-Glenn-Questionable

Colts made history being the 1st team in NFL history to open 9-0 consecutive seasons. Manning enters the game at a stellar 18/1.

Cowboys enter the game in somewhat of a interesting pattern... W,L,W,L,W,L,W in their last 7 games, both SU & ATS.

Indy is 11-4 ATS as a favorite vs the NFC & 16-4 ATS on the non-division road.

W = win number 10.

Indianapolis Colts -1.0

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Cincinnati Bengals @ New Orleans Saints -3.5 (50)

CIN-WR-Houshmandzadeh-Probable
NO-WR-Horn-Probable

Cincy enters this game on a 3-game losing streak, despite averaging 29.3 ppg. We all know what happened LW vs the Chargers. Can't & won't put a dime on a team that has no "D".

The only thing the Bengals got going for them is that the visitor in Cincy games is 24-6 ATS.

New Orleans on the otherhand are off their defeat at the hands of the Steelers despite a 517 TYs & 29 FDs.

Only play here is the OVER 50, which currently stands at 50.5 - 51.

I blow at totals, so this game will probable go under. Still....

OVER 50

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Pittsburgh Steelers -3.0 @ Cleveland Brownies

PIT-S-Polamalu-Probable
CLE-RB-Droughns-Questionable

Throw out that shocking win at Atlanta LW, with only 9-FDs & 236 TYs. Unreal. Brownies rank 29th overall in "O". Their "D" has held their opponents to 16, 19, 15, 17, & 13 pts in their last hosters.

Is Ben back ? 3/1 last week at home vs. the Saints.

Pittsburgh is 15-5 ATS on the division road & 14-4 ATS vs a losing division team, which checks in off a SU & ATS win.

Cleveland is 5-12 ATS off a win.

Not that it makes much of a difference but the Steelers beat them 41-0 LY.

Wasn't too hip about playing this one but....

Lean Steelers -3.0
I still see a 3 here and there, but mostly hooks.
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Tennessee Titans @ Philadelphia Eagles -12.5

TEN-QB-Young-Probable
TEN-WR-Givens-OUT

An early play for me.

12.5 ?? Now at 13 even 13.5. With a team that is 5-4. To the Titans who came close in upsetting the "D" backed Ravens. Believe me I was thnking the same thing early before I bet 'em.
But do remember theTitans blew a 26-7 lead until the Ravens 28th ranked "O" oulled out that W.

Eagles are 14-6 ATS at home, off a SU win & cover & 17-7 ATS home, off holding a foe to to 10pts or less.

Simply put this is the NFLs #1 ranked "O" vs the NFLs #32 ranked "D".

Nuff said....

Philadelphia Eagles -12.5

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Atlanta Falcons @ Baltimore Ravens -4.0

BAL-LB-Lewis-Doubtful
BAL-RB-Smith-Questionable

At first sight I said to myslef "self this lline looks tasty" then I realized it looked TOO tasty.

The dog is 7-2 ATS in Atlanta games this season.

Falcons are 9-3 ATS on the November road off a SU & ATS loss.

Lean Falcons + the current 4.5

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St. Louis Rams @ Carolina Panthers -7.0

STL-OT-Pace-OUT

Agree with Pep here.

Panthers are just 4-11 ATS as non-division Road Favs.

Simply put Panthers 19th ranked "D" vs. Rams 4th ranked "O" + 7.0 full pts = A play.

St. Louis Rams +7.0

I hear it now....
psst Se?or Capper is actually posting a pup. LOL.
That will be enough of that, take it to the back of the class!!
costumed-smiley-089.gif


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Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans -2.5

HOU-QB-Carr-Probable; DE-Williams-Questionable

Here's a sniffer for ya.

Bills enter the game 31st in the NFL on the "O" side. Houston....ah nevermind this game blows.

Pup is a stellar 7-1 ATS when Buffalo travels.

Texans covered last HG by 27.5 pts.

pass the brussel sprouts, please

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New England Patriots @ Green Bay Packers

An early play for me.

The visitor is 8-0-1 ATS in Patriots games.

Simply put it's Brady (although struggling) vs the NFLs worst passing "D".

New England Patriots -5.5

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Washington Redskins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.0

WAS-RB-Portis-Out, (QB) Campbell expected to start.
WAS-WR-Moss-Questionable
TB-QB-McCown-practicing, may be available

In a basket ?

Skins are toast. Especially without Portis. Even Papa Smurf
costumed-smiley-069.gif
can't help them. Though catching the Bucs off a Monday Nighter sheds some light.

Bucs are 29-15 ATS as non-division hosts.

Check this : the Chalk 15-5 ATS in Washington games, and a near perfect 9-0-1 ATS when they travel.

Lean Buccaneers -3.0 are nothing, Honey


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Chicago Bears @ New York Jets -6.5

CHI-WR-Berrian-Questionable
NYJ-RB-Houston-Questionable

Back to back Meadowland games for Da Bears, who slayed the Giants last week, 38-20 after trailing 13-3 late in the 1st half.

Jets stayed with the Colts & Patriots as hosts early on and shocked the Patriots LW.

Jets are 10-19 ATS when hosting the NFC.

Da Bears are 17-3 ATS as non division travelers.

Smith is a perfect 6-0 ATS away vs an opponent off a SU win.

Chicago Bears -5.5

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Minnesta Vikings @ Miami Dolphins -3.5

MN-WR-Robinson-Questionable

What's that you say? There's no "O" in Minnesta?Exactly.
They've been held under 20 pts in 7 of their last 9. However much like the Brownies, and sorta like the Raiders, their "D" is the only bright spot. They've held 13 of their last 16 foes to 19 pts or less.

The dog is a solid 10-4-1 ATS in Miami games.

Fins are a horrid 1-8 ATS at home off a SU win & cover. Add 5-14 ATS as non-division hosts.

Minnesota Vikings +3.5

WATCH IT !!!!
bigear.gif


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Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals -2.0

ARZ (WR) Fitzgerald-Probable

Pee-u.

Do I have to?

Heads or Tails?

Cardinals lost 8 in a row,after winning the first & only game, to SF, at their new crib.

Root, root, root for the home team

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Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

SEA-QB-Hasselbeck Questionable, RBs-Alexander and Morris Probable, WR-Engram-Out
SF-TE-Davis-Questionable, SF-RB-Gore-Probable

OFF BOARD.

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San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos -2.0

AFC WEST Showdown.

The impressive 7-2 Chargers invade Mile High vs the 7-2 Broncos. Chargers enter the game with their 3rd ranked "O" & 2nd ranked "D". How sweet it is, unless of course your a CHIEF fan
angry-smiley-002.gif


Broncos counter 17th & 15th respectively in those categories.

Jake is 10/10 & the Broncos have only topped 17 pts twice. (31 pts vs the Colts & Steeelrs)

A smart man would be all over the Chargers here.


speechless-smiley-005.gif




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New York Giants @ Jacksonville Jaguars

NYG-Multliple (defensive) injuries


forthcoming
 
Last edited:

Morris

Tent Maker
Forum Member
Aug 23, 2002
32,058
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Above the Clouds....
Wow Philly -13 1/2 Don't really look at the games till Thurs. That seems like a lot for a team that isn't that impressive. I do alot of going against and this might be another spot. Like going against the trap. GL
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Final Plays........

KC -9.5
INDY -1.0
NO/CIN OVER 50
PHI -12.5
ATL +4.5
STL +7.0
NE -5.5
MIN +3.5
CHI -5.5
DEN -2.0

Lotta action. may be looking for trouble.

Best to all

SC
 

gardenweasel

el guapo
Forum Member
Jan 10, 2002
40,575
226
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"the bunker"
was perusing the halftime stats and i saw trent green......2/4 for 11 yards?.....

wtf is that all about?.....i`m not watching this game,but,that looked a bit odd...

honestly,if they`re afraid to let the guy play,sit his ass down....

pretty incredible stat....
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
guess I found trouble

guess I found trouble

:scared 2-5 sides 0-1 total ????:scared

Wow. Do I need this vacation or what.

Thank the BIG guy for my College plays & my Chiefs win today :)

Pending....

INDY -1.0

DEN -2.0
 
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