nfl plays for 11/19-11/20...

A

AR182

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nflx......................8-8..........+5.80*
regular season.....36-25.......+42.78*

have been in a slump for the past few weeks....so follow at your own risk....


Jets+7(120)....

chicago is coming off a big sunday night win over the giants and has another tough game at new england on deck., so maybe chicago is looking past the jets today....also the bears ears are just 2-7 ATS their last nine games against 'non-conference' opponents.


wash.+3......

this is mainly a bet on the skins because nobody expects anything from them today because of starting a new qb.....also read about a system that applies to the skins for today....the league is 11-0 ats as a road dog when they were a td + road dog last week & got a first down on less than 25% of their offensive plays....this system qualified twice already this year....in week 2 buff.beat miami getting 6.5 points & in week 3 tenn. lost by 3 getting 10 in miami.


pitt.-3(120)....

pitt. is stronger on the line of scrimmage than cleve. & will continue riding the pitt. train as i did last week


minn.+4(120).....

other than their blowout loss to n.e., minn. has lost 4 of 5 games by 6 or fewer points....so think they will hang close in this game.


s.f+4(120).....

s.f. has played close games at home against similar type teams to seattle....in addition they will have gore back at running back & davis back at tightend.


carolina-6....

this is an anti-net play because everywhere i go posters are picking the rams...& they may be right...but i have also read many trends supporting a carolina play.


good luck.
 
A

AR182

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had a decent day yesterday...looking to continue with tonight's play....


jax.-3(133).....

i have been a giant fan for many years & picking against them is a tough decision for me, but i think they are in a bad position for tonight's game.

both teams have injuries, but i think the the injuries to the giants are more critical....entering last week's game against the bears, the giants were missing 5 starters, including their starting defensive ends (who provided the main pass rush),one of their top linebackers, who was a big free agent signing, & their under-rated leading receiver.....during last week's game one of their top offensive linemen went down to a season ending injury & one of their top corner's re-injured his hamstring & may miss this game.

in addition to the giant injuries, they have been having trouble moving the ball over the last 3 games & their average points per game scored has decreased dramatically.....& now they face one of the best defenses in the league.....

i see the jax. qb having time to throw to his receivers, while manning throwing a few ints.

some interesting info on tonight's game....

a statisical site that i use checked the history of games with similar line movement as this game.....& during the past 3 seasons....the home favorite covered the line 23 times (72%), while the dog covered the line only 9 times....

another site that i use (not a sports book) has determined that to date there have been close to 57,00 bets made on tonight's game..... 72% of those bets are on the giants....yet the line went from 3 to 4.....


good luck.
 
R

rocky mountain

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Awesome info, your stuff is a must read for me. I would be up shats-creek if i was not looking at your threads.
thanks
Rocky
 
J

just cover

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AR182-

I like that such a high percentage is on NY with the Jags going from 3 to 4. The only thing that makes me leary is evey tout in the service forum is on the Jags, usually i would throw down a little on the Giants for the principle of that. I guess they have to be right sometime. Any thoughts on the over?

good luck

jc
 
A

AR182

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thanks guys...of course we all know that there is no guarantees in betting & i may be wrong....but whether jax covers i'll just go onto next week's games....


justcover....

it doesn't matter to me if touts like my side or not. i just have to take who i like & hope for the best.

i have no opinion on the total but here is system that i read about favoring the over....

the league is 10-0 ou as a home favorite after a straight up loss at home as a td+ favorite. the jaguars lost outright to the texans last week as a big home favorite & they are home chalk again this week. over the past half-dozen seasons, teams in this situation have gone over the posted total by an average of nearly two tds.

of course you know that eventhough of what is stated in the above system this is not a lock that the total will go over....

good luck.
 
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