Billy Blastoffs Picks 11/21/06

[Billy Blastoff]

yesterday 1-1 -$25
overall 1-1 -$25

Todays plays are: all bets are $250

Florida International +10 vs S. Florida BB line says line should be +14

E Illinois +5 1/2 vs Wiscosin GB BB line says line should be +8 1/2

Good luck to all

 

[momoney]

1-1 last night Bill....2-0 tonight!

 

[kozski61]

Good Luck tonight Billy !

 

[Dennis Kang]

BB,

Your system is now 2-2. I would like to know if you are basing your info on last year's stats or is it a predicted scores system spat out by your computer. Also, do you follow the Sagarin ratings system? Does it matter to your system if a team is nationally ranked?

Just curious,

Dennis K

 

[Go Vols!]

ho come you take fl intl when you think the line should be +14 and you take them at 10. I do not get it and the line really should have been +24. Can you please explain?

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

ho come you take fl intl when you think the line should be +14 and you take them at 10. I do not get it and the line really should have been +24. Can you please explain?

I knew I should have taken over the total!

 

[Go Vols!]

Why don't you just explain. Is it because BB thinks that the line has been lowered by Vegas because he believes they know something and therefore he should take the side he thinks is getting the worse line?

Someone just answer yes or no.

 

[s_dooley24]

Why don't you just explain. Is it because BB thinks that the line has been lowered by Vegas because he believes they know something and therefore he should take the side he thinks is getting the worse line?

Someone just answer yes or no.

That is pretty much it

 

[ysg3]

yes yes

 

[Billy Blastoff]

BB,

Your system is now 2-2. I would like to know if you are basing your info on last year's stats or is it a predicted scores system spat out by your computer. Also, do you follow the Sagarin ratings system? Does it matter to your system if a team is nationally ranked?

Just curious,

Dennis K

Last years stats don't matter the only stat I use is home court for each team(I have differnt numbers for about 120 schools). I don't use any ratings but my own computer generated figures and my qfactor ratings. And no ranking doesn't play a part in my system.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Why don't you just explain. Is it because BB thinks that the line has been lowered by Vegas because he believes they know something and therefore he should take the side he thinks is getting the worse line?

Someone just answer yes or no.

I have been working on this computer program for over 10 years. I have it to the point where almost all lines are within 2 points of the Vegas opening line. When a game come and the line is off by more than 3 points but less than 8 points its a play on the short side. If injuries are involved i throw out the game sometimes I miss an injury but I try to read up on a game before making selection. I do nothing at all my computer program has the ability to select the games I just enter the data. Very time consuming. I feel the main reason my program can be successful is my qfactor ratings . Qfactor doesn't select teams it just tell me which teams are getting run down therefore a bad play.