Billy Blastoffs picks 11/28/06

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Billy Blastoff

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Jan 23, 2005
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yesterday 1-0 +$250
overall 9-3 +$1425

Today's plays are: all bets are $250

UNLV +14 vs ARIZONA BB line says Wildcats at home should be a 18 point favorite.

Game of interest but no play is GT . Based on BB numbers they should be only a 9 1/2 point favorite. Line opened at -15 would be a play but both teams have low Qfactor numbers. Too risky a play.

Good luck to all
 
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Flipper13

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Apr 9, 2000
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Billy, per your note in your thread from yesterday, you stated that it is better off to wait it out as the line movement tends to go against your selections...Should we wait this one out as well?
 
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Dayad

Sic 'em
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Dec 14, 2005
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Billy - First off let me say that I respect your system and watch your posts daily. That being said, I'm somewhat confused with your theory on UNLV. If the line keeps moving up (+15 currently) at what point is it no longer a play since you say the line should be +18?

This is not one of those I don't understand your system questions. But your system is based on spreads that don't make sense. And if the spread comes closer to your capped number, it becomes a no play. Just curious on your thoughts.

Again, thanks
 
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BGFalcon

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Jan 3, 2005
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If the line keeps moving up (+15 currently) at what point is it no longer a play since you say the line should be +18?
Click to expand...
I tried to pose a similar question last week and didn't get an answer. Your question is valid. Since +14 is a play, wouldn't +13.5 or +13 become an even stronger play?
 
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Yosemite

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Nov 26, 2003
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BGFalcon said:
I tried to pose a similar question last week and didn't get an answer. Your question is valid. Since +14 is a play, wouldn't +13.5 or +13 become an even stronger play?
Click to expand...


i believe it goes by the opening line. if the line is set too low, for example 14 instead of 18, then people will bet it up, like tonight to 15 or 15.5.

thanks for the winners, and thanks for sharing them as well
 
B

Billy Blastoff

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Jan 23, 2005
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Dayad said:
Billy - First off let me say that I respect your system and watch your posts daily. That being said, I'm somewhat confused with your theory on UNLV. If the line keeps moving up (+15 currently) at what point is it no longer a play since you say the line should be +18?

This is not one of those I don't understand your system questions. But your system is based on spreads that don't make sense. And if the spread comes closer to your capped number, it becomes a no play. Just curious on your thoughts.

Again, thanks
Click to expand...

All my picks are based on the 9AM VIP betting line. What ever money goes on teams from there I have no interest. Usually the money will go on the opposite team hence waiting to get a better line. And No I don't like it when money goes on my selection as most bettors are losers. Dont waste too many brain cells on my system it makes no sense it just wins.
 
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