nfl plays for 11/30-12/3.....

A

AR182

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since there is a game tomorrow & since i will be home watching it i thought it would be more enjoyable if i played it....


under 45(130) cin/balt...

played this yesterday at olympic once i heard that the there will be a good chance of rain & thunderstorms during the game.....i also feel that balt. may try to play keep away from the cin. offense....

here are some situations that also leaned me to the under....


play under - home teams against the total (cincinnati) - off 2 consecutive road wins, in weeks 10 through 13.

last 10 seasons the ats record is....31-7......81.6%


play under - home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (cincinnati) - excellent passing team (>=7.3 pya) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 pya) after 8+ games, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.

since 1983 the ats record is....26-5........83.9%


good luck.
 
A

AR182

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thanks guys...

i got a little greedy...i jumped on over 40 when betcris went to that number.so for tonight i have...

under 45
over 40

good luck.
 
Mully

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AR182 said:
thanks guys...

i got a little greedy...i jumped on over 40 when betcris went to that number.so for tonight i have...

under 45
over 40

good luck.
Click to expand...

good call.... Best of luck tonight .
 
A

AR182

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thanks guys...

gw...

i was watching live coverage from the nfl network & the weather doesn't look that bad that it will affect the downfield passing.so the bengals should be able to take shots down the field.
 
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A

AR182

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thanks guys.....i should have stayed with my original play...but was greedy...


some games that i'm playing for sunday....


wash....ml

i think atlanta has major problems...with vick,their poorous defense, & losing 4 straight games.

a few trends supporting this play....

play against - road teams vs. the money line (atlants) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival against opponent off a home win.

over the last 10 seasons the ats record is...28-2.....93.3%


play on - home teams vs. the money line (washington) - after allowing 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.

since 1983 the ats record is....34-5...87.2%


play against - road underdogs vs. the money line (atlanta) - after 2 straight losses by 14 or more points.
last 10 seasons the ats record is.....49-6....89.1%


indy-6(135).....

i don't think indy took tenn. seriously enough last game....peyton also had an off game. indy usually takes their divisional games very seriously as evidence by their 20-2 su record in their last 22 games against them. so if you're like me & think indy will win this game.....then nfl home teams who are off b2b su wins as a dog are 8-57 ats (12%) if they lose the game & 4-32 ats (11%) in those su losses if they won their last game by 6 or less points.


good luck.
 
A

AR182

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adding another game...

chicago-7(150)...

bought this from 9 to 7.

chicago is returning home from a tough 3 game road trip....i think they will be primed to get their swagger back against their biggest competitor in their division.

here is a trend supporting this play....

play on - favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (chicago) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games.

over the last 3 seasons the ats record is...14-3.....82%

over the last 5 seasons the ats record is...24-8.....75%

over the last 10 seasons the ats record is....48-20....70.6%

good luck.
 
A

AR182

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best bet...

denver-3....

i took this as soon as the lines came out.

we all know that this game starts the beginning of the jay cutler era for denver. and i look at it as he couldn't do worse than a mistake prone plummer as the broncos qb, who couldn't get the ball to the quality bronco receivers.

judging by the stats, cutler won't have to throw much since the denver ground attack averages 4.7 ypr & the seattle run defense allows an average of 4.5 ypr for the season to teams that average 4.1 ypr.i think by being able to run the ball, cutler will be able to do play action passes down the field against the seattle soft defense.

i think the seattle offense will have problems moving the ball against the denver bend but don't break defense.against teams not named indy colts & s.d. chargers, the denver defense has given up only 12 points per game.

if you look at the stats, even when hasselback & alexander are in the line-up, the seattle offense is nothing more than mediocre. i think the main reason for this is the absence of offensive lineman hutcinson(who left as a free agent to sign with minn.) & now their line will be without another important lineman, tobrick (sp ?).

as you can tell, i think seattle is a soft over -rated team who hasn't faced many quality opponents this year because they are in a weak division.

denver is 17-5 ats vs. non divisional opponents & 13-4 ats off of a division loss.

seattle is 0-7-1 ats in their last 8 on the road.

seattle is also 0-13 ats after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3seasons.

good luck.
 
A

AR182

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thanks guys....

adding this play since i don't know if i'll be around later....


oakland...ml

i really like the way that the raiders are playing on defense....they are holding each of their last 7 opponents well below their season average on offense.however their offense is not doing anything, but i think that they will be able to run against the houston defense. with houston not having any type of running attack, i think oak. should be able to contain carr.

a few trends supporting this play....

play on - favorites vs. the money line (oakland) - after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games, in weeks 10 through 13.

over last 10 seasons the ats record is....45-3....93.8%


play on - Home favorites vs. the money line (oakland) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in weeks 10 through 13.

over the last 5 seasons the ats record is.....42-6....87.5%


good luck.
 
Cricket

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A182
like the den. pick.Anybody know Seatlle's center situation I see he's out.Ithink he got hurt Mon.night.I've always felt when the starting center is out ,it's a pretty disrupting factor.
 
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