Billy Blastoffs Picks 12/2/06

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Billy Blastoff

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Jan 23, 2005
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yesterday 1-0 +$250
overall 12-3 +$2175

Today's plays are: all bets are $250

MISSOURI ST -14 1/2 vs SANTA CLARA BB says line should be -11 ( bet this game early , I believe this line might go as high as 16 . I just bet with Pinny and got -14 1/2

APPALACHIAN ST +7 vs C.O.C BB says line should be +11. My first anti COC play of the season. I will wait to play this one as I believe I can get a +8 if Im patient

Game of interest SE Missouri st vs Tenn Martin. SEM is one of the worst qfactor teams so far this year. The game line is right, but I would think Tenn Martin will win. This is not a selection just a little insight

Good luck,
 
B

Billy Blastoff

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Flipper13 said:
Thanks and good luck...By the way what is a qfactor?
Click to expand...

there are certain factors included in qfactor rating I will mention a few catagories ( offensive turnovers, def rebounds, fouls commited,3 pt defensive % and a few other ). When 4 or 5 of the catagories drop in a 3 game progression my system marks them as having a qfactor problem. qfactor = quit factor ( or lazy factor). The team is marked in red on my printout. If they are a pick by my system and they have a qfactor problem they are then no longer a pick. Hope that helps
:scared :shrug: :scared
 
JustFootball

JustFootball

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Money Mgmt

Money Mgmt

Thank you Billy for an awesome start to the season, and thanks for your great work in general.
Just wondering, in light of your incredible percentage right now, do you begin to lower your wager amounts at all until you start to balance out a little bit statistically?

Thanks again. I'm certainly enjoying this run.
 
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Billy Blastoff

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All my wagers are always the same. 2 years ago I hit just below 70%, last year I changed a few formulas trying to get a percentage over 70 but made wrong adjustments. Hopefully I have made the right improvements this year. I have been working on this system for over 15 years but finally believe I have stumbled on the right formula to get the same odds as Vegas . The key is understanding how to use the numbers. By the way there is no such thing as being hot or cold. Everyday you wake up average. Every bet is a new start. If you ever pay for a game of the year or lock of the month please come visit me in Brooklyn I have a bridge to sell you:142smilie
 
SixFive

SixFive

bonswa
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Mar 12, 2001
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Billy Blastoff said:
there are certain factors included in qfactor rating I will mention a few catagories ( offensive turnovers, def rebounds, fouls commited,3 pt defensive % and a few other ). When 4 or 5 of the catagories drop in a 3 game progression my system marks them as having a qfactor problem. qfactor = quit factor ( or lazy factor). The team is marked in red on my printout. If they are a pick by my system and they have a qfactor problem they are then no longer a pick. Hope that helps
:scared :shrug: :scared
Click to expand...

you should put this in your signature line since somebody asks daily. GL on your picks!
 
G

Godzilla 1

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Nov 17, 2005
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Billy,

Do you happen to track SU wins when you select Fav Teams like todays MISSOURI ST -14...

It seems that when you select a Fav it lands at a high %

Just wondering if you happen to know what your record is?

Also - Thanks for your picks. :SIB
 
J

JOHNNYAU21

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Aug 1, 2006
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Billy I have followed you for the past few years and you are a proven winner!! I love waking up and looking for your picks!! Anyways I always follow you no questions asked but I finally have one! I see that you always say what the spread should be, and it usually higher than what you think it should be. SO are you making your picks based on the fact that it should be higher therefore vegas knows something? Anyways love following and just wondering about that, will coat tail you regardless! Keep up the good work, you are a solid capper!
 
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Billy Blastoff

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JOHNNYAU21 said:
Billy I have followed you for the past few years and you are a proven winner!! I love waking up and looking for your picks!! Anyways I always follow you no questions asked but I finally have one! I see that you always say what the spread should be, and it usually higher than what you think it should be. SO are you making your picks based on the fact that it should be higher therefore vegas knows something? Anyways love following and just wondering about that, will coat tail you regardless! Keep up the good work, you are a solid capper!
Click to expand...

yes based on the fact that it should be higher therefore vegas knows something
 
S

SouthBayCougar

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Oct 10, 2006
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Billy - like your system, been working on my own but too many bugs...somex I go 3-0, sometimes 0-3, 50% at best...might as well flip a coin!! I'll keep working on it, I have my own factor called the F-Factor...

Unrelated question - where is that BB doll from?? It reminds me of an old school happy meal!!

Keep it real - Peace!
 
vinnie

vinnie

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Here
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you are

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