nfl plays for week 16....

[AR182]

49-36......+10.61

am in probably my worst slump of betting career...but am willing to go broke to try to get out of it (lol).

o 36(120) minn./g.b....

the line opened up at 39.5 but went down when it was learned that jackson will start at qb for the vikings. i think because of his mobility & his inexperience,this will help push this total over.also since minn. is all but out of the playoff picture i think the vikings coach will want to see if jackson will be their qb of the future, so i think minn. will open up the offense a little more than before to see what this kid has.

it has been proven that the best way to attack the minn. defense is to throw the ball...& since this also may be favre's last home game, i think we will also see an aggresive offense from the packers.



good luck.

 

[Hooks]

Sounds good AR, you know, I played the Pack/ Det over last week, just like being in quicksand. I had the same thought that Favre, knowing he may only have 2 more home games would light it up. Now we're down to possibly his last home game. Go out in style Brett!

 

[DeadPrez]

gl this week AR :toast:

 

[Cie]

Best wishes to you and yours. GL down the stetch....CG

 

[AR182]

thanks guys....

don't like much today....so i'll play a small teaser....

wash.+9
u 50


good luck & happy holidays....

 

[gardenweasel]

merry christmas,partner....and g.l.

 

[thom24ad]

GL today AR and have a happy holiday...

 

[AR182]

thanks guys...same to you.

need something to watch for the later games...so i'll add a small play on...

sd-3(buy)....

i think seattle is a very over rated team who is soft...they are hurting on the offensive line & give up 4.5 ypc. in addition seattle doesn't really need this game to get a better playoff position...they are 2 games up with 2 to play. however sd does need this game to get better position for the playoffs.


good luck & enjoy your holiday.

 

[Senor Capper]

Happy Holidays to you & yours Al.

I would wish you luck tonight, however I have Seattle +4.5

Side note : JAGS get off your butt!! moon1

 

[AR182]

thanks lanny...i guess i got lucky with the sd push.


adding.....

dallas-6(130).....

i think this is a tough spot for philly because this is their 3 straight divisional road game. this also is a revenge spot for dallas (5 turnovers in last game vs. phil) & they also have an extra day of rest for this matchup.phil. has allowed over 200 yards rushing in 4 of the last 7 games & think that dallas controls the line of scrimmage in this game.

dallas is 13-3 ats in their last 16 times as a home favorite.

a few systems....

play against teams playing their 3rd straight road game & won their first 2 games.....

since 1996 the ats record of these visitors are....11-21.....34.4%

play against - road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (phil) - off an upset win as a road underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season.

since 1983....the ats record is....43-17.....71.7%

over the last 3 seasons the ats record is...6-1

over the last 5 seasons the ats record is....10-3


i think dallas will be primed for this game to erase the memory of their last home game where they were humiliated by n.o.


good luck & happy holiday.