Vegas isnt stupid, so today is PAYDAY

[KIKIN06]

"Louisville minus ten !!!! i cant believe it " is just what im seeing on all posts and sport pages

But let me tell you something, Vegas isnt stupid the line should be more like minus 7 but why are they opening it at minus 10.5, because they are taking care of what Louisville is capable , and are calling for money to Wake Forest , they know Louisville should win this by DD.

Why is this line the largest spread in all Bowls?? The sizeable spread doesn?t make sense, so ???
What Vegas knows that you dont??

Let me tell you what i think :

Wake Forest won only by a TD or less with teams as Duke and N.Carolina is that UGLY or what

They haven't faced a QB like Brohm, if their BIG D allowed 24 pts vs Maryland imagine what Louisville is going to do with them.

Louisville should be playing for the Title if it wasnt for that game against Rutgers strange and once in a lifetime comeback !

Consider also the coach and team experience in bowls , Huge Louisville edge

So im going with Louisville -10 and 1 Half -6 , this one should be ugly soon ! :firing:

 

[ESPNTED]

I agree with everything you are saying! Lou'v in a blowout & they score 38-45 points! I also like the over!

Good Luck!

 

[wlmackey]

Your right! Vegas is not stupid.

Every DD dog has covered.... and dogs have won 12 of the last 14.

Everyone will be on Louisville. Remember Michigan...SC had no chance, Boise St, Penn ST, Iowa etc....

The Play is Wake or nothing.....

GL on whatever you do, I will pass

 

[Corley1011]

I dont see Wake even close. Louisville already overlooked one cinderella team in Rutgers, Petrino wont let that happen again.

 

[Dayad]

Louisville should win by 14, so I'm taking Wake cuz thats the pattern.

 

[bryanz]

I agree with everything you are saying! Lou'v in a blowout & they score 38-45 points! I also like the over!

Good Luck!

Vegas isn't stupid, if you step back and think a bit, it's highly unlikely that the chalk and the over will cash on a day with a single game. I think most are looking at Wk's potential to score but don't consider that they may shut this team down. Wk held GT & Fla ST to 6 & O points this season. Those two teams scored 35 & 44 in their bowl games. Wk just may have a very good (D) and a ball control (O) that can eat up the clock , they don't turn it over. I have a feeling this game will not look anything like most casual observers expect. I'm certain of one thing, Wk is a tough physical team, I can't say the same about the Cards. The last 15 bowl games in 4 days, not 1 game has produced the Chalk and the Over. If you go back 5 game days, the Chalk and the over had a 3-0 day. THERE HAVE BEEN 7 DAYS WITH 1 BOWL GAME PLAYED, NOT 1 GAME PRODUCED THE CHALK AND THE OVER IN THE SAME GAME.

 

[jr11]

You might be right, but the underdogs are streaking right now. A wise man once said if you go with the streak you will only lose once and if you opt to go against the streak you may lose your ass. Good luck.

jr11

 

[ThrowinPicks]

THERE HAVE BEEN 7 DAYS WITH 1 BOWL GAME PLAYED, NOT 1 GAME PRODUCED THE CHALK AND THE OVER IN THE SAME GAME.

Great point. I think this is something that is overlooked by many cappers. If youre gonna lay the chalk in this game you might as well grit your teeth and take the under, if you are also playing on the total.

my take louisville 34 wake 17

 

[blgstocks]

Your right! Vegas is not stupid.

Every DD dog has covered.... and dogs have won 12 of the last 14.

Everyone will be on Louisville. Remember Michigan...SC had no chance, Boise St, Penn ST, Iowa etc....

The Play is Wake or nothing.....

GL on whatever you do, I will pass

mid tenn +11 didnt cover
NIll +12 didn't cover

I have no opinion on the game besides that Wake has been running pretty much the same screwy play all year, which is the wide out reverse, double reverse, triple reverse, etc....

Ville has been given a month to plan for it. I don't know much about the speed of Vill LB and Secondary but if they are fast it will be lights out for WF. Look at a what a speedy defense did to WF when they play VT. Now I dont even know if Vill will have to have speed to stop WF because of how much time they have had to study them.

 

[KIKIN06]

A cover is a cover !
Even with a one point cover, i didn suffer the game as much as i usually do !

CHING CHING !

 

[ESPNTED]

Good Call KiKin06 !!!

 

[JIMMYBOY]

great call buddy

we won , we won, we won