NORTHERN IOWA

[big papi]

How can they be 9 point underdogs? Do they have multiple injuries? Line seems way off!:shrug: :shrug:

 

[big papi]

Any thoughts?

 

[RIGHT SIDE]

I was just looking over the numbers/trends and it looks like a major sucker bet to take N.Iowa. Every angle points towards them and throw in the inflated number I would say it's a trap! Looks way too obvious to take N.Iowa here IMO......I would pass this one. GL!

 

[big papi]

I am not taking Northern Iowa line is to fishy. It is like last monday when kansas was favored by about the same over ok.st and it was obviously way to high and kansas won by 30.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

If you look at this based on power ratings, then the line is definitely off. It should be -10.5. Missouri State is the highest rated team in the conference and they are playing at home (worth 4.37pts).

 

[ScreaminPain]

I use my own set of ratings and the line actually seems a bit LOW......My ratings are primarily based on the efficiency on number of possessions. My model shows Missouri St. could win by as much as 15-17 :scared .

My numbers take into account the HC advantage, but can't evaluate emotion, must-win games, etc.

When the lines vary this much, I usually pass or dig much deeper....

 

[big papi]

Northern Iowa has road wins over Iowa and Wichita St and has not lost a game this season by more than 9pts.

 

[RIGHT SIDE]

N.Iowa up 6 at half.....go figure. :shrug: Some trap so far..huh?

 

[big papi]

I knew the line was way to high! :mj07:

 

[moe777]

wtf,was thinking the samething,we shouldve atleast played it small.

 

[big papi]

I am a big fool!

Jan 18 4:38pm 10 Team Parlay - Loss 75.08 to win 350.46 -75.08
1. Basketball - Miami Heat - spread -3 (-340)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 7:05pm [push/cancel]
2. Basketball - Dallas Mavericks - spread -3 (-500)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 9:35pm [winner]
3. Basketball - Hofstra - spread -3 (-540)
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4. Basketball - Creighton - spread -2 (-385)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 8:00pm [winner]
5. Basketball - Nevada - spread -3 (-380)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 10:00pm [winner]
6. Basketball - Arizona - spread +10 (-760)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 10:30pm [winner]
7. Basketball - Canisius - spread -2 (-640)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 7:00pm [winner]
8. Basketball - Duke - moneyline (-2500)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 7:00pm [winner]
9. Basketball - Missouri State - spread -2 (-500)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 8:00pm [loss]
10. Basketball - Stanford - spread +18 (-540)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 8:30pm [winner]




Jan 18 6:29pm 7 Team Parlay - Loss 50.00 to win 188.50 -50.00
1. Basketball - Dallas Mavericks - spread -3 (-460)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 9:35pm [winner]
2. Basketball - Creighton - spread -3 (-380)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 8:00pm [winner]
3. Basketball - Missouri State - spread -2 (-500)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 8:00pm [loss]
4. Basketball - Oregon - spread -2 (-580)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 8:30pm [winner]
5. Basketball - Utah State - spread -1 (-220)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 9:00pm [push/cancel]
6. Basketball - Nevada - spread -3 (-380)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 10:00pm [winner]
7. Basketball - Arizona State - spread +26 (-500)
for the entire game held on Jan 18 at 10:30pm [winner]