here is something that i read favoring n.e.& against indy.....
indy allows 22 points per game and teams that play in this game and allow 20 or more points are just 3-15 ats, including just 1-4 if they are the home team. The average score in those home games is 22-21 in favor of the road team.
indy has allowed just an average of 7 points in their 2 playoff games....their defense seems to be playing much better than the seasonal stats. 8 times since 1983 the home team has come into this game allowing seven or less points in the playoffs......those teams are just 3-5 ATS and if they are favored by four or less points (dogs as well), they are 0-3 su & ats. so, playing great defense doesn?t necessarily translate into a great performance in this game. those teams allowed an average of 19 points per game in all 8 games and 28 points per game in the three games where they were favored by four or less (dogs as well). there were 3 other games where both, the home team and the road team, allowed seven or less points in the playoffs. those home teams went 2-1 su & ats but the one loss was by the lowest favored team, which was oak., favored by 6 points over balt. back in 2000 and they lost 3-16.
hope this info helps....good luck.