SUPER BOWL SYSTEM

[Hooks]

This is from one of our members,

S.B. System (33-3-2 ATS)

Use regular season stats only. Only one team should get points from each category. Stats can be found at different websites.

POINTS

10- If team has won the SB in the last 3 years

8 - If an opp. is going to their 1st SB

8 - To the team that allows fewer def. rushes

7 - Give to the team with the most off. rushes

7 - To the team with best overall record

5 - To the team with the lowest def. rushing ave. per carry

4 - Give 4 pts. to the team with the better ATS record

4 -To the team that has the superior NET penalty yds

4 - To the team with the best NET kick-punt TD returns

3.5 - To team with the best YPP att.

3.5 - To team that allowed the fewest PTS.

3.5 - To team that allowed the fewest rushing TDs

3 - To team with the most sacks

2.5 - To team with the fewest off. pass atts.

2 - To team with the best NET punts (total) on the season

1.5 - Add to the team with the best ave. per off. rush

1 - Add 1 pt. to the team with the best pass completion %


Get diggin and just total up the points for each team, and the one with the highest total looks to be the way to go.

 

[gjn23]

i know it doesnt guarantee anything but

my numbers suggest a mismatch....a.blowout and numbers were as i expected.....however the nerds on espn wont ever mention this for the next 2 weeks:

49.5 to 10.....TEN.......for the CHICAGO BEARS

only categories i have indy winning is:

3.5 - To team with the best YPP att.

1.5 - Add to the team with the best ave. per off. rush

1 - Add 1 pt. to the team with the best pass completion %

4 -To the team that has the superior NET penalty yds (not sure about this one but think the colts win it)

following two dont apply:

10- If team has won the SB in the last 3 years

8 - If an opp. is going to their 1st SB


another similar system using 12 categorys has 9-2-1 in favor of the Bears (15-2-1 last 18 super bowls) and had the Bears BLOWING OUT their aints last weekend as well.

PLEASE TALK ABOUT PEYTON MANNING AND THE MONKEY FINALLY BEING OFF HIS BACK AND LET 90% OF THE NERDS TAKE THE COLTS (as most already are)

bear down

 

[Rockvegas]

Same

Same

23, had the same. Let's not forget 4 short weeks ago, this INDY team couldn't stop the run against anybody. Like the BEARS pounding the running game. If they can get pressure on Manning, it sets up very well for them.

 

[Morris]

I like the Bears and getting 7 pts. Just the Grossman thing that's got me wondering? Hooks glad you brought this up.

 

[IntenseOperator]

This system sounds much like the same thing StatsInc uses

 

[Kid Bro Sweets]

34-3-2 Ats steelers won last year


last 20

point totals, spread, difference and actual score.

19 SF 57.5 (-3.5) over Miami 12 42 WIN 38-16

20 Chi 45.5 (-10) over NE 6 29.5 WIN 46-10

21 NYG 54.5 (-9.5) over Den 13 32 WIN 39-20

22 Wash 43.5 (+3) over Den 12 34.5 WIN 42-10

23 Cin 28 (+7) over SF 27 8 WIN 16-20

24 SF 40.5 (-12.5) over Den 20 8.5 WIN 55-10

25 NYG 33.5 (+7) over Buff 24 16.5 WIN 20-19

26 Wash 53 (-7) over Buff 6.5 39.5 WIN 37-24

27 Dal 35.5 (-6.5) over Buff 21 8 WIN 52-17

28 Dal 36 (-10) over Buff 19 7 WIN 30-13

29 SF 53 (-18) over SD 14.5 20.5 WIN 49-26

30 Pitt 29.5 (+13.5) over Dal 40 3 WIN 17-27

31 GB 50.5 (-14) over NE 9 27.5 PUSH 35-21

32 Den 35.5 (+11.5) over GB 34 13 WIN 31-24

33 Den 37.5 (-7) over Atl 26 4.5 WIN 34-19

34 STL 51 (-7) over Tn 9.5 34.5 Push 23-16

35 Bal 38 (-3) over NYG 29.5 5.5 WIN 34-7

36 NE 28.5 (+14) over STL 41 1.5 WIN 20-17

37 Oak 37 (-4) over TB 20.5 16.5 Loss 21-48

40 Pit 47 (-4) over Sea WIN 21-10

 

[Kid Bro Sweets]

oh that was taken from AR182 gotta give credit where credit is due! :toast:

 

[Hooks]

Welcome,Kiddy Sweets, Just got home from 11 hrs. at work and have to say, you are the CHAMPION LURKER of MJs.
To know it was AR,is impressive. As I stated, in the VERY 1ST SENTENCE, It was from one of MY brothers here at our site, MadJackSsports.
The keyboards stickin, or I would have completed the part you did, last night ASS. Not to mention while trying to remember the one who 1st posted it, I could tell by the way it was written, that it was AR and was going to let him know when I got home ASS!

 

[Kid Bro Sweets]

lol ya you caught me i've been on here since at least the WORM days!! :mj07:


but i'm just here to learn through observation like a little kid soaking everything in like a sponge.

 

[Morris]

Hooks, I look for this every year, thanks for posting it. GL

 

[Hooks]

Morris, thanks buddy, are you coming next week for the party?

 

[Morris]

Hooks, Wish I could. Daughter is expecting twins and gotta be here for that. I will get there one of these years. Sounds like a good time. Have fun!

 

[CWood97]

Who did this system pick in Super Bowl 38 and 39???

 

[AR182]

guys...

thanks hooks for remembering the system...

the above is not my system..i got it from someplace else. so it doesn't matter who posted it...

here are 2 more systems from a well respected poster at another forum....



!) THE SHUTDOWN SYSTEM.

take the team who has allowed thier opponents to score 3pts or less the most times during the regular season.
if that # is equal...take the team who has allowed thier opponents to score 3pts or less more times in the playoffs.
if that # is equal...take the points.

this system has gone....
11-4-2 ats in the last 17 SB'S
15-6-2 ats in the last 23 SB'S
24-13-3 ats in all SB'S

an interesting subset to this system is that if one of the SB participants has a 2 or more game advantage that team has gone 10-1 su and 9-2 ats the last 11 times it has happened, averaging a final score of 35-19 with a total of 54 points.

SB 16 SF-1.........(+2 EDGE) WON 26-21
SB 19 SF-3.........(+2 EDGE) WON 38-16
SB 20 CHI-10......(+2 EDGE) WON 46-10
SB 22 DEN-3.5....(+2 EDGE) LOST 10-42
SB 26 WASH-7....(+3 EDGE) WON 37-24
SB 27 DAL-6.5.....(+2 EDGE) WON 52-17
SB 28 DAL-10.5...(+2 EDGE) WON 30-13
SB 32 DEN+11.5...(+4 EDGE) WON 31-24
SB 35 BAL-3........(+4 EDGE) WON 34-7
SB 37 TB+3.5......(+2 EDGE) WON 48-21
SB 38 NE-7.........(+3 EDGE) WON 32-29

now should there be a 2 or more game advantage for one team and the ave point total of the game reach the 54 point average chances are one of the teams will score 30pts or more, if this is the case.....

the SB 30pt breakdown....

all SB teams scoring 30pts or more are 18-1-2 ats
SB favs scoring 30pts or more are 14-1-2 ats
SB favs scoring less than 30pts are 6-16-1 ats (1-10-1 ats last 12)

if a SB team scores 30pts or more those bowls ave 55pts per game.

2) THE DEF-CON SYSTEM (defensive consistency)

take the team with the greater amount of regular season games in which they held thier opponents to less than 10 points.
if the # is equal...take the points.

this is the queen mother of superbowl systems that has consistantly produced the ats winner....

8-1-2 ats in last 11 superbowls
11-3-2 ats in last 16 superbowls
18-5-2 ats in last 25 superbowls

 

[CWood97]

2) THE DEF-CON SYSTEM (defensive consistency)

take the team with the greater amount of regular season games in which they held thier opponents to less than 10 points.
if the # is equal...take the points.

this is the queen mother of superbowl systems that has consistantly produced the ats winner....

8-1-2 ats in last 11 superbowls
11-3-2 ats in last 16 superbowls
18-5-2 ats in last 25 superbowls

6-0 DaBears

Seems like everything is pointing to the dog this year

 

[gjn23]

6-0 DaBears

Seems like everything is pointing to the dog this year

yep....which scares me

same #'s applied last week vs the Aints but all you heard was people hammering the Aints who were gonna win on the road

now people are actually looking at the numbers and betting on the bears......TAKE PETYON MANNING AND THE COLTS, TALK ABOUT PEYTON AND HIS LEGACY, CROWN HIS ASS AS THE GREATEST QB EVER......just stop looking at the real numbers until after the game when the nerds are "shocked" at the outcome!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[txag]

Everything is pointing to the Bears, but there are 2major things that these systems don't take into consideration. First off is the Bears played in a much weaker conference and played a much weaker schedule. I think that has a lot to do with why the Bears are winning all these stat comparisons. Also, the bears Defense hasn't been the same since the injuries of Tommie Harris and Mike Brown, I bet Indy's Defense has even been better.

All that being said its still tough to pass on the Bears and the points.

 

[pt1gard]

interesting package that would make the bookies quake ...

but like TXAG just pointed out

i dont see where they factor in that Bears sched for entire year including playoffs were vs teams that ended up 30 games UNDER .500 ... They only played 3 teams with winning records in reg. season and only +6 games over .500 in playoffs, thats mediocrity cubed ... they also played 3 games with team that ended 50%


the Colts played teams that were combined +14 games over .500 during their run, albeit only 4 with plus records during reg season... they played 6 games with teams that ended 50%

I wonder how many super bowl teams came in with larger that a 44 game diff vs opps?


i cant get much past can Grossman outperform Manning on big stage; yes I know its a team game etc, and the ravens won with Dilfer and Bucs won, but I've also seen Montana and Bradshaw do their share


gl, gregg

 

[Dice34]

The Bears need to run and run some more to keep this game close and have a shot at the upset....

They've had success running the ball against the afc this year

@ Jets(24th v. run).....173 yds rushing
vs Buff(28th v. run).....155 yds rushing
@ NE(5th v. run).......153 yds rushing
vs Mia(8th v. run)......103 yds rushing

vs NO(23rd v run)........196 yds rushing

vs Indy(32nd v. run).......TBD yds rushing

 

[gjn23]

interesting package that would make the bookies quake ...

but like TXAG just pointed out

i dont see where they factor in that Bears sched for entire year including playoffs were vs teams that ended up 30 games UNDER .500 ... They only played 3 teams with winning records in reg. season and only +6 games over .500 in playoffs, thats mediocrity cubed ... they also played 3 games with team that ended 50%


the Colts played teams that were combined +14 games over .500 during their run, albeit only 4 with plus records during reg season... they played 6 games with teams that ended 50%

I wonder how many super bowl teams came in with larger that a 44 game diff vs opps?


i cant get much past can Grossman outperform Manning on big stage; yes I know its a team game etc, and the ravens won with Dilfer and Bucs won, but I've also seen Montana and Bradshaw do their share


gl, gregg

manning vs grossman....too bad they dont actually play against each other

colts offense vs bears defense...strength vs strength...push, manning will move the ball and score (td's vs fg's??) but the bears will also get some pressure and force some to's

bears run offense and play action vs colts defense.....advantage bears....bears will stick to the run (something chefs, ravens and pats did not do)...think the bears have close to as many runs in the the 1h that these teams had for the entire game

bears special teams vs colts special teams.....major advantage bears......anytime the ball is in the air off a foot, the colts are at a disadvantage......wont be surprised to see devin return one for a td off a punt/kickoff