Cricket: Commonwealth Bank Series

[british bulldog]

Coming off a successful test series with regards to betting,

Staked: 98.50 units

Returns: 134.46 units

Profit: +35.96

ROI: 36.51%


its time for the One Day Internationals and a opportunity to play up my profits.


After Englands 5-0 whitewash, life doesn't get any easier from here for the next few months as first England embark on the Commonwealth Bank Series against Australia and New Zealand, before heading off to the World Cup in the Windies in March. England have been clueless in the 50-over format over a number of years now and in truth, there is very little sign that improvement is around the corner.

England have never been able to settle on a squad of players where each player understands and is able to produce the role that he's required to do. The batting still has as many collapse's as it does decent innings, the fielding is slow and ponderous, with the exception of a few and the bowlers aren't able to contain teams and apply pressure.

Last year England managed just five wins in ODI whilst losing 14 and their worst performance probably came at Headingly back in July when Sri Lanka chased 322 to win a game and managed it with 12 over to spare.

Sporting Odds have made a mistake in pricing England @ 1.75 to win three or less matches in the up coming Commonwealth Bank Series. Wiyj each country playing eight games, England are being asked to win half of their games for this bet to lose. That is a very tall order given Englands ODI form.

Australia are the current world and ICC champions while New Zealand are one of the top four teams in the limited over sphere of the game. I would be very surprised if England managed anymore than one victory from their four games against Australia which would mean England require three wins from four games against New Zealand .... and that is not going to happen.


Looking ahead to Friday and the first of the 12 games in the round robin section, both Australia and England return to Melbourne from the SCG. Australia are rightly prohibative favourites but I do like one of the markets that are priced up. Total number of 6's to be scored in the match are bracketed at 4 and under, 5 and 6 together, 7 and over. And it's the last of those brackets that grabs my attention. With Australia having plenty of fire power throughout their top seven batsman, I can see plenty of balls flying over the boundry.


Recommendations;

1 unit England to lose all eight games @ 8.00 Lost -1.00

8 units England to win 3 or less games @ 1.75 Won +6.00

10 units Australia vs. New Zealand final @ 1.8 Lost -10.00

2 units Game 1: 7 or more sixes @ 2.375 Lost -2.00

 

[british bulldog]

This Australia side, fresh from annihilating England in the Ashes and in the Twenty20 match is really something to behold. It is probably the most powerful cricketing side ever assembled. From head to toe, and the tail too, this Australia team can put a match beyond reach in a short period of time. With their opponents New Zealand and England both looking very vulnerable, it's hard to see any other result than another Australian series win.

Offers of 1.29 on the exchanges for Australia to win the Commonwealth Bank Series look well worth a dabble if you're looking for a quick 30% interest payment for a 30 day deposit.

The ICC One Day International Player Rankings are based on a moving average system. Players are rated on a scale of 0 to 1000 points. Australia's "Mr Cricket" Mike Hussey heads the list with a ranking of 821 while Adam Gilchrist is in 4th place with a ranking of 769. He's followed by Andrew Symonds in 6th place with 753 points, Captain Ricky Ponting (740) is in 7th with 740 and Michael Clarke with 711 points is in 10th.

That's five Australian's in the top 10 and in summary, this batting line up is as powerful and as deep as you'll find in world cricket. Putting these figures into context, England have just 1 player in the world's Top 25, with the number 2 ranked side in the world, South Africa, having not one single player in the ICC's Top 10.

Australia has 3 bowlers in the Top 10 ICC bowling rankings. Sitting in 2nd place is Glenn McGrath with a ranking of 799, just in front of Nathan Bracken with 752 and Brett Lee who is currently ranked 741. All-rounders Brad Hogg (616), Shane Watson (561) and Andrew Symonds (448) can also be expected to make their mark, not forgetting the McGrath understudy Stuart Clark, who with only 18 ODI's under his belt, has already amassed a raking of 477 and a Top 5 spot is just a short time away.

After looking at the various markets, and in particular those that offer some value, it is in "The Top Australian Batsman" market that throws up is an interesting one. Ricky 'Punter' Ponting look's more than fair priced at 3/1 (4.00). Ponting has been playing One Day cricket for Australia since 1994 and the golden betting nugget from Tasmania is in the best form of his life. His last five innings in ODI in Australia have seen scores of 28, 124, 0, 72 and 53, while his recent form in the Ashes series wasn't to shabby either, recording scores of 196, 60, 142, 49, 2, 75, 7 and 45 and finishing top Aussie bat.

Ponting is in cracking form and batting at 3 is the perfect place for him as he never has to approach the crease in a crisis and has time to bat himself in. That fact is important for Punter, as once he's banged in 20 or so runs he invariably converts that to a big score and against both the New Zealand and England attacks, a collection of sizeable scores looks imminent.

Over a period of the 10 or 11 matches that Australia, the cr?me de la cr?me can be expected to rise to the top, and for this very reason I'll take a crack at the 3/1 about Ponting.


Recommendation: 2 units Ponting (Top Australian Bat in Series) @ 4.00 Won +6.00

 

[Pumpkin]

Game 1 - Aust v Eng

1pt Michael Clarke Hi-Bat for Aust @ $8.50

Clarke will bat 4 for Australia and has been priced up here batting further down the order. Is in solid form, with the danger being Pinting of course who just loves batting at the MCG. Basically just taking the overs. Also keep an eye out for any batting head toi head involving Hussey against any top 3 player from both sides. Hussey will bat 6 and is a chance to not get enough overs to make a signifcant score

 

[british bulldog]

Game 6 Commonwealth Bank Series

England vs. New Zealand

3 units on, 6 or more sixes in the match @ 2.35 Lost -2.00



Game 8 Commonwealth Bank Series

Australia vs. New Zealand

3 units on, 6 or more sixes in the match @ 2.20 Won +3.60

3 units New Zealand to hit more sixes than Australia @ 2.10 Won +3.30




To date the ODI's have seen a profit of 1.9 units and it looks very much like an Australia and New Zealand final and England winning 3 or less games. Ricky Ponting also leads the Australian in most runs scored despite being rested for one game. His lead is presently at 38 runs over Hayden who has had one more knock and by 51 runs over Clarke who has had the same number of innings as Ponting. So at present the prospects are good, but anything can happen.

 

[british bulldog]

9th ODI

England vs. New Zealand



"player performance market"

Scoring System: 1pt per run, 20pts per wicket and 10pts per catch



2 units Flintoff @ 1.91 to score 50 points or over. Lost -2.00

2 units Collingwood @ 2.00 to score 38 or over. Lost -2.00


Commonwealth Bank Series Balance to date: -2.1 units

 

[british bulldog]

Commonwealth Bank Series 10th ODI Australia vs England


1 unit Ian Bell top England runscorer @ 6.00Lost -1.00


2 units PA Nixon 27 pts & Over (player performance market) @ 1.83Lost -2.00


3 units England +4.5 wkts / +65.5 runs (match handicap) @ 2.00Won +3.00


2 units England to be bowled out in their innings @ 2.625Lost -2.00


3 units England highest score in first 10 Overs @ 3.75Won +8.25


2 units 6 or more sixes in the match @ 1.90Lost -2.00


1 unit England to hit more sixes @ 4.00Lost -1.00



ADDING:

2 units England to win (in running ... after first innings) @ 2.90Won + 3.80



Commonwealth Bank Series Balance to date: +4.95 units

 

[british bulldog]

Commonwealth Bank Series 12th ODI New Zealand vs. England

Commonwealth Bank Series 12th ODI New Zealand vs. England

It's the last game of the round robin stage and the winner progresses whilst the loser goes home.


Despite's England win over Australia they still rank lowest of the eight main international teams in the limited over sphere of the game. It's unbelievable that we constanly have to hear about England's woes, when it is clear to anyone with the slightest knowledge of the game that England's cricketers just dont play enough one day games. I'm not just referring to the International scene, but more to the domestic circuit.

England's three most capped players in one day International cricket total just 404 appearances between them. Compare that to India's three highest capped players that have played in over the 1100+ games.

England's present one day squad played a combinded 43 one day games last season in domestic cricket. If England want to move forward then these players must play or be released from central contracts. Jesus, those in power have no idea.

Well, thats enough on the subject from this whinging Pom.


Let's move forward and see if we can end this part of the Australian Summer with more profits. Clearly from a betting perspective I need New Zealand to win to increase profits having already won with Ponting being the top Aussie run scorer (having played less innings then any other top five batsman from the Australia team) and England not being able to surpass more than 3 wins.


The "Magic Sign" have a very intesting market with total match runs.

401 to 500 total match runs is 2.50 and represents no value what so ever. The next two however do.

2 units 501 to 600 match runs scored @ 3.00 Won +4.00

1 unit 601 or more match runs scored @ 9.00 Lost -1.00


In the "player performance market I like

2 units Liam Plunkett 40 & Over @ 1.83 Won +1.66

2 units Andrew Flintoff 49 & Over @ 1.83 Lost -2.00


Top Kiwi Batsman;

1 unit Lou Vincent @ 5.00 Lost -1.00

1 unit Ross Taylor @ 6.00 Lost -1.00

 

[british bulldog]

Commenwealth Bank Series Summary

Commenwealth Bank Series Summary

New Zealand capitulated to a 14 run loss after looking certain winners with 20 overs to go. Needing just 121 runs more for victory, New Zealand skipper Fleming went about destroying single handily that certain victory. Having set himself up with a 50 off 72 balls, his next 50 took a further 66 balls (100 off 138 balls). Most leading players would have made their second half century at almost a run a ball. Even Collingwood went from 50 in 68 balls to 100 in 118 balls. His second fifty going at exactly a run a ball. During the second half of Flemings innings, he went 1 ball short of 11 Overs between hitting a boundry. To rub salt further into the wound, Fleming managed a further 6 runs which took another 11 balls. This was at the stage when the Black Caps needed almost 10 runs an over.

To sum it all up, Flemings selfishness to ensure he made just his fifth ODI hundred from 220 innings cost his country their spot in the Commonwealth Bank Series final. With the big hitters waiting to come in, it would have made more sense to get on with it or get out. The deliveries he wasted just defending the ball back down the wicket would have been better served for the hitters coming in the wings. By the time their chance had come, all chance had passed them by .... thanks to the selfish Fleming.



ODI SERIES

Staked: 61.00 units

Returns: 68.61 units

Profit: +7.61 units




OVERALL RESULTS FROM TEST MATCHES and ODI in AUSTRALIA

Staked: 159.50 units

Returns: 203.07 units

Profit: +43.57 units


I more than happy to have produced over 40 units of profit since November in this one sport. Putting these results with my other personnel plays from recent series involving South Africa, Pakistan, New Zealand, Sri Lanka, West Indies and India, it's been a very lucrative last four months and helped rid the thought of the cold winter weather.

 

[Pumpkin]

Great results BB,

You certainly know your stuff.

Well done