Super Tuesday Selections

Mully

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NCAA Season Record updated: 136-131

Old Dom -8 12 of 13 home wins by 8+ Win

Nebraska -1 Win

Missouri State -5* system play Loss

Tenn -3 *system play Win

Under 123.5 Mich/Mich St *strong system play Win

Under 132 Tech/A&M *system play Loss

Good Luck Everyone....
 
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The Big Payback

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Mully-

Good luck tonight - Quick question: What makes the Mich/Mich. State under a system play? Is that related to the "national TV / 68% or more on the over" system?

Just curious as I like the logic/statistics that back that one up.

Also, why the under on the A&M/TT game?

Thanks.
 

Mully

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Mully-

Good luck tonight - Quick question: What makes the Mich/Mich. State under a system play? Is that related to the "national TV / 68% or more on the over" system?

Just curious as I like the logic/statistics that back that one up.

Also, why the under on the A&M/TT game?

Thanks.

To answer your first question, yes. should be a strong play tonight with 90% on the over. Only been tracking these for the past 4-5 weeks, but with 68% or higher on the over the under has been hitting at just under 70%. With 80% + on the over, it jumps close to 80%! Not to mention this is the BIG 10. Will give it a shot.


As far as the A&M total, the Aggies have been a favorable under team all year and expect both to step it up on the defensive side of the ball tonight. Will monitor the money movement up until game time. Only 60% is backing the over as of now. Will upgrade the play should it hit the magic number.

Good Luck tonight.
 

The Big Payback

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Thanks for the quick reply - Like I said before, I really like your reasoning on the under plays and want to better understand them.

Question: What source do you use to what percentage of people are on the over?

Covers currently lists the over at 61.5% (based on 525 wagers) in the Mich/MSU game and 65.2% (based on 578 wagers) in the A&M/TT game.

Thanks again for taking the time to respond, and good luck this evening.
 

Mully

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Thanks for the quick reply - Like I said before, I really like your reasoning on the under plays and want to better understand them.

Question: What source do you use to what percentage of people are on the over?

Covers currently lists the over at 61.5% (based on 525 wagers) in the Mich/MSU game and 65.2% (based on 578 wagers) in the A&M/TT game.


With respect to Jack, youre best bet would be to google "betting trends". There are many usefull sites out there.... As of now, 86% on the Mich over and 64% on A&M over....Only you can decide which ones to use as some are a bit suspect. I usually take a consensus of the the top 3 I like to use.
 

Mully

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As far as the A&M total, the Aggies have been a favorable under team all year and expect both to step it up on the defensive side of the ball tonight. Will monitor the money movement up until game time. Only 60% is backing the over as of now. Will upgrade the play should it hit the magic number.

With 20min until tip off, this now falls into the system with 70%.
 

Mully

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last min play...

last min play...

Georgia Tech +3.5 Win
Wouldn't be suprised to see them win outright...
 
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