If they offer a line saturday and sunday Arizona may be worth a shot.
Upset City
Arizona over Cal State Fullerton
Picking against well-coached teams hasn't been a wise strategy so far in 2007, as Mike Trapasso, John Savage and Dave Van Horn have rallied their teams to 2-1 series wins after being pegged for upsets in the last three weeks. Unfazed, this week we'll pick against one of the best coaching staffs in the country.
Cal State Fullerton nearly swept Nevada-Las Vegas last weekend, but 11 runs weren't enough to win, and senior Bryan Harris was called for a balk with the winning run on third base to give UNLV a 12-11 win. Fullerton's offense has performed above expectations after losing a large chunk of its production to professional ball and losing third baseman Evan McArthur, their top returning player, to a hand injury for the season's first month. But the pitching staff has not resembled the group that led the nation in ERA a year ago. The Titans have a 6.08 ERA through the first six games of the season and have not held an opponent under four runs in any game. By contrast, the 8-0 Arizona Wildcats have gotten terrific production from starters Preston Guilmet (1-0, 1.88 in 14 IP), Brad Mills (2-0, 1.32 in 14 IP) and Mike Colla (1-0, 2.08 in 9 IP). The wily Guilmet should at least keep Arizona in the game against Fullerton ace Wes Roemer, and Mills and Colla have better stuff than their Titan counterparts on Saturday and Sunday. Plus the Wildcats have a pair of power arms in the bullpen in Daniel Schlereth and Jason Stoffel, but CSF's bullpen picture remains unsettled. Arizona is a better team than most realized in the preseason, and its pitching advantage should enable it to steal a series at Fullerton.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/college/features/263363.html
