Record: 11-1-1 +17.9 units
I love the card today, which is usually a bad thing. When I play all the games I like I usually don't do well and when I try to narrow it down to a couple of games I sometimes end up kicking myself in the azz for picking the wrong ones. The appetizer...
Balty -1.5 200/250 Almost bet this one last night when the line was +135 but hadn't done enough research, so I lost 10 points. I've always thought Bedard is very underrated. Even though he hasn't pitched as well as he did a couple of years ago he is still a solid young lefty. He has had pretty good success against the Royals and don't see any reason why that would change today.
On the other side Brandon Duckworth toes the rubber for KC. There's pretty much no excuse for the O's not to put runs up against this guy. A few stats on the Duckman... 7.97 ERA on the road, 7.07 ERA at night, 9.12 ERA in April. Plus you have to love the fact that he somehow managed to pitch well in his first start. What are the odds of lightning striking twice? He's only pitched once against the O's, and that was in relief, and he gave up 2 runs in 1 1/3. Last night the O's couldn't get runners in. Tonight I'm betting they do.
The main course...
Pirates ML 326/200 - I hate laying juice like this and this is another one that I could have gotten cheaper last night but I didn't pull the trigger. Therefore -150 has become -163. I can't believe I'm backing the Pirates. Not that I think they're a terrible team, but they sure find a lot of ways to lose close games. Having said that, I think this is one of the bigger starting pitching mismatches you will see all year. Duke is a very good young lefty with a 3.55 ERA at home and a 3.57 ERA in night games. Better yet, in his starts against SF he has a 2.19 ERA and a .227 BAA. His record is 0-0 against them because, I'm guessing here, the Bucs couldn't score runs for him.
Last year Russ Ortiz was arguably the worst pitcher in baseball. He went 0-8 with an 8.14 ERA and 40 walks in 63 innings. Wow. The guy can't hit the broadside of a barn and when he does throw strikes he usually gets hit hard. He couldn't make it out of the 5th inning in his first start and I don't expect him to pitch well today. Wilson and Bay hit .462 against him and Nady hits .429. The only guys he seems to pitch well against are the Pirates pitchers. :142smilie I also have to mention just how bad the SF offense. I'm sorry, but if Ray Durham, who is approximately 63 years old, is your clean-up hitter, your lineup sucks. That's embarrassing as far as I'm concerned. Having said that, he'll probably go 5 for 5 tonight. :mj07:
Good luck all!
I love the card today, which is usually a bad thing. When I play all the games I like I usually don't do well and when I try to narrow it down to a couple of games I sometimes end up kicking myself in the azz for picking the wrong ones. The appetizer...
Balty -1.5 200/250 Almost bet this one last night when the line was +135 but hadn't done enough research, so I lost 10 points. I've always thought Bedard is very underrated. Even though he hasn't pitched as well as he did a couple of years ago he is still a solid young lefty. He has had pretty good success against the Royals and don't see any reason why that would change today.
On the other side Brandon Duckworth toes the rubber for KC. There's pretty much no excuse for the O's not to put runs up against this guy. A few stats on the Duckman... 7.97 ERA on the road, 7.07 ERA at night, 9.12 ERA in April. Plus you have to love the fact that he somehow managed to pitch well in his first start. What are the odds of lightning striking twice? He's only pitched once against the O's, and that was in relief, and he gave up 2 runs in 1 1/3. Last night the O's couldn't get runners in. Tonight I'm betting they do.
The main course...
Pirates ML 326/200 - I hate laying juice like this and this is another one that I could have gotten cheaper last night but I didn't pull the trigger. Therefore -150 has become -163. I can't believe I'm backing the Pirates. Not that I think they're a terrible team, but they sure find a lot of ways to lose close games. Having said that, I think this is one of the bigger starting pitching mismatches you will see all year. Duke is a very good young lefty with a 3.55 ERA at home and a 3.57 ERA in night games. Better yet, in his starts against SF he has a 2.19 ERA and a .227 BAA. His record is 0-0 against them because, I'm guessing here, the Bucs couldn't score runs for him.
Last year Russ Ortiz was arguably the worst pitcher in baseball. He went 0-8 with an 8.14 ERA and 40 walks in 63 innings. Wow. The guy can't hit the broadside of a barn and when he does throw strikes he usually gets hit hard. He couldn't make it out of the 5th inning in his first start and I don't expect him to pitch well today. Wilson and Bay hit .462 against him and Nady hits .429. The only guys he seems to pitch well against are the Pirates pitchers. :142smilie I also have to mention just how bad the SF offense. I'm sorry, but if Ray Durham, who is approximately 63 years old, is your clean-up hitter, your lineup sucks. That's embarrassing as far as I'm concerned. Having said that, he'll probably go 5 for 5 tonight. :mj07:
Good luck all!
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