Friday July 13th 2007
yesterday: 0-0
July: 46-41 -2.16
ml 28-22 -0.03
rl 2-2 +0.96
totals 13-15 -4.5
parlays 3-2 +1.41
system picks still 15-6 in July (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 1-0 yesterday; 14-13 in July
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Cubs 72% (-172)+8 RL 58 (+110)+10
Fla 55 (-147)-5
Phil 51 (Kendrick-Wells)
Mets 59 (-155)-2
Atl 57 (-147)-3
Mil 63 (-146)+3
Ariz 53 (-107)+1
Sf 52 (Cain-Billingsley)
Clev 66 (-173)+2 RL 52 (+111)+4
Balt 62 (-127)+6
tor 52 (+137)+9
nyy 51 (-140)-8 Tb 49 (+133)+6
Min 72 (Santana-Kennedy)
vs DiNardo Min 72
vs Blanton Min 67
det 56 (-107)+4
Laa 62 (-191)-4
system totals
cin@Mets un8.5 75% (-114)+21 --ump DeMuth is even
pitt@Atl u8.5 72 (-130)+15 --ump N/A
tor@Bost u10.5 55+10(ump)=65% (-105)+13 --ump is Super-Under Hirschbeck
I almost tried the Jays yesterday, just as a homer pick, but stayed away due to Halladay's ordinariness lately. Also considered the Chisox, Yankees and Twins, all of which came in last night (who cares, Mike?). System totals are maybe back on track?at least the one call came in yesterday (@Shea). "Talkin' 'bout the future?forget about the past?"
I'll probably try the Cubs here, despite the high price; I've got an 11-point edge to the pitching and a 6-point edge to the bats, so my +5/5 minimum requirement for heavy juice plays is in affect there. Brewers are a thought but this game?the first off the break for both teams?could probably go either way; the high call is a result of the Brewers great work BOTH at home AND vs lefties; the Rockies, this year, like other years, don't travel very well (.578 at home but just .419 on the road); pitching looks fairly even but Brewers have knocked around Francis before; if I try it, it will be small. Orioles and Jays also look worthwhile, and I might take a shot (Tavarez has been hurt by Jays before while Bedard is just smokin' currently). Tigers have my interest as they're just killing lefties (won 72% vs L; 71% vs L on road).
For totals, the game at Shea might again be worth trying under?we've got a slightly better matchup than yesterday?but I kinda feel like I missed the boat on that Shea total yesterday?it was Doug Eddings behind home plate (Great under-ump); might bite the bullet and try it but ump DeMuth has an uncharacteristically low K% this season (under 62%), despite being 9-7 on the under this season. Braves-Pirates, under, is a system call, but both clubs were swinging pretty decent just before the break, so I don't know about that one; Hudson has had some poor games lately, too. An over-call at Fenway became an under-call due to the high total (10.5), and Hirschbeck behind home plate has given it a bonus, here, as shown above. Tavarez should have a very fresh bullpen behind him, so I figure if he can go a decent 5 or 6 then this one could play under; Marcum is coming off of a bad game against the Indians, but in his previous 8 starts he was doing stellar work?in those 8 mentioned, the total has stayed under 10.5 in 7 of them; worth a shot with Hirschbeck going, for sure.
System sides went 5-1 on Thursday, so the system is continuing to hit a lot of 50 calls.
Need the higher ones to be coming in, when they appear.
Got some today.
Will post picks once performed.
GL
yesterday: 0-0
July: 46-41 -2.16
ml 28-22 -0.03
rl 2-2 +0.96
totals 13-15 -4.5
parlays 3-2 +1.41
system picks still 15-6 in July (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 1-0 yesterday; 14-13 in July
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Cubs 72% (-172)+8 RL 58 (+110)+10
Fla 55 (-147)-5
Phil 51 (Kendrick-Wells)
Mets 59 (-155)-2
Atl 57 (-147)-3
Mil 63 (-146)+3
Ariz 53 (-107)+1
Sf 52 (Cain-Billingsley)
Clev 66 (-173)+2 RL 52 (+111)+4
Balt 62 (-127)+6
tor 52 (+137)+9
nyy 51 (-140)-8 Tb 49 (+133)+6
Min 72 (Santana-Kennedy)
vs DiNardo Min 72
vs Blanton Min 67
det 56 (-107)+4
Laa 62 (-191)-4
system totals
cin@Mets un8.5 75% (-114)+21 --ump DeMuth is even
pitt@Atl u8.5 72 (-130)+15 --ump N/A
tor@Bost u10.5 55+10(ump)=65% (-105)+13 --ump is Super-Under Hirschbeck
I almost tried the Jays yesterday, just as a homer pick, but stayed away due to Halladay's ordinariness lately. Also considered the Chisox, Yankees and Twins, all of which came in last night (who cares, Mike?). System totals are maybe back on track?at least the one call came in yesterday (@Shea). "Talkin' 'bout the future?forget about the past?"
I'll probably try the Cubs here, despite the high price; I've got an 11-point edge to the pitching and a 6-point edge to the bats, so my +5/5 minimum requirement for heavy juice plays is in affect there. Brewers are a thought but this game?the first off the break for both teams?could probably go either way; the high call is a result of the Brewers great work BOTH at home AND vs lefties; the Rockies, this year, like other years, don't travel very well (.578 at home but just .419 on the road); pitching looks fairly even but Brewers have knocked around Francis before; if I try it, it will be small. Orioles and Jays also look worthwhile, and I might take a shot (Tavarez has been hurt by Jays before while Bedard is just smokin' currently). Tigers have my interest as they're just killing lefties (won 72% vs L; 71% vs L on road).
For totals, the game at Shea might again be worth trying under?we've got a slightly better matchup than yesterday?but I kinda feel like I missed the boat on that Shea total yesterday?it was Doug Eddings behind home plate (Great under-ump); might bite the bullet and try it but ump DeMuth has an uncharacteristically low K% this season (under 62%), despite being 9-7 on the under this season. Braves-Pirates, under, is a system call, but both clubs were swinging pretty decent just before the break, so I don't know about that one; Hudson has had some poor games lately, too. An over-call at Fenway became an under-call due to the high total (10.5), and Hirschbeck behind home plate has given it a bonus, here, as shown above. Tavarez should have a very fresh bullpen behind him, so I figure if he can go a decent 5 or 6 then this one could play under; Marcum is coming off of a bad game against the Indians, but in his previous 8 starts he was doing stellar work?in those 8 mentioned, the total has stayed under 10.5 in 7 of them; worth a shot with Hirschbeck going, for sure.
System sides went 5-1 on Thursday, so the system is continuing to hit a lot of 50 calls.
Need the higher ones to be coming in, when they appear.
Got some today.
Will post picks once performed.
GL
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