AFL Systems week #15

[PAWAQATSI]

Mech = 5 - 9 @ 35.7%.......Hybrid = 10 - 5 @ 66.6%.......Overall >> 15 - 14 @ 51.7%

Bankroll @ 87.1%

A season defining weekend ahead I feel.

Four games set off the systems red lights.

Tonight at the dome we have the first 'Mech' pick...
Christo's Western Bulldogs +21.5 versus West Coast Eagles @ $1.91
With the way this season is going, I am more inclined to grab a few more points and take the +24.5 h'cap @ $1.72

Will fire off the rest later.....

 

[Jig-Jag]

GL Man

 

[MrChristo]

Great work Pawa... :00hour

I was feeling slightly dubious about taking them myself but if both sets of numbers point to a Doggies result, then I'm onboard for sure.

(My house and contents might be in some danger if we get slaughtered tho!!)

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

GL pawa i think they'll keep it close too :toast: hope they don't win out right though :scared

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Thanx guys


Saturday night finds us with one 'Mech' & one 'Hybrid' played at the same time.

Brisbane +20.5 versus Collingwood
Once again, given the stagnating bankroll, I will take the +24.5 h'cap @ $1.72 for a little more security at a lesser return.

Sydney over 15.5pts versus Richmond
Given the 'Hybrids' ability this season to cover the line also (which in this case is -37ish), I am prepared to take Sydney to win over 25pts @ $1.45 rather than taking the $1.24 for the ov 15.5

As these games are played simultaneously, I will split my bet into 7.5% on each.


Sunday closes out with another 'no-brainer' 'Hybrid'...
Port Adelaide over 15.5pts versus Richmond
This game should get ugly and provided the Sydney hybrid goes as planned I will follow suit with 15% on Port to win over 25pts at the higher return.

Now I am diverting slightly from the norm with my bets but it did pay off last week and I'm hoping this week will be the same. I am taking a more conservative & cautious approach with the Mechs & playing more daring one with the hybrids. Makes sense with the respective %'s this season.

Now once again, let's quietly roll these little mofos out...........:burnout

 

[PAWAQATSI]

West Coast 158 crushed Western Bulldogs 71 :com:

Well that's about as far off as ya can be with a pick!!

Tonight should be better.

 

[bombercoops]

Brisbane rollin the pies at the half and sydney in control. Good to see ay paw! I like those hybrid plays mate. Your feeling on your roos tomorrow???

 

[hawkeye]

CaChing!!! Thanks

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Brisbane 149 destroyed Collingwood 56 :142smilie
Sydney 138 defeated Richmond 72:spotting:

A good nights results. On to Port this arvo.

Yeah.... Hybrids are covering and killing it Coops. Was pretty confident of my Roos rolling the Hawks mate. Even more confident now that we are 31 up at the half!!

September here we come :SIB

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Port 163 obliterated Melbourne 74 :mj07:


Mech = 6 - 10 @ 37.5%.......Hybrid = 12 - 5 @ 70.6%.......Overall >> 18 - 15 @ 54.5%

Bankroll @ 83.2%


C..nt of a weekend really. Bulldogs scrape in as an eligible pick and then get smashed. Two great saturday night winners played simultaneously causing the half bets. Both 'hybrids' cover the huge high 30's lines easily and I play it safe, even though they have covered at 100% this season!!

A 3 - 1 weekend and I go backwards a few %. WTF? This is really shitting me now.

I shake my head and look ahead to next week.