Saturday August 18th 2007
yesterday: 10-11 +8.02
August: 105-89 +40.65
ml 49-31 +30.43
rl 6-5 -1.16
totals 21-14 +4.68
parlays 29-39 +6.7
system picks 4-2 Friday; 26-16 in August (62%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-1 Friday; 30-20 in August (60%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
stl 51% (+117)+4
mets 57 (-144)-3
Atl 62 (-135)+4
Mil 52 (-144)-8 cin 48 (+136)+5
phil 56 (-110)+3
sf 60 (-110)+7
hou 62 (-121)+7
Lad 56 (-152)-5 col 44 (+144)+3
Tor 58 (-145)-2
Nyy 75 (-191)+9 RL 62 (-105)+10
Bost 55 (-125)-1
Min 57 (-145)-3
clev 68 (-135)+10 RL 55 (+120)+9
Oak 63 (-150)+3
Seat 76 (-155)+15 RL 62 (+135)+19
system totals
mets@Wash un9 65 (-120)+10 --Rapuano is an acceptable UNDER-ump (7-17 in '07)
cin@Mil ov10 77 (+105)+28 --Wolf is a bit of an under-ump; hurts this one, but doesn't kill it
phil@Pitt ov9 69 (-120)+14 --Marsh is a good OVER-ump
hou@Sd un7.5 69 (-120)+14 --ump Dreckman is even
laa@Bost un9 65 (-105)+13 --Wegner is even, at best, or maybe an over-lean
tex@Min ov9 66 (-116)+12 --ump Reilly is even or a slight OVER-lean
kc@Oak un9.5 67 (-115)+13 --ump Danley is even
That's what I'm talkin' about! Hit my 4 biggest plays so I'm a happy camper. Went 4-2 on the moneyline, 0-1 on the runline, 2-1 on totals and the rest was a lot of poor IF plays with a couple of winners tossed in. System sides only went 8-8 on the day (4-2 on the really high calls) so I'm lucky to survive in such great shape, I figure. Last Saturday was a minor bump in the road for what was an otherwise outstanding weekend for me; hoping to do the two-step on these numbers straight on through this time?
Giants, Astros, Yankees, Indians and Mariners are system picks if you can find these posted lines. Actually the M's will be a system pick at anything up to -200, really?that one looks very safe (though the M's offense kinda went to sleep in the later innings yesterday). Giants were a system pick at the line I grabbed, so I'm leaving it as is?anything -115 or higher (which it is currently) is not a system pick, but Who Really Cares?...still appears to be value on the Giants Saturday no matter what?it's a night game so the Big Guy should be playin'. Indians I hopped on real early but are a system pick right up to -160. Yanks runline is a go today, too. Astros look worth a shot at current lines (-120ish).
The totals should be self-explanatory, if you've been following what I'm doing here (or even if not).
Some I'll try and others I'll pass on.
Plays should be up (relatively) early for me this go round; I pulled another all-dayer and I'm pretty bushed. Breakdowns of the games are unlikely for me today?will try to do team totals and then might leave it at that. I should just stick with what I've already got?maybe try a couple more seeing as I'm playing with house money.
Rock n' Roll Baby!!!
Will post what's played.
GL
yesterday: 10-11 +8.02
August: 105-89 +40.65
ml 49-31 +30.43
rl 6-5 -1.16
totals 21-14 +4.68
parlays 29-39 +6.7
system picks 4-2 Friday; 26-16 in August (62%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-1 Friday; 30-20 in August (60%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
stl 51% (+117)+4
mets 57 (-144)-3
Atl 62 (-135)+4
Mil 52 (-144)-8 cin 48 (+136)+5
phil 56 (-110)+3
sf 60 (-110)+7
hou 62 (-121)+7
Lad 56 (-152)-5 col 44 (+144)+3
Tor 58 (-145)-2
Nyy 75 (-191)+9 RL 62 (-105)+10
Bost 55 (-125)-1
Min 57 (-145)-3
clev 68 (-135)+10 RL 55 (+120)+9
Oak 63 (-150)+3
Seat 76 (-155)+15 RL 62 (+135)+19
system totals
mets@Wash un9 65 (-120)+10 --Rapuano is an acceptable UNDER-ump (7-17 in '07)
cin@Mil ov10 77 (+105)+28 --Wolf is a bit of an under-ump; hurts this one, but doesn't kill it
phil@Pitt ov9 69 (-120)+14 --Marsh is a good OVER-ump
hou@Sd un7.5 69 (-120)+14 --ump Dreckman is even
laa@Bost un9 65 (-105)+13 --Wegner is even, at best, or maybe an over-lean
tex@Min ov9 66 (-116)+12 --ump Reilly is even or a slight OVER-lean
kc@Oak un9.5 67 (-115)+13 --ump Danley is even
That's what I'm talkin' about! Hit my 4 biggest plays so I'm a happy camper. Went 4-2 on the moneyline, 0-1 on the runline, 2-1 on totals and the rest was a lot of poor IF plays with a couple of winners tossed in. System sides only went 8-8 on the day (4-2 on the really high calls) so I'm lucky to survive in such great shape, I figure. Last Saturday was a minor bump in the road for what was an otherwise outstanding weekend for me; hoping to do the two-step on these numbers straight on through this time?
Giants, Astros, Yankees, Indians and Mariners are system picks if you can find these posted lines. Actually the M's will be a system pick at anything up to -200, really?that one looks very safe (though the M's offense kinda went to sleep in the later innings yesterday). Giants were a system pick at the line I grabbed, so I'm leaving it as is?anything -115 or higher (which it is currently) is not a system pick, but Who Really Cares?...still appears to be value on the Giants Saturday no matter what?it's a night game so the Big Guy should be playin'. Indians I hopped on real early but are a system pick right up to -160. Yanks runline is a go today, too. Astros look worth a shot at current lines (-120ish).
The totals should be self-explanatory, if you've been following what I'm doing here (or even if not).
Some I'll try and others I'll pass on.
Plays should be up (relatively) early for me this go round; I pulled another all-dayer and I'm pretty bushed. Breakdowns of the games are unlikely for me today?will try to do team totals and then might leave it at that. I should just stick with what I've already got?maybe try a couple more seeing as I'm playing with house money.
Rock n' Roll Baby!!!
Will post what's played.
GL
Last edited:
