NCAA Week 2 Card

DeadPrez

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3-6 ytd


Not the start I was looking for...not the start at all. However I am always skeptical about week 1 of the college season and I was wrong more than I was right last week. I should have quit while I was a little less behind. Going 0-2 yesterday didn't help the cause, and what was up w/ Vegas only giving SMU 8-10 points yesterday...that was funny.

Now that there is some actual data to analyze I think there will be improvement this week. I hope so anyway...

Here is what I am looking at this week...a few of these have already been locked in...not all of them.


Penn State -17


Notre Dame is abyssmal, those QBs of their's were rattled in a home game, how's it gonna be when they are getting screamed at by 109,000 fans in Happy Valley vs. a team looking to and capable of exacting some revenge.


Colorado State +14


Cal beat Tennessee last week and CSU got beat by a team that they outplayed. I was impressed w/ both CSU and CU last week. I sense a majority of people will be on the Bears...I'll be on the Rams getting at least 14 @ home. CSU beat Cal in Berkley in '03 and Cal is just 3-5 SU in their first road game the last 8 years. CSU will bring it this week and I look for Cal to have a letdown game.


Colorado +15

I was very impressed with CU last week as well. I think this team is capable of suprising some people this year. After an awful 2006 where they finished 2-10 SU and 4-7 ATS, I think they will finish with a much better ATS record this year. CU is 7-2 over the last 9 years in their first game after playing CSU w/ an average score of 30-17.


South Florida +7



I think this team is very capable of pulling the outright upset. I don't have a ton of faith in Auburn and I think USF has a lot of talent and speed, probably more speed than K-State. Auburn was lucky to escape their game w/ K-State w/ a win. USF didn't look too great in their game against Elon but I will put some stock behind the idea that they were saving up for this week's game in Auburn. Auburn is however, 10-1 in the 2nd game of back-to-back home games and USF is 1-7 in their last 8 road openers. Auburn was just 2-5 last year as a home favorite. I don't care much about trends but it is nice when they support a play. Not the case here.


Cincinnati +3.5


Really not impressed with OSU...I think that if Brian Johnson didn't get hurt last week that they really could have lost to Utah. OSU is 1-5 in their last 6 road games and the last time they traveled east of the Mississippi they got hammered by Louisville 63-27. OSU is 5-7 vs. current Big East teams while Cincy has won 8 straight non-conference home games.

Hopefully all this shit can translate into some damn victories.


Tell 'em Drama...

43f358f78205826523185ca853422a82.jpg



More to come...
 
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DeadPrez

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Vanderbilt +3.5


I feel like betting against Saban and Alabama will be like betting against Notre Dame. As tons of public money blindly backs the Irish because there are so many ND fans, I feel like the same will happen to Alabama during Saban's first year. I think betting against the Tide could be a profitable venture this year and I plan to look for the right spots to do so. Crimson Tide nation is fired up right now. This sure does seem like a small number and Alabama owns Vandy winning the last 19 games and 33 of 34.


Michigan -8


Hard to ignore how badly Michigan will try to take out there frustrations on an Oregon team that is playing far from home. I like to look for these bounce back games after a team looks awful the week before. It doesn't get any more awful then what Michigan experienced last week. One of two things will take place, they will be verified as a fraud and get beat again, or, what I think will happen, they will stomp Oregon. Oregon was outgained last week against Houston who played a redshirt freshmen QB. Oregon also benefited from recovering 2 Houston fumbles and intercepted the Houston QB once. Oregon gave up 545 yards to Houston including 315 on the ground. Although I never bought into the UM preseason hype, I think they will easily beat the Ducks.


Virginia Tech +13


This is a huge number IMO. I think that Va Tech has multiple excuses as to why they struggled last week. One was all of the obvious publicity on their 1st game because of what happened out there. Secondly, I'm sure they were looking ahead to the LSU game and played very conservative vs. ECU. Va Tech lost a couple of fumbles and LSU benefited from 6 int's vs. Miss. St. Va Tech has won 14 straight road openers and I think they can stay within the number here. They really need to improve on their running performance from last week though to have any shot of winning (31 rushes for 33 yards).


good luck
 

DeadPrez

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other possibilities include...


South Carolina +5

Washington +3

BYU +7.5

Southern Miss +12

Miami (OH) +9

Toledo +3


gl
 

autt_4

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one question

one question

Do you just hate the SEC or am I just imagining that.

BAMA -3.5 BIG
 

Morris

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When I saw the LSU/VT # I was kind of surprised it was this much. Thought more like 5'-6' but then They know more than me. I probably won't touch this game. Lots of others. I do agree with you on Mich. They have to prove a point and they have to do it all season now!
 

DeadPrez

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Gonna put the early games out now because I might not be around in the morning...


These are locked in...most have been since the beginning of the week...thinking about backing off of the Michigan play and possibly the Colorado play. Pretty much all the rest of my plays are locked in too but I want to see what the lines look like closer to gametime and then possibly buy a play back if I don't like what I see.


Vanderbilt +4 (-120)

Colorado State +14

Washington +3

Miami (OH) +9


gl
 
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