Friday September 14th 2007
yesterday: 1-6 -2.76
September: 94-93 +6.83
ml 40-35 +4.05
rl 2-5 -6.88
totals 33-21 +8.54
parlays & IFs 19-32 +1.12
system picks 1-2 yesterday; 22-22 in September (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 1-0 yesterday; 30-15 in September (666%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
atl 55% (-125)-1
Mets 67 (-162)+5 RL 51 (+130)+7
Mil 57 (-218)-12 cin 43 (+200)+9
Hou 58 (-162)-4
Stl 53 (+105)+4
fla 51 (+128)+7
Sd 62 (-155)+1
Lad 66 (-159)+4
nyy 58 (-104)+7
Tor 72 (-171)+8 RL 58 (+116)+11
Clev 66 (-208)-2 RL 51 (+102)+1
Min 52 (-102)+1
laa 54 (-131)-3
tb 55 (+127)+10
tex 54 (-102)+3
system totals
fla@Col ov11 67% (+105)+18
sf@Sd un7.5 72 (-105)+20
tb@Seat un9 68 (-114)+14 --ump Dreckman is even
System sides took a beating yesterday, going 2-6. I'm glad I took it easy on the day. Hit that under, easily, at the Rogers Centre so that salvaged my day. Had West Virginia teased to -10, on several tickets, so I consider it a break-even kinda yesterday. Going to take it easy today as I won't get slammed just pre-weekend and I've already got some money tied up on a Brewers push (had Sheets over Dumatrait?too bad that changed?line more expensive vs Shearn boggles my mind beyond belief?might try the Reds as they hit Sheets hard last (recent) meeting and their bats are pretty hot, bullpen has been better, and Shearn gives them a heck of a lot better chance than DumItried; first he's a righty and second he can actually retire batters.
As for system picks, which are a turn off this month (don't think I'd had 22 misses in a month yet, on system picks), I'm looking at the Jays and the Devil Rays for Friday. Devil Rays looked like a good play yesterday, too, for a while. Jays are 16-4 at home to lefties (.800) and Burres wasn't great as a starter and has been shaky out of the pen; toss in Litsch with a 1.84 era in 2 starts vs the O's this year and I think that makes the Jays the strongest side for Friday. Mets are a call, too, as I added 1 point late as I thought that there were too many 66's (3) so I decided to make the one that I thought was strongest a 67?we'll see if I chose right; Indians got a massively hot (massively?) Sabathia going but Bannister always gives his boys a shot; Dodgers facing the much tougher starter (than the Mets). Others with value include the Marlins, Dodgers and Yankees. Nothing that I'm going to hit hard today. Trying the Jays and I'll try the 'Rays, too. Also grabbed a piece of the Mets earlier. Marlins have some value but hard to go against the Rockies at their own place, especially with a very hittable pitcher going; call is a toin-coss, wayany. Dodgers seem kinda cheap; they're playing okay, lately; back at home and in desperate need of wins, facing one of two teams that they would have to catch; Dodgers OPS vs L about 40 points higher than vs R; Dodgers are only 11-11 at home to lefties, mind you. Yanks look the better team, right now, and once again have a very good price tag as has been the case for them recently; they've Diced-K in previous meetings and Matslippin' pretty badly in recent starts.
No totals to pound, today, but I look a little futher at those listed above. Already on the Brewers over 5 but that was vs Dumatrait so my Friday dissappointments come early. Hopefully that's getting them outta the way. Don't need any more.
Need the Jays and Mets, though.
Others pending.
Devil Rays pen
In need of mending.
GL
yesterday: 1-6 -2.76
September: 94-93 +6.83
ml 40-35 +4.05
rl 2-5 -6.88
totals 33-21 +8.54
parlays & IFs 19-32 +1.12
system picks 1-2 yesterday; 22-22 in September (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 1-0 yesterday; 30-15 in September (666%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
atl 55% (-125)-1
Mets 67 (-162)+5 RL 51 (+130)+7
Mil 57 (-218)-12 cin 43 (+200)+9
Hou 58 (-162)-4
Stl 53 (+105)+4
fla 51 (+128)+7
Sd 62 (-155)+1
Lad 66 (-159)+4
nyy 58 (-104)+7
Tor 72 (-171)+8 RL 58 (+116)+11
Clev 66 (-208)-2 RL 51 (+102)+1
Min 52 (-102)+1
laa 54 (-131)-3
tb 55 (+127)+10
tex 54 (-102)+3
system totals
fla@Col ov11 67% (+105)+18
sf@Sd un7.5 72 (-105)+20
tb@Seat un9 68 (-114)+14 --ump Dreckman is even
System sides took a beating yesterday, going 2-6. I'm glad I took it easy on the day. Hit that under, easily, at the Rogers Centre so that salvaged my day. Had West Virginia teased to -10, on several tickets, so I consider it a break-even kinda yesterday. Going to take it easy today as I won't get slammed just pre-weekend and I've already got some money tied up on a Brewers push (had Sheets over Dumatrait?too bad that changed?line more expensive vs Shearn boggles my mind beyond belief?might try the Reds as they hit Sheets hard last (recent) meeting and their bats are pretty hot, bullpen has been better, and Shearn gives them a heck of a lot better chance than DumItried; first he's a righty and second he can actually retire batters.
As for system picks, which are a turn off this month (don't think I'd had 22 misses in a month yet, on system picks), I'm looking at the Jays and the Devil Rays for Friday. Devil Rays looked like a good play yesterday, too, for a while. Jays are 16-4 at home to lefties (.800) and Burres wasn't great as a starter and has been shaky out of the pen; toss in Litsch with a 1.84 era in 2 starts vs the O's this year and I think that makes the Jays the strongest side for Friday. Mets are a call, too, as I added 1 point late as I thought that there were too many 66's (3) so I decided to make the one that I thought was strongest a 67?we'll see if I chose right; Indians got a massively hot (massively?) Sabathia going but Bannister always gives his boys a shot; Dodgers facing the much tougher starter (than the Mets). Others with value include the Marlins, Dodgers and Yankees. Nothing that I'm going to hit hard today. Trying the Jays and I'll try the 'Rays, too. Also grabbed a piece of the Mets earlier. Marlins have some value but hard to go against the Rockies at their own place, especially with a very hittable pitcher going; call is a toin-coss, wayany. Dodgers seem kinda cheap; they're playing okay, lately; back at home and in desperate need of wins, facing one of two teams that they would have to catch; Dodgers OPS vs L about 40 points higher than vs R; Dodgers are only 11-11 at home to lefties, mind you. Yanks look the better team, right now, and once again have a very good price tag as has been the case for them recently; they've Diced-K in previous meetings and Matslippin' pretty badly in recent starts.
No totals to pound, today, but I look a little futher at those listed above. Already on the Brewers over 5 but that was vs Dumatrait so my Friday dissappointments come early. Hopefully that's getting them outta the way. Don't need any more.
Need the Jays and Mets, though.
Others pending.
Devil Rays pen
In need of mending.
GL
