College FB Picks (9/13-9/15), YTD 21-17, +2.3 units

[BGFalcon]

Opening lines I'm looking at...

Michigan State-14 (-105) over ND
UL Lafayette +10? over Troy
Florida Atlantic -6 North Texas
Purdue -13? over Minnesota

 

[BGFalcon]

Appalachian St. +2 over Wofford--Very surprised by this line and it won't be there for long. Appy St's QB supposed to play, Wofford's may not. Two unit play.

Brown +11 over Harvard--I had this one at Harvard -4. Give me the double digits.

 

[Spalding]

What do you think of Central Michigan -10 over NDSU. Line opened at -8.5 and moved quick. Bison pass defense is horrendous....There offense is good but I don?t know how good comparatively speaking. They have squeaked by at home twice now and am thinking they are going to get rolled on the road by a good home team.

Appy St opened at +4 and that just mystified me. The rest of Appys team is still intact and like you said, Pat White Jr. might be back this week.

 

[BGFalcon]

I would agree with CMU. Things snowballed on them last week but they can put points on the board. NDSU will have their hands full.

 

[jdp1152]

bg, what book you get your DIAA lines so early?

 

[BGFalcon]

5Dimes

 

[Spalding]

I think 5dimes just conceded in the Appy St game. The line is now -10. :scared

Thats a 14 point swing in 4 hours.

 

[BGFalcon]

I called them right after I hit it at +2 to make sure it wasn't posted wrong. Sometimes they get ticked when you bet into an obviously wrong line. But the guy assured me that the line was correct. So I hit it again after he hung up.

 

[Spalding]

Nice work....I intentionally bet it thinking it was wrong but when they dropped it to +3 then +2, I knew they thought they had the line right. Oh well...they will recover!

Lets just hope we are right, it would really suck if they lose!

Good luck.

 

[BGFalcon]

Lets just hope we are right, it would really suck if they lose!

I was thinking the same thing.

 

[BGFalcon]

A few more FCS games:

A few more FCS games:

Robert Morris +5.5 over Morehead St.--Bobby Mo is down a little bit compared to last year but I think they will still handle Morehead St.

Fordham -5.5 over Dayton--Dayton is playing like I expected them to last year but I don't see them hanging with Fordham.

Montana -17 over Albany--I have this one lined at -26.

Samford +1.5 over SEMS--Samford has struggled this year stopping the run but I think they have too many athletes for SEMS.

Missouri St. +7 over C. Arkansas--Two pretty even teams. I like the TD at home.

 

[BGFalcon]

ULL +10 over Troy--Troy is looking like the team to beat in the Sun Belt but I don't think they should laying double-digits on the road in a conference game. I got 10.5 early in the week and the 10's are going fast.

Idaho -3 over NIU--Huskies are struggling this year while Idaho has been somewhat competitive. NIU also a little banged up.

FAU -6 over North Texas--FAU should be a contender in the Sun Belt. North Texas has really fallen off the Sun Belt map, especially defensively. I don't like laying road chalk but I'm not sure North Texas can stop anyone.

Arkansas St./Tennessee under 60--Arkansas St. shouldn't score more than 10 which means the Vols need to get 50. With Georgia up in two weeks, I don't think Tenn will show too much in the second half.

PSU/Michigan under 47.5--Joe Pa and Lloyd will make this a grind it out game. Henne will probably play but won't be mobile :142smilie . I see this one to be a 24-21 type game.

I'd like to lay the 13.5 with Purdont on the road against Minnesota but I don't know if the Boilers have the defense to get it done. I also like Sparty at -11.5 over ND but hope to see 10 by gametime.

 

[BGFalcon]

Adding...

Adding...

Kent St. -2 over Akron--I thought the line might move a little more but it seems to have settled. If the Flashes can hang on to the ball they should be OK. Kent offense should be the difference here.

 

[hawkeye]

Also likeing N Arz -30 over UNC-they suck & No Ia -16 ov Drake--GL

 

[FINZ2LFT]

With you on the Kent and Florida Atl. game.

Good Luck!
Ay-Ziggy-Zoomba

 

[AR182]

Arkansas St./Tennessee under 60--Arkansas St. shouldn't score more than 10 which means the Vols need to get 50. With Georgia up in two weeks, I don't think Tenn will show too much in the second half.

i tend to agree with you on this...so i'm going to play it also...

good luck.

 

[BGFalcon]

Results: 7-6 -0.7 units

YTD: 28-23, +1.6 units