6-0 last week = 5 straight winning weeks.
19-8 all up. (Anything above 66% looks pretty doesn't it! :00hour )
San Diego -10 (2.04)
League: 3-9-1 (1-11-1 this no...Av. loss 18.6) away 10+ dog, total 40.5+ off a BYE. [Oak]
(0-1 2006. SF 10-41 Chic @ +16.5)
Big 'dog, plus big total = bad D! Not sure why the BYE has such a significant negative impact, but it seems to hurt teams offensively...they av. just 12.9 ppg, and only one of those 13 teams topped 20!
League: 10-1 (Av. win 20.5!) home 10+ fav, off a 21q+ ats win as away (-3 to +3) with 30+ mins TOP. [SD]
(2-0 2006. Balt 28-6 Oak @ -13.5. SD 40-7 Ten @ -11.
1-0 2007. Dal 35-7 SL @ -13)
SD got rolling last week and shouldn't have too much trouble carrying it into this week against an Oakland D who are allowing 5.3 y/rush!
The Chargers have won the last 7 meetings and covered 7 of the last 8, and there's no room for complacency here with Oakland sitting atop the Div in a very tight early race.
SD flex some muscle here and win big. Happy to take the 10 at a good price.
SL @ Baltimore under 37.5
League: 3-14-1 under (Av. total 38.9...av. score 34.3) away 7+ dog, off a 1-3 ats win as a home dog, if opp is off a SU win. [SL]
(0-1 under 2007. Buff 3-26 Pits @ 38.5)
0-12 under (Av. total 38.9...av. score 30.2) if they last had <30 mins TOP.
Before last weeks explosion the Rams had scored 13, 16, 3 & 7. I know the Raven D hasn't been great to this point, but I have to think it's better than the Cards...(although they are 4th in overall D!)
...besides, they won't have Warner firing a no-huddle offense against them here either. They'll have boring, predictable old Baltimore, who controlled the ball for 38 mins this week for just 3 FG's!!! :scared
They held SF to just 6 FD's so hopefully that D is starting to warm up.
Carolina @ 'Zona under 41
League: 2-15 under (Av. total 40.4...av. score 33.6) home 3+ fav, off a 1-3 ats loss as away fav, ith 30+ mins TOP. [Zona]
(0-1 under 2006. Caro 21-18 NO @ 41)
0-10 under (Av. total 42.5...av. score 33.8) if total is >40.5
I know I just said how bad the Cards D is...but we've seen in the last 2 weeks how bad Carr is!
I watched the game last week and he appears to have very poor arm strength...I can't remember his throwing a ball more than 10 yards in the air. He also makes some very poor decisions in the red zone, so FG's instead of TD's could be the order of the day. (They only scored 16 last week against NO after all!!)
They've allowed 20+ in only one game this season, so they are holding up ok defensively.
Minni @ Chicago over 37
League: 18-3 over (Av. total 36.4...av. score 47.6!) as a 3+ dog, with more than 6 days rest, total <38, if opp last won 10+ ats in a game that went 'over' [Min]
(1-0 over in 2006. Mia 31-13 Chic @ 37.5)
10-1 over (Av. total 36.0...av. score 51.2!!) if opp was last away.
Just a case of this Chicago D being over-rated, currently giving up 23 ppg...and really should have been more with GB going ultra conservative in the second half this week. Minni should have a huge game on the ground, and they've been a bit under-rated offensively, scoring nearly 17 ppg.
I said in their last game that I thought their D was a bit misleading...played some low scoring teams and a Det back-up QB...Chicago have scored 27 both weeks now with Griese starting, so really like getting the 37 here.
That's it for now...will be on Houston, but hoping the line ticks over to 7.
Good Luck all
19-8 all up. (Anything above 66% looks pretty doesn't it! :00hour )
San Diego -10 (2.04)
League: 3-9-1 (1-11-1 this no...Av. loss 18.6) away 10+ dog, total 40.5+ off a BYE. [Oak]
(0-1 2006. SF 10-41 Chic @ +16.5)
Big 'dog, plus big total = bad D! Not sure why the BYE has such a significant negative impact, but it seems to hurt teams offensively...they av. just 12.9 ppg, and only one of those 13 teams topped 20!
League: 10-1 (Av. win 20.5!) home 10+ fav, off a 21q+ ats win as away (-3 to +3) with 30+ mins TOP. [SD]
(2-0 2006. Balt 28-6 Oak @ -13.5. SD 40-7 Ten @ -11.
1-0 2007. Dal 35-7 SL @ -13)
SD got rolling last week and shouldn't have too much trouble carrying it into this week against an Oakland D who are allowing 5.3 y/rush!
The Chargers have won the last 7 meetings and covered 7 of the last 8, and there's no room for complacency here with Oakland sitting atop the Div in a very tight early race.
SD flex some muscle here and win big. Happy to take the 10 at a good price.
SL @ Baltimore under 37.5
League: 3-14-1 under (Av. total 38.9...av. score 34.3) away 7+ dog, off a 1-3 ats win as a home dog, if opp is off a SU win. [SL]
(0-1 under 2007. Buff 3-26 Pits @ 38.5)
0-12 under (Av. total 38.9...av. score 30.2) if they last had <30 mins TOP.
Before last weeks explosion the Rams had scored 13, 16, 3 & 7. I know the Raven D hasn't been great to this point, but I have to think it's better than the Cards...(although they are 4th in overall D!)
...besides, they won't have Warner firing a no-huddle offense against them here either. They'll have boring, predictable old Baltimore, who controlled the ball for 38 mins this week for just 3 FG's!!! :scared
They held SF to just 6 FD's so hopefully that D is starting to warm up.
Carolina @ 'Zona under 41
League: 2-15 under (Av. total 40.4...av. score 33.6) home 3+ fav, off a 1-3 ats loss as away fav, ith 30+ mins TOP. [Zona]
(0-1 under 2006. Caro 21-18 NO @ 41)
0-10 under (Av. total 42.5...av. score 33.8) if total is >40.5
I know I just said how bad the Cards D is...but we've seen in the last 2 weeks how bad Carr is!
I watched the game last week and he appears to have very poor arm strength...I can't remember his throwing a ball more than 10 yards in the air. He also makes some very poor decisions in the red zone, so FG's instead of TD's could be the order of the day. (They only scored 16 last week against NO after all!!)
They've allowed 20+ in only one game this season, so they are holding up ok defensively.
Minni @ Chicago over 37
League: 18-3 over (Av. total 36.4...av. score 47.6!) as a 3+ dog, with more than 6 days rest, total <38, if opp last won 10+ ats in a game that went 'over' [Min]
(1-0 over in 2006. Mia 31-13 Chic @ 37.5)
10-1 over (Av. total 36.0...av. score 51.2!!) if opp was last away.
Just a case of this Chicago D being over-rated, currently giving up 23 ppg...and really should have been more with GB going ultra conservative in the second half this week. Minni should have a huge game on the ground, and they've been a bit under-rated offensively, scoring nearly 17 ppg.
I said in their last game that I thought their D was a bit misleading...played some low scoring teams and a Det back-up QB...Chicago have scored 27 both weeks now with Griese starting, so really like getting the 37 here.
That's it for now...will be on Houston, but hoping the line ticks over to 7.
Good Luck all
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