College FB Picks (10/11-10/13), YTD 44-34, +5.5 units

[BGFalcon]

Lafayette +6 over Harvard--This should be a low-scoring, close game. Give me the six points.

UNH -27 over Iona--Iona won't have an answer for Santos as he puts up big numbers.

C. Conn St. -16.5 over Robert Morris--CCSU should be able to shove the ball down Bobby Mo's throat. RMU might lay down in this one after losing two in a row.

Hampton -5.5 over Norfolk St.--Norfolk St. is 4-1 but haven't played anyone. Hampton's TJ Mitchell will be tough to stop. Too many athletes for Norfolk St. to handle.

Butler +7.5 over Valpo--Can teams this bad be expected to cover more than a TD? I'm betting the answer to this question is no.

Weber St. -6.5 over N. Colorado--N. Colorado hasn't been within 12 points of anyone this year. I don't see that changing this week.

I also played Northeastern +21, Illinois St. -24 and McNeese St. -16 but those numbers are no longer available. I almost played Davidson +22 and Monmouth -14 but I just couldn't do it.

 

[BGFalcon]

Michigan/Purdue over 55.5--This play shows how far the Michigan program has fallen. Their defense is pathetic and will get gashed by Purdue's spread. I'm convinced that any team that simply lines up in the spread will score at least 28 against Michigan. Of course Purdon't's defense is bad too. Once Michigan runs their obligatory Hart over left tackle to open the game, I expect them to throw the ball quite a bit. Another factor is Michigan's atrocious special teams. They are good for giving up huge yardage on a kickoff return or some other major ****up in the kicking game to set up some points for the opponent. First team to 31 wins.

 

[BGFalcon]

ULM/N.Texas under 62.5--This total seems a little too high. Monroe's overall defensive stats are not good but within the league they are solid. N. Texas is bad defensively but ULM should keep the ball on the ground which will help. N. Texas is starting a freshman QB and he will make mistakes potentially killing drives. I'm tempted to lay the 7 on the road but that is risky in this conference.

Boston College -13.5 over Notre Dame--I normally hesitate to lay double digits on the road but ND is bad and isn't getting better. They have covered the last two weeks thanks to Purdue's terrible defense and UCLA's seven turnovers. BC is a notch or two above those teams.

 

[taoist]

ULM/N.Texas under 62.5--This total seems a little too high. Monroe's overall defensive stats are not good but within the league they are solid. N. Texas is bad defensively but ULM should keep the ball on the ground which will help. N. Texas is starting a freshman QB and he will make mistakes potentially killing drives. I'm tempted to lay the 7 on the road but that is risky in this conference.

Boston College -13.5 over Notre Dame--I normally hesitate to lay double digits on the road but ND is bad and isn't getting better. They have covered the last two weeks thanks to Purdue's terrible defense and UCLA's seven turnovers. BC is a notch or two above those teams.

...with ya on BC and I also played Monroe -7! BOL this week. :SIB

 

[BGFalcon]

Kent St. +31 over Ohio St.--The media is making a big deal out of Martin's comments about using his second team but Kent routinely rotates in the second team throughout the game. I like the Flashes at +31. Edelman can make plays and the Buckeyes are coming off a nice win against Purdon't. With Sparty up next, I can see Ohio St. coasting a bit in the second half. Beanie Wells probably won't play much and Saine is coming off minor knee surgery. Ten points by Kent should do it.

 

[BGFalcon]

BC -6.5 (2nd half) over ND--I don't think the Irish will score and BC is on the verge of breaking this wide open.

 

[BGFalcon]

Results: 5-6, BC was a tough one. Complete domination but a missed XP, FG and 16 penalties.

YTD: 49-40, +3.75 units