Tues game

[gsp]

I didn't see the game last night but have come to the conclusion that Owings has to be one of the unluckiest pitchers around. While cappin the game yesterday I noticed that in one game he gave up 7 runs but only 2 were earned. How do you have 5 unearned runs? Then today he is credited with 6 runs but only 2 were earned. Even after reading the review of the game I still can't figure over 2 unearned runs. Now for today's game.

This series has been tough for me to get a handle on. All three games could have gone either way and tonight is no different. Both pitchers have trouble with the narrow zone but I expect the same strike zone as last night. Both pitchers can be very good or very bad so I can't give an edge to either regardless of the zone. Both bps are very good so can't give much of an edge to either. I've come up with one angle that leans slightly to Bos but if Cle keeps hitting the ball they might just be the team that faces Colo.

Colo did pretty good this year in IL play. Swept the Yankees at Coors, beat Bos 2 out of 3 at Bos but got swept at Tor. KC beat them 2-1 but Balt and TB both lost 2-1.

Colo was the only NL team to take a series from Bos and it was at Bos.

As long as Bos is the fav tonight I'll go small on them. Only because it's the only game in town.

 

[gsp]

No sooner did I do the write-up until Bos is no longer the clear fav. Will go with which-ever is the fav (has to be both rl and ml) at gametime.

 

[dickiesports]

GSP

GSP

Please clarify on the RL ?

Tue 10/16 965 Boston Red Sox

T. Wakefield -1.5 +148 -106 OVER 10 -106

05:05 PM 966 Cleveland Indians

P. Byrd +1.5 -158 -102 UNDER 10 -104

Right now Boston is the slight fav -106 please use an example to show me clear fav on RL.

DS

 

[s_dooley24]

Clear example would be the team that is -1.5 runs. Has to be favored on both ml and rl.

 

[dickiesports]

Clear example would be the team that is -1.5 runs. Has to be favored on both ml and rl.

no way is the fav ML say -120 going to be -1.5 -110

need further clarification

 

[s_dooley24]

no way is the fav ML say -120 going to be -1.5 -110

need further clarification

Obviously. The rl is going to be plus money, but that team is still the fav. Joe means that one team has to be -110 and -1.5 runs (regardless of juice on the rl)

 

[gsp]

Sorry for the confusion about what I mean by "clear favorite". I've posted this before but it's worth posting again. For cappin purposes I use Big Guy's lines. I've found over the years that they are a very consistent average of what's out there. At gametime yesterday they showed Cle at -105 and the rl at Cle -1.5 +195. Just like in all other sports the team giving points should be considered the fav but this year I've seen teams at -120 getting 1' runs. Now that makes no sense to me but I've seen it more than a couple of times. My book had Cle as a +105 dog and getting runs at minus money at gametime which kept me from betting Cle both ways last night. Now there's one other thing that comes into play. Minus 105 on the ml is considered a pk'em but like last night when the hometeam is minus money on the ml and giving runs on the rl, I consider that as a clear fav. In all honesty I only played it for a half unit but it kept me off Bos even tho they were the clear fav at my book. Hope it don't come up again but if it does you will know what I mean by clear favorite. Good luck to all of us.

 

[dickiesports]

GSP

GSP

Well now I know clearly. I am so upset as my book went to Cleve-107 and -1.5 and I was confused as to why the switch on the RL took place. Of course I went a dime on Boston. Live and Learn keep the winners and info coming ! THANKS !