DEN -3
DEN -3
Green Bay at Denver:
DEN -3
43.5
So was that the real Broncos Sunday night? Are the Packers really a 5-1 team or is this a Favre smoke-and-mirrors job at Lambeau? Two intriguing questions in the Monday Nighter whose answers may tell part of the evolving playoff story.
Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 3-point favorites versus the Packers, while the game's total is sitting at 42.
The Packers edged Washington 17-14 as a 3-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (40.5).
Brett Favre completed 19-of-37 passes for 188 yards with two interceptions for Green Bay, while DeShawn Wynn rushed for 37 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries.
The Broncos defeated Pittsburgh 31-28 as a 4.5-point underdog in Week 7. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (38).
Jay Cutler completed 22-of-29 passes for 248 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions, while Brandon Stokley caught five passes for 70 yards and a touchdown.
Team records:
Green Bay: 5-1 SU, 4-1-1 ATS
Denver: 3-3 SU, 1-5 ATS
Green Bay most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 6-4
Denver most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
Green Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Denver is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
Not only are the Packers last in the league with 394 yards rushing, but that total is less than the league's top 19 individual rushers. No wonder Brett Favre said, 'We're hanging on by a thread.' Including Sunday's 49-yarder at the gun to beat Pittsburgh, Jason Elam has kicked Denver to each of its three wins this season. That gives Elam 23 game-winning or game-saving field goals in his career.
GB +3 $55/50
Over 43.5 $55/50
GB 27
DEN 24
