Toledo @ Ball & Chain State

[Destructor D]

Tough game to handicap as both defenses really SUCK & both offenses seem to be awesome when facing other MAC teams. However, the point spread has gone from 5.5 to 7 and I have seen the total go from 64 to 68.5 just today. I guess everyone feels the favorite & the Over are the way to play this game. I'm going to pass on the total completely as it seems accurate IMO. I would lean towards the Over, but not touching the total. However, Toledo has been awesome offensively in recent weeks and I think they put up enough points to keep this game competitive and maybe win SU.

Toledo +7 for 10*
Toledo 1st half +3.5 for 5*

Add in the fact the MAC dogs typically perform well ATS and I like my chances. I might add a small ML play later as I'm waiting for the number to increase.

GLTA

 

[MoeshY-13-]

D,
I agree with your play. Trend of the MAC last week was the Dog and the Over. Toledo has been playing well their last three games which is more than you can say for Ball St. their last 3 (even though 2 of them were against Indiana and Illinois). I'm leaning towards Toledo and the Under right now. I know these MAC boys love to light up the scoreboard, but I see both defenses stepping up for this big game and this one going under by around 3 TD's. Always take a look at your picks, and gl with the play tonight. I'm gonna wait and see how high the line goes before gametime and hopefully the total keeps rising as well so that I might be able to get a nice teaser with Toledo and the Under.

Gl!
MoeshY-13-

 

[Destructor D]

Toledo ML +250 for 2* - I believe Toledo has almost a 40% shot at winning SU so I'll take a stab for small change.

Thanks for the compliments Moeshy.

 

[Destructor D]

Apologies to all who followed my pick... game really sucked as Toledo missed a couple 2nd half opportunities in the red zone and their QB got hurt as well. Too bad I didn't leapfrog on Ball State when the number was 5.5.