39-19...still managing to hover above that 66% mark...
...but just 6-5 in the last 2 weeks ain't looking so flash!
Jax v. SD under 40.5 (2.00)
League: 3-13 under (1-15 this no...av. total 37.1...av. score 30.7) home fav, off a 14+ ats win as away 3+ dog, with 34+ mins TOP, if opp won ats as a dog. [Jax]
SD got very lucky last week. 2 of their TD's came from D/ST (1 of Indi's from a fumble recovery too), and they gained less than 200 total yards offensively had 11 FD's and only 23 mins TOP! So bascially their offense did nothing.
Jax threw for just over 100 yards also, and relied heavily on their ground game, which won't be so easy against SD...but I've got no doubt they will try. They av. over 33 rpg, and just 27 throws...SD run the ball just under 50% of the time aswell.
I think there will be plenty of time killing rushing, a a lack of big plays, and hopefully not too many non-offensive points!
New York Giants v. Detroit under 49.5
League: 8-20-1 under (Av. total 38.9...av. score 35.0) away fav, off a 7+ ats loss as a home dog. [NYG]
1-14-1 under (0-16 this no!...av. score 29.0!!) if opp is off an ats loss.
Despite all the hype surrounding the NY offense (Eli in particular), NY are very much a run oriented team...They are one of just 6 teams who pass for <6 y/pass...along side offensive powerhouses Baltimore, Atlanta, Miami, Carolina and Tennesee!
Detroit's run D is actually quite good, allowing just 3.7 y/rush.
NY have had 2 high scoring games v. Dallas...the only other game they scored big was v. the Jets, and Eli only threw for 180 yards.
Those 3 are the only games the totalled over 48.
The total is overblown also due to the Lions' last couple of games...but their road D is terrible!...and their offense scored just 23 points at home v. Denver...and 7 of those came from a broken play from a fumble of their own.
Surprisingly, they allow under 17 ppg at home...and anything over 47 looks very big here.
Washington @ Dallas over 47
League: 19-4 over (Av. total 47.2...av. score 56.7) home 10+ fav, off a 7+ ats win as away fav, if total is >44.5 (Dallas)
(1-0 2007. NE 34-17 Cleve @ 48)
14-1 over (Av. total 47.7...av. score 61.3!) if opp is off any ats loss.
7-0 over (Av. total 47.9..a.v. score 64.9!!) if opp lost by 7+ ats.
Dallas have a very quick scoring offense...and a high scoring one more importantly! They av. 32.9 ppg and haven't scored less than 24 all season!
8.4 y/p and 4.6 y/r...Their games av. over 58 points.
Washington have scored 23 and 25 in the last 2 weeks, and really, 20 should be all they need here to get this one over...shouldn't be a problem as they'll have plenty of the ball, and Dallas always seem to allow a late score or two.
Good Luck guys
...but just 6-5 in the last 2 weeks ain't looking so flash!
Jax v. SD under 40.5 (2.00)
League: 3-13 under (1-15 this no...av. total 37.1...av. score 30.7) home fav, off a 14+ ats win as away 3+ dog, with 34+ mins TOP, if opp won ats as a dog. [Jax]
SD got very lucky last week. 2 of their TD's came from D/ST (1 of Indi's from a fumble recovery too), and they gained less than 200 total yards offensively had 11 FD's and only 23 mins TOP! So bascially their offense did nothing.
Jax threw for just over 100 yards also, and relied heavily on their ground game, which won't be so easy against SD...but I've got no doubt they will try. They av. over 33 rpg, and just 27 throws...SD run the ball just under 50% of the time aswell.
I think there will be plenty of time killing rushing, a a lack of big plays, and hopefully not too many non-offensive points!
New York Giants v. Detroit under 49.5
League: 8-20-1 under (Av. total 38.9...av. score 35.0) away fav, off a 7+ ats loss as a home dog. [NYG]
1-14-1 under (0-16 this no!...av. score 29.0!!) if opp is off an ats loss.
Despite all the hype surrounding the NY offense (Eli in particular), NY are very much a run oriented team...They are one of just 6 teams who pass for <6 y/pass...along side offensive powerhouses Baltimore, Atlanta, Miami, Carolina and Tennesee!
Detroit's run D is actually quite good, allowing just 3.7 y/rush.
NY have had 2 high scoring games v. Dallas...the only other game they scored big was v. the Jets, and Eli only threw for 180 yards.
Those 3 are the only games the totalled over 48.
The total is overblown also due to the Lions' last couple of games...but their road D is terrible!...and their offense scored just 23 points at home v. Denver...and 7 of those came from a broken play from a fumble of their own.
Surprisingly, they allow under 17 ppg at home...and anything over 47 looks very big here.
Washington @ Dallas over 47
League: 19-4 over (Av. total 47.2...av. score 56.7) home 10+ fav, off a 7+ ats win as away fav, if total is >44.5 (Dallas)
(1-0 2007. NE 34-17 Cleve @ 48)
14-1 over (Av. total 47.7...av. score 61.3!) if opp is off any ats loss.
7-0 over (Av. total 47.9..a.v. score 64.9!!) if opp lost by 7+ ats.
Dallas have a very quick scoring offense...and a high scoring one more importantly! They av. 32.9 ppg and haven't scored less than 24 all season!
8.4 y/p and 4.6 y/r...Their games av. over 58 points.
Washington have scored 23 and 25 in the last 2 weeks, and really, 20 should be all they need here to get this one over...shouldn't be a problem as they'll have plenty of the ball, and Dallas always seem to allow a late score or two.
Good Luck guys
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