Saturday Football..

[Destructor D]

Already took a couple plays.

Army +14 for 10* - I have watched both teams recently and Army has a terrible defense... guess what Navy can't stop anyone as well. Add in the fact both teams will be ready to play and it's tough to not like the Cadets +14 IMO. Game should be high scoring, but Navy has already let teams like North Texas score 62 against them and Delaware score 59 against them. Army has shown they can score against weak defensive teams as they put up 39 against Tulsa. Army is just 3-8 SU, but I like getting 14 points with them on Saturday. Navy has not beaten anyone by 14 points this season and I don't expect them to start tomorrow.

Missouri +3 (+100) for 10* - MU has the SI cover jinx working against them... otherwise, MU is the better team and should win this game SU IMO. OU was a very unimpressive 0-3 ATS in true road game losing to Texas Tech and Colorado and barely beating Iowa State. Chase Daniel is the real deal and I expect the Tigers to win this game so I'll grab the +3 at even money while it's available.

Still looking at other games and will post tomorrow.

GLTA

 

[Destructor D]

Looking at the early games and find it tough to not like the dogs in both games... Gold Sheet loves the chalk and you know how the Cold Sheet has done this season. Paul Smith should keep Tulsa in the game while Miami, Ohio is the far better defensive club.

 

[Destructor D]

Going to wait on the line movement as the chalk could become likeable.

 

[alliecat]

Agree with you on the Tulsa and Miami (OH) games. Also, Army is going to pull out all the stops. I expect to see a fair share of trick plays that work.

 

[bryanz]

As I watched the Army/Tulsa gm, I was thinking about Navy. I can't remember when a Cadet Qb threw the ball better... Carson Williams is the key to this gm, has turned the ball over threw the air 12 x's this yr / good news : twice in the L3 gms. ( last yrs Army/Navy was decided by his 2 int's).......Tulsa can score on anyone but they took a licking; I'm just guessing but I'd bet Army exceeds that intensity and this will be one of the hardest hitting gms we'll see all yr. Should be clear,dry and fast in Baltimore... NO WIND ...... Navy Qb KK missed last gm with a bruised knee, plus the bye wk / could be a little rusty ??? The obvious is the key to this gm.... Who wins the turn over gm wins. Big Question : WAS CARSON WILLIAMS GM AGAINST TULSA A FLUKE ?? OR HAS HE & TRIMBLE FOUND SOMETHING ???? Army should come out gunning from the start and if they get the lead, they have a chance to win. NO matter who wins or covers; If you love America & Football, there is nothing better than the ARMY/NAVY GAME !

 

[Dr. Fade]

Like the Army play due to the known destination for Navy, but one sorry MoFo took Army so I'm bit concerned now. I got em +14.5. Very surprised by your Mizzou selection D?? I would love to see it, but not gonna happen. OU wins- hopefully by 3, but OU will win this game by 17.

I'll never forget the Army/Navy game in 91' or 92'. I was @ the Mirage and some Italian kid Freshman kicker for navy missed a 22 yd. FG w/.02 sec. left to Win and Cover. Brutal. Thx for the memories........GL Boyz

 

[jer-z jock]

I see 83% public bets ATS and ML on C.Mich but I have the line droppinga 1/2 point and even a full point a one out:shrug:

 

[Destructor D]

Going with the public! I tried to find reasons to back Tulsa & Miami, Ohio, but I couldn't find valid reasoning. Tulsas is a woeful 2-8 ATS their past 10 games and they already lost to Central Florida on the road 44-23 earlier this season. I'm not saying CFU beats them like a drumstick, but I expect them to win by 10 to 14 points anyway.

C. Michigan -2.5 (-120) for 10* - Chippewas are playing @ Ford Field for the 3rd time in the past year and should have a significant home field advantage as the game is being played in Detroit. CMU won the MAC title on this field last season 31-10 over Ohio and won their bowl game 31-14 over Middle Tennessee. I know CMU is a poor tackling bunch of pansies on defense, but LeFevour is a NFL caliber QB who should shred this Miami, Ohio defense. The Red Hawks don't appear to have the offensive weapons to keep pace in a shootout & Raudabaugh has 5 INT's his past 2 games. I'm hoping Miami, Ohio makes more mistakes today.

One point of note! Central Michigan's last 3 games were decided by 3 POINTS~! I would advise buying off the number 3 today.

Central Florida -7 (-120) for 10* - Tough going against Paul Smith as he's a stud @ QB. However, Tulsa's defense is AWFUL. They have given up 472 YPG this season & 35 PPG. Tulsa is also -8 in turnover margin. I expect Kevin Smith to have a monster game and Central Florida to definately win and hopefully cover. Smith has 2,164 yards rushing this season and Central Florida has beaten the last 5 teams @ home by an average of 25 PPG... another woodshed is possible!

Boston College +4.5 for 10* - The Hokies wanted this game and have their shot at revenge. However, I'm not sure they'll get the job done today. Boston College was only a 3 point dog @ Va Tech a few weeks ago and now they're a 4.5 point dog on a neutral field? It sounds like the public is biting big time on the revenge angle which has been a HORRIBLE angle most of the season. If you beat them the first time then why can't you beat them the 2nd time?:shrug: I realize BC's win was very lucky, but they should come better prepared today and 4.5 points has solid value IMO.

GLTA

 

[Destructor D]

Tennessee +7.5 (-120) for 10* - Why is LSU going to be focused when their coach is headed to Michigan? Vols coming off a huge win last week while LSU is coming off a huge loss. I expect Tennesse to be far more focused in this game and to at least keep this game to 7 points or less. Ainge is the better QB IMO and LSU's great defense was shredded by Arkansas last week.

 

[Destructor D]

Oregon ML +100 for 10* - Everyone knows Oregon's injury situation, but did anyone notice the Beavers are severly hurting as well? Bernard & Cantrell are both out and I see value getting the Ducks at even money.

Arizona +7.5 (-120) for 10* - Wildcats need this win to get a bowl berth. Underdog has coverd 12 of the past 15 games in this rivalry plus Arizona had 16 days to prepare! Arizona needs a win to become bowl eligible and they are the hotter team coming into this game.

Washington +14 for 10* - Tough going against Hawaii, but I see some value since the number has climbed to 2 full TD's. My big concern is Washington not showing up since they aren't playing for anything. However, I fully expect the Huskies to move the ball on this weak Hawaii defense and put up enough points to cover.

WASHINGTON PLAY NO ACTION NOW!

 

[Sam]

washingtons plane broke down, they got into Hawaii with less than 18hours to gamtime. not gonna be easy

 

[Captain Crunch]

Good Luck on your Mizzou wager, Double D. As cool as I thought it was to see Chase on the cover of SI, the first thing I thought of was the jinx. That, and the possible let down from last weeks game are the only things working against the Tigers, IMO. Their confidence is sky high and they are playing solid football. As long as the D has their batteries charged up and the offense keeps rolling to keep them fresh, I like our chances. The argument that the Tigers haven't been in this kind of pressure situation holds some merit, but after the game last week and the fact that Daniel has been battle tested (although on a lesser scale) since high school, I'm not sure that will be problem.

That being said, I booked my flight to Nawlins on Thursday. :scared :scared

 

[Destructor D]

Sam, thanks for the information on Washington. I didn't know about their plane breaking down and now must consider going the other way. Washington's pass defense has also looked terrible and they aren't playing for anything except to end the season.

Captain Crunch, best of luck to Missouri today. I'm a KU alum, but will be rooting for the Tigers as I want a Big 12 team playing in the National Title game.

UCLA +19.5 for 10* - Too many points as UCLA does play some defense and should keep this game competitive IMO.

Nevada -6.5 (-120) for 4* - Wolfpack become bowl eligible with a win and La Tech is nothing speical.

GLTA

 

[Destructor D]

California -13.5 for 5* - Not a big play as both teams look horrid coming down the home stretch, but prefer California as Stanford is banged up after last week's game and should have problems keeping this game competitive.

I PLACED WASHINGTON WITH MY LOCAL & CANCELED MY WAGER! I normally can cancel one or two plays with my offshore each month and my local is fairly cool about canceling as long as I don't play the other side.

 

[cavy1]

Good Luck today Destructor

 

[Destructor D]

Hawaii -13.5 for 10* - Washington's secondary is horrid and should be shredded by Brennan tonight. Washington's travel problems make this play even better. I hate switching from my original play, but Hawaii needs to make a statement and win big so they can hopefully get a solid opponent in a BCS bowl game.

GLTA

 

[Destructor D]

Pittsburgh +28.5 for 10* - I know, I know... Pittsburgh really sucks! However, their offense actually came alive late last week and getting 5 scores to start a game definately wets my appetite. Add in the fact the favorites came out of the gate roaring and I'll take a shot with the Panthers.

Adding Missouri ML +140 for 6* & 1st half +2.5 for 5*... I really like Missouri to win this game. I know the SI cover jinx, etc, but Missouri should prevail IMO.

 

[Destructor D]

Going to need a miracle from Boston College as they haven't moved the ball since the 2nd quarter...

I guess take every Favorite today as they're dominating... not good for dog bettors like myself.

 

[hedgehog]

agree with you, Missouri will win tonight and it will not even be close.

 

[bryanz]

Army game plan was ????? they should have thrown the ball 45 to 55 times....