Bowl Trends

[c20916]

I knew there was some stats about how Fav's do pre and post I thought it was New Years Day bowls, but found in one of AR182's threads from last year it's actually pre and post Christmas day bowl games. I took the stats from 03-05 and updated them with last year here are the stats:

Overall from 03-06

Pre X-Mas bowl games

Favorite is 21-3 SU and 17-7 ATS

Post X-Mas day bowl games

Fav is 51-40 SU and 32-57 ATS

Last year in the pre x-mas day bowl games the fav went 5-2 both SU and ATS, the two losses the Dog won outright. And the post X-mas games the Fav went 15-9 SU and 8-16 ATS.

Feel free to post any other bowl trends in this thread.

 

[AR182]

c2....

i'm not betting the bowls this year, but will post anything that i come across in my travels...

got this from another site..don't know how accurate it is...

PLAY AGAINST
Favorites entering their Bowl game off of two or more consecutive losses.

Theory: (It can be argued that a team that has lost two or more games can look at its Bowl game in one of two ways - either it's a chance to end the season on a positive note and make amends for a disappointing finish to what had been a very good season (after all, even a 6-5 team was 6-3 or better before their end of season losing streak). Or, such a team might not be interested in continuing what had been a promising season but which had turned sour down the stretch. Often such a team that is made the Underdog in this situation is a team that had overachieved during the regular season and looks upon this Bowl game as a reward and chance to show they really are an improved team. A Favorite in this spot is more apt to be a team that had higher aspirations but whose late season collapse relegated that team to a much lesser Bowl than had looked likely before the losing streak set in.)

Source: "The 10 Commandments for Betting the Bowls"

2007 Contenders to FADE:

PURDUE: (3 consecutive losses)
ALABAMA: (4 consecutive losses)
CALIFORNIA: (3 consecutive losses)

good luck...

 

[AR182]

again haven't verified this....

Play ON bowl underdogs of 7 points or more.

62% covers since 1974
11-1 ats two years ago.
Was not profitable last year so could rebound this year.

The Contenders:

NAVY
SO. MISS
ECU
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN
ILLINOIS
HAWAII
BALL ST

good luck.

 

[c20916]

Adding to the two loss teams coming in if Kentucky stays the fav, they lost their last two games so they would be a play against.