Heading out the door for a lovely brunch at the pub. Not too much time for a write up.
HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL....
First 08 plays!!!!
Tenn (-2) over Wisky
The Volunteers ranked 11th in the SEC in total defense (407.6 ypg). They get a break because Hill did not practice and should not play in this game since his injury. The badgers have the edge at O line but I like Ainge to lead whoever he has at WR to some points.
Arkansas (+3) over Mizzou
MCFADDEN 1st game sonce losing the hiesman... he might have a little extra motivation in this. Mizzou might be a little pissed Kansas is in a BCS game and they are not.
Texas Tech (-6) over UVA
No way the Wahoos defense can stay in this game, TT should pass for a ton of yards and out score them almost 3 to 1. UVA just does not have the offense to go score for score with Texas Tech and I think the Wahoo defense will struggle with the WR sets. The Red Raiders average over 200 yards per game more than the Cavaliers!!!!! A fantastic bowl team under head coach Mike Leach, winning four of the last five. Virginia, who has won three of its last four bowl games. TT must get ahead because UVA Jameel Sewell is a good talent with a knack for making things happen, but he's not a passer and if put into a throw situation the TT talent in the secondary can get some turnovers. The four Texas Tech losses this year came on the four of the biggest running days allowed, with Oklahoma State tearing off 366 yards, Missouri running for 212, Colorado running for 217, and Texas running for 283. Only one win, over UTEP, came when the opponent ran for more than 200 yards. I do not think UVA's Simpson is capable of a day like that if TT takes a lead and forces the Wahoos to abandon the run. The Wahoos have a Good D-line and active LB's but they lack talent in the secondary and that is a plus today. Long is a stud but he alone cannot stop TT.
Mich (+10.5) over Florida
Mich struggles ith speed and spread.... Fla will run both. DANGER but I think the wolverines have the talent and the time off to show Florida something. Remember Henne, Hart, Long, Manningham were an title contender before week one. Only two teams ran for more than 100 yards on Florida, LSU and Georgia, while Auburn ran for 99 yards, the third most allowed by the D. Look for Grahm to shade Tebow, He is a smaller Michigan LB with a good amount of speed and should be a good fit as a tebow shadow. Florida's three losses came on its three worst running games of the year, netting 111 against Auburn, 156 against LSU and 107 against Georgia. Florida might be the defending national champion, but it's hardly flawless. There's little running game outside of Tebow, the secondary can be beaten by anyone who throws with any consistency, and when smashed in the mouth, the defensive front can be shoved around. This is going to be a very focused and Healthy Wolverine team that will not back down and they have enough talent at QB and WR to exploit the secondary of floriday. They also have Hart but the best bet for Mich is to tghrow early to open up the run. The coaching match up is a little scary because no one on the mich staff really cares too much and on floridas side over the last three years, if you include openers, Meyer is 13-0 when having more than a week to prepare for a game.
Cheers
Irish