Bowl Thread (Dec 20th -Jan 6th)

Theboundbook

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Agree. Got under 21.5 and have UCF in the game.. Like them again (UCF)., but gonna leave it alone. Did you see how they are beginning to crush the offensive line of MISS ST. They are just getting to the QB instantly! Look for some more fumbles out of Miss St backfield...


That could have been the game winner there for UCF. And they miss a 32 yard FG. Unblv.... OT could really fook things up here. Lets get another quick 3 and out for MISS ST.,
 

Irish

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Agreed.... did you see that swing pass hit.... how did he hold onto the ball???

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Theboundbook

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Another one missed. From 37 yds!

WTF?

UCF OWNS THIS TEAM! This game was in the books if one of those 2 had hit..... Now Miss St has hope, and a poss. of momentum..... Have the QB kick next time, or even fly me in. I can make a 37 ydr or less.
 

Irish

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Yeah the under was big, can't believe that kicker?????

A&M/PSU UNDER (52)

Also
Celts (-5.5) over Utah
Jazz played last night and got hammered.

NE/NYG OVER (46.5)
Pats are averaging a high number Billichek will want this record. Brady wants the TD record, Moss wants his record and the G-men will try to keep pace.

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Irish

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Colorado (+4.5) over Bama
Bama has been down since the LSU game 36 points in the past three games isn't something that will win a lot of games. That unability to move the ball and score points will be key in not taking advantage of a Colorado may be 101st in the nation in pass defense, 76th in pass efficiency defense and 93rd in sacks. Can the buff take advantage when they get the ball on offense? The Buffaloes often stalled, however, ranking last in the Big 12 in third-down conversions with a .345 percentage. Both team should be happy to be invited to this game but I like the way the buffalo defense and offense show up in bigger games. Tonight the Buf's lead by Hawkins should be able to take advantage of a bama team that is not playing very good football right now.

COL/BAMA OVER (51.5)

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Irish

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Colorado (-3) over Bama 2nd half
The bufs have some momentum going into the half and that might be huge with the second half colapse bama has had this season.

Celtics (+2.5) over Lakers
Yes this is a monster road trip and the boys in green played last night but I think they win this game. They have the ability to get a huge night from a few players.

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Irish

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Cal (-4.5) over Air Force
This comes down to if Cal wants to play in this game. After all the bears are 6-6 and looked pretty shabby towards the end of the season. On the other side is a very excieted Air Force team that has been playing well this season and will be very motivated against this team. Bears rank 109th nationally in tackles for loss with 5.0 per game. Cal is 58th nationally against the run (151.92 yards per game) and will be going against the country's No. 2 running attack (298.5 yards per game). Cal will be without their best WR for some period of time but I think he will get in there at some point. The break for thebears will help them get focused and ready and this Bears team WAS the #2 team in the nation at one point. They also beat a tough duck team in oregon. But as I said things have fallen apart of late for the bears but a bowl win and a overall winning record is a solid finish for this team. Air Force allowed just more than two yards per game more than it did in 2006, but it gave up just 19.3 points per game -- the 18th-best mark in the nation and nearly six points less per game than it gave up in 2006. The Falcons also caused 26 turnovers and made key goal-line stands in victories over Utah and UNLV. Cal's run defense vs. Chad Hall. Air Force was 9-0 when a player ran for more than 100 yards and 8-1 when it out-rushed opponents. This leads me to my key of the game... Forsett, he needs to touch the ball and touch it often. He is a guy that can keep the ball in Cals hands and make the falcon defense get a little tired. Both the head coach and defensive Co are first year coaches and I am not ure they will handle the time off as well as tedford. Cal has the advantage in talent and speed but they will lack it in the heart department if they down care about this game. All week long the air force coaches have been trying to motivate his players by talking about how big Cal is but I think the bears do have a match up advantage on o-line and they need to show it. Longshore plays like he did in September. With Jackson, Lavelle Hawkins, Robert Jordan, and Craig Stevens running patterns, the Bears should exploit the Air Force secondary. Cal LB Zack Follett and FS Thomas DeCoud need to be all over Hall... they stik on him like Miss St did on Kevin Smith and it will be a very tough day for the falcons. This really comes down to if the bears want to be here and at 6-6 I think they would be motivated to finish with a inning record and if they come to play they have the edge.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Looks like Cal would rather be sufing than playing football, AF running past guys....

Oregon (+6) over SF
The bulls are a strong lean for me because they are the defensively sound and have a good QB but I like the spread offense the ducks have against the bulls secondary. The ducks needed the extra time to get the QB set up in the offense and I think they will see a better offense then over the past few games. Because of injuries, Oregon has peeled the roster to find a Sun Bowl quarterback. South Florida's swarming defense will face a redshirt freshman, though Bellotti won't say if he'll start Cody Kempt or Justin Roper. Both were at the bottom of the depth chart back in fall camp. Kempt took over when Dixon's replacement, Brady Leaf, was hurt against UCLA, then Kempt was knocked out of the Oregon State game the next week. Roper took over in that one, throwing a 31-yard TD strike on his first throw. They have been in a tail spin but they have the talent at WR, a true RB and the ability to counter SF on offense. South Florida is in its 11th season, a national success story for Leavitt's work-from-scratch approach. Only a few ago, the coaching offices were in trailers and now the program is one game from its first 10-win season. The Bulls were 6-0 and ranked No. 2 when they lost 30-27 at Rutgers on Oct. 18, the first setback in a three-game losing streak.



GT (-6) over Fresno
Choice and the blitzing defense should be enough. Fresno allows almost 5 yards per carry on the ground and with a running game established the QB can make big plays down field. This will also be a game the coaching staff blitzes all the time to get fresno completely uncomfortable. I like the running game of the jackets to establish themselves and make the under sized Fresno team suffer all day until they beat them in the air. This match up is very favorable to the jackets and they need to use the team speed. Fresno State finds ways to run the ball. The Bulldogs are averaging 204 yards on the ground per game, tied for 16th in the nation. But the jackets have one of the most aggressive defensies in the country.


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Irish

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Kentucky (-9.5) over FSU
Scattered clouds. Mild. 62 ?F, Wind: 6.89 mph
Thats 6.89 almost 7 mph, not too bad for a QB and thats good news for woodson. Kentucky's explosive offense should be able to put up points against a Florida State defense that has surrendered at least 40 points in two of its last three games. Stopping the run has been a liability of the Wildcats all season. But the Seminoles have struggled to mount much of rushing attack this season, averaging only 121 yards per game. FSU has struggles on offense all season, I think the kent defense will be good enough to make it hard for them again today. I think FSU is a very good and fast defense but with Little John back in the game and Woodson the cats can keep the game plan mixed up and the noles off balance. Losing 4 of Kents last 5 (5 of last 7) should motivate the cats enough. They are a team that needed the time to regroup and get refocused. This is a good Kent team that needs to be healthy and ready to play FSU. The noles with all the off field stuff are short handed but I think Kent tries to rebound of a bad finish.

Okie St (-4) over Indiana
Oklahoma State is one of only two Division I-A schools averaging more than 235 yards per game rushing (245.8) and passing (238.3) this season (Houston is the other). The Cowboys gained more than 500 yards of total offense six times, including a season-high 610 yards against Texas Tech. They converted 47 percent of their third-down opportunities and allowed only 11 sacks in 12 games. The Hoosiers allowed a smidge less than 400 yards per game to rank near the bottom of the Big Ten in most defensive categories. That could be a problem facing an Oklahoma State offense that delivered 485 yards and 33 points per game. The Cowboys' offense could be boosted by the return of WR Adarius Bowman, who is recovering from a knee injury that cost him two games. The Big 12's most generous pass defense gave up 292.8 yards per game and 25 touchdowns through the air. The run defense was burned for 307 yards by both Texas and Oklahoma. The Cowboys had 66 tackles for loss, 21 sacks, 12 interceptions and seven fumble recoveries. In the Big 12, only Nebraska (61) and Baylor (66) allowed more red-zone penetrations than Oklahoma State (59). This should be a SHOUTOUT, both teams have the ability to score and the lack of defense you would think both teams will be able to pass and run with ease. In that case I like the Cowboys because they have an offense built for these type of games.

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Irish

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Heading out the door for a lovely brunch at the pub. Not too much time for a write up.

HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL....
First 08 plays!!!!

Tenn (-2) over Wisky
The Volunteers ranked 11th in the SEC in total defense (407.6 ypg). They get a break because Hill did not practice and should not play in this game since his injury. The badgers have the edge at O line but I like Ainge to lead whoever he has at WR to some points.


Arkansas (+3) over Mizzou
MCFADDEN 1st game sonce losing the hiesman... he might have a little extra motivation in this. Mizzou might be a little pissed Kansas is in a BCS game and they are not.

Texas Tech (-6) over UVA
No way the Wahoos defense can stay in this game, TT should pass for a ton of yards and out score them almost 3 to 1. UVA just does not have the offense to go score for score with Texas Tech and I think the Wahoo defense will struggle with the WR sets. The Red Raiders average over 200 yards per game more than the Cavaliers!!!!! A fantastic bowl team under head coach Mike Leach, winning four of the last five. Virginia, who has won three of its last four bowl games. TT must get ahead because UVA Jameel Sewell is a good talent with a knack for making things happen, but he's not a passer and if put into a throw situation the TT talent in the secondary can get some turnovers. The four Texas Tech losses this year came on the four of the biggest running days allowed, with Oklahoma State tearing off 366 yards, Missouri running for 212, Colorado running for 217, and Texas running for 283. Only one win, over UTEP, came when the opponent ran for more than 200 yards. I do not think UVA's Simpson is capable of a day like that if TT takes a lead and forces the Wahoos to abandon the run. The Wahoos have a Good D-line and active LB's but they lack talent in the secondary and that is a plus today. Long is a stud but he alone cannot stop TT.

Mich (+10.5) over Florida
Mich struggles ith speed and spread.... Fla will run both. DANGER but I think the wolverines have the talent and the time off to show Florida something. Remember Henne, Hart, Long, Manningham were an title contender before week one. Only two teams ran for more than 100 yards on Florida, LSU and Georgia, while Auburn ran for 99 yards, the third most allowed by the D. Look for Grahm to shade Tebow, He is a smaller Michigan LB with a good amount of speed and should be a good fit as a tebow shadow. Florida's three losses came on its three worst running games of the year, netting 111 against Auburn, 156 against LSU and 107 against Georgia. Florida might be the defending national champion, but it's hardly flawless. There's little running game outside of Tebow, the secondary can be beaten by anyone who throws with any consistency, and when smashed in the mouth, the defensive front can be shoved around. This is going to be a very focused and Healthy Wolverine team that will not back down and they have enough talent at QB and WR to exploit the secondary of floriday. They also have Hart but the best bet for Mich is to tghrow early to open up the run. The coaching match up is a little scary because no one on the mich staff really cares too much and on floridas side over the last three years, if you include openers, Meyer is 13-0 when having more than a week to prepare for a game.

Cheers
Irish
 
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Irish

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Added a little more detail to the 1:00 games in the post before.
Re-hit
Hawaii (+7.5) over Georgia
This is a very scary game because I think Georgia is playing VERY well and have a lot of talent that Hawaii will not be able to defend. Troy runs a bit of the spread and they were able to keep it within 10 and thats impressive because they do not have near the talent of Hawaii. I mean Georgia is a good team losing to only So. Carolina and Tennesse... that Tennesse game and the vols ability to pass is why I give hawaii a shot at playing with the tougher team being Georgia. I'll take the 7.5 but the warriors need to be very productive, they cannot sit or sputter because georgia is too good, But I think Brennan and the talent around him on offense especially at o-line should keep them moving the ball.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Ill (+13.5) over USC
Ill (ML) +410) over USC

HARD Nose... The Illini have to come with a chip on their shoulder. The chip should be they beat OSU in the shoe and they are given no chance to win. They have talent at running back, WR, QB. I do think the trojans have the edge on defense but don't be surprised if the Illini play well enough to get to Booty a pocket passer. This should be a good one is the Illini don't get caught up in the scale of the game. I think the OSU game got this team ready for this event.

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Irish
 

Irish

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It has been a tough bowl season, looks like I have lost more than I made. Been on the wrong side of almost every fumble or mistake...Texas tech does not show up at all till the forth, Ill looks like a new team starting the second half only to fumble and throw a pick. Hawaii....scared for the get go looked like a rec team, 2 penalties on the first two snaps and kick catch interfears on the punt. Arkansas and UCF showing no matter how good of a running game you have a bad qb will screw you.

oh well thats the way the coin drops.

so this is my final post of the bowl season. I have already completed write ups on
LSU (-4) over ohio st
okie (-5.5) over WVU

so I HAMMERED those again.....and I am adding
VT (-3.5) over kansas
The defense of VT will be too much for reesing. remember mizzou shut the out in that huge game. Kansas is a good team but they have avoided all the tough big 12 games...no texas, no okie, no tex tech (not great but still) The have one good win and thats vs okie st. the only very good team they played manhandled them for 3 quarters. Concerns...Hall in questionable, Ore is out for a quarter but I still expect the front 4 of VT to make it impossible for the kansas running attack and ressing. look at kansas's opposition...not one of them play defense....I think the VT offense will be able to move the ball and if the hokies stay away for the kansas all american corner they should do just fine. I want to see Taylor in this game because I think he will run all over their defense.

tulsa (-5) over bowling green
I am sorry, bg is just not that good...either is tulsa but paul smith is the best player on the fiekd and should have a field day throwing on this defense. bg is not good enough offensively to stay in this game.

4 plays
all huge......make or break time.
over extended a little bit on these but lets spin the wheel!

guys it has been a lot of fun...good luck to you all see you next fall or from time to time in another forum.

its a 4 game season boys.....
Cheers
Irish
 

tulah

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GL tonight with OU. I got it at -7 about 2 weeks ago. I may add some more on them tonight.

Happy New Year
 
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