Mon Home Totals System -- Teams for the Week

LordofBalls

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Mon Home Totals System - teams involved

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This is a screwy time of yr schedule-wise, lots of 5 gm homestands, homestands starting mid-wk, or starting on a friday and going into midweek...

As I mentioned last week, I look at teams that start homestands on Mon or Tues and play the rest of the wk cuz the betting wk ends Sunday for me...

I did not include Phillies, Clev, Dodgers in y-days plays (they all won) because their home series had started on Friday, and they continue at home this week, philly all week... you can include them if you want. Schedules do get more 'normal' in a month or so...


Results from Last Week 10 - 1
*If you bet Kc the full amt, all 5 bets you lost $$, which is why I was trying to warn people about being careful, and selective...bad weather, bad hitting, shaky this early....
No bet amt has to be set in stone...
lets hope they all hit this week and the sooner the better

(Note: I will bet KC to go over next time theyre at hm, but will mark it as a loss for the system)

This Week:

1st gm Mon (Bet Tues) == Balt

1st gm Tue (Bet Wed) == Fla, Cubs, StL, Phil (Phillies starting fresh even tho been at hm 3 gms, hit y-day, hav 6 more hm gms this week)

1st gm Wed (Bet Thur) == A's, Tor


Run Line System......... can work the same way... home tms, home all week... ck last weeks results... was there one hom team that failed to win on the run line at least once?

Any thoughts on this subject?
You'd have to bet them starting game #1, but again, the advantage is... little or no juice usually, unless huge favs....
*I think these are correct, not certain, but you get the idea*
Rays -- gm 3
Tex--gm 2
RSox-- gm 1
Kc -- gm 1
WSox-- gm 1
Astros -- gm 1
Dbacks -- gm 1
Giants -- gm 2
Mets -- gm 2
**Pirates -- gm 4
**Nationals..... gm 3
**maybe wouldnt bet them at all, maybe should have a certain win %?? but they finally won outright on Sunday... i think they were dogs
 
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LordofBalls

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McVegas....

was just wondering if you played the Sea gm under.... you know it was the one we talked about with only a 5 gm homestand?

so... theres another 4 winners in last 2 days... but they are outside the parameters I set up last wk...

GL to us All :SIB
 

McVegas

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Did not play it......sticking to 6 games or more. I will play the games that start on the weekends, I have no problem with it carrying over into the next week.
 

McVegas

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I did a quick check on your run-line system....looks like it would be 26-1 for the year with the one loser being very costly (Detroit losing first six home games.....OUCH!!) Might be a good idea to set some parameters on this (like Cisco does with his chase methods)...anyway i will keep an eye on this and see how it plays out. Good luck.
 

LordofBalls

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McVegas,

Im not sure what type of parameters could be set...
I know I would notttt be chasing the full amt the last few days... its just not worth it to lose all that $$ on one team...esp w/weather issues sometimes

Also... when these home tms are dogs... you can either play them to just win outright (@ plus $)
or.... if theyre slight favs... just lay a little juice... -25 or less?? or... just lay the rl and get big juice back

These systems will work, if we dont get caught up chasing the huge plays.

the home fav system requires a 47% winning record i think? but this system seems to work w/ all teams...

I think its worth tracking it... I'm using the same sheet as the totals system (using diff colored hi-liters lol)...

Im open to ideas or options... but I believe its worth following and looking for the best situations...

I think the safest way would be to wait a few gms into the series... see who is still remaining and play them... kinda like waiting til a gm 2 or 3 w/the home fav system or something...
 

McVegas

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I was thinking about staying away from teams with a losing record or maybe just a losing home record....something like that. I know what you mean about not chasing for the full amount when there are other factors involved (bad weather).....good luck, we will see how this plays out.
 
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