Home Team Totals System - Wed 6/18

[LordofBalls]

hi guys....

sshhhh....very good results y-day...:SIB
colo Over... Winner
philly Under... Winner
wsox Over... Winner

also had r/l winners w/milw, colo, phil, yanx, wsox
ml winners w/sea, twins, tbay

and hit an 8tm parlay... 12 bucks won $1027... as an old boss of mine used to say...turned birdseed into elephant shit :mj07: i knew what he meant lol

PRIMARY SYSTEM - Wed Plays
*Yanks gm OVER... Bet #1
*Twins gm OVER... Bet #1
*Milw gm OVER... Bet #1
*TBay gm OVER... Bet #1

r/l plays....
Tbay- i may wait until fri vs hou...
Twins... broke even y-day... will try again
Sea... they were part of the 8tmr y-day... may cut em loose... were up 5-1 and held on 5-4 yday

Primary System ytd... 98-2.... 4 pending...
Secondary System ytd... 62-0....

:SIB :00hour Best of Luck to USALL!! :00hour :SIB

 

[PJ12]

WTG

:toast:

 

[McVegas]

I show MIN as a R/L play....good luck.

 

[LordofBalls]

I show MIN as a R/L play....good luck.

agreed... twins are r/l play... nats due for road letdown... hopefully tonite!

keep on keeping on buddy!

LoB :SIB

 

[redrooster]

it would be very much appreciated if someone could explain the r/l system to me.:shrug: and thanks lob for your work and a great total system. good luck

 

[McVegas]

it would be very much appreciated if someone could explain the r/l system to me.:shrug: and thanks lob for your work and a great total system. good luck

Find a team starting a home stand of 6 or more games and play them with the run line (chase until it hits). Record stands at 135-2 with SEA, ARZ, MIN, and TB still pending. TB R/L has been doing well, I believe they have not gone more than 3 games in a row without winning by 2 or more (at home).

 

[gsp]

WTG yesterday. Not only do I show Minn winning today but it's a very strong rl play. Good luck to us all today.

 

[redrooster]

so since tb is the dog today i would play them on the alt r/l? thanks.

 

[McVegas]

so since tb is the dog today i would play them on the alt r/l? thanks.

That's what I did, but the record reflects using the + 1 1/2 runs (just so you know) when applicable.

 

[Harley Race]

That's what I did, but the record reflects using the + 1 1/2 runs (just so you know) when applicable.

So....all r/l plays are -1.5 if they are favored and +1.5 if the dog?

 

[LordofBalls]

So....all r/l plays are -1.5 if they are favored and +1.5 if the dog?

Harley...
i popped bk in and saw ur question, allow me to answer for McVegas (who has been keeping the r/l record so far)

you can play as u wish... r/l or alt r/l... sometimes they both win... we all hav seen even the worst teams get wins and can beat anybody on occasion...

Basically... Youre betting on the Home Team to get a win by 2 or more, and U dont wanna lay much juice...
Object is to win $$ on each Home Team that week... sometimes i win more on some tms than others... im ok w/that...
A friend of mine plays the money line on all these "system teams" and only occasionally the r/l...
w/Me its the other way around... I will always put $$ on the r/l... and usually some on the ml too.. but i hate laying above -130.. so i'll just take my chance on the r/l...
Im not sure if you'd call that "playing it safe" or just the opposite of "safe"... but the juice is much smaller...

EXample from Tues Nite:
played the WSox...(i had lost 120 on them the other day)
105/60 ml
140/154 rl
10/19 -2.5 rl
total = +233 woohoooo!

also played colo... (had lost 112 on them Mon)
126/110 ml
75/124 rl
total = +234 woohoooo!

played yanx
90/99 rl
10/18 -2.5 rl
total = +117

played Milw
85/70 ml
60/108 rl
total = +178

played Twins
115/100 ml
85/145 rl (lost)
25/60 -2.5 rl
total = -10

played Sea
150/95 ml
165/223 rl (lost)
total = -70

played tbay
42/30 ml
30/45 rl
total = even

played rsox (not in system)
50/53 ml
20/33 rl
total = +86

When a team is an outright dog (like Kc, or the Nationals, or Sea, or SF) sometimes u get a good price at +1.5...
so... I'll play them at +1.5... and some on ml... and sometimes even smaller amt on -1.5 if i like their chances more that day...
if that dog comes in at +1.5...thats a win on the system.. and its done very well so far...
the other alt r/l's are just me trying to get a little extra...which can also happen... go bk n ck scores since wk #2 for all home teams...

After they get their one win... youre done with them.... you win a unit...

Rarely do Home Teams go an entire week w/o winning a game... but it happd to Tigers Wk #1 (i started the system the next week btw) so it CAN happen...

Like McVegas said...
TBay has done very well @ -1.5... so have the RSox... and 10 days ago the Wsox won all 6 of their hm gms by the runline... look for good tms on a hot streak... it can help the $$ pocketbook!

You may start out some tms for higher amts on r/l than others... :shrug:
i do... not drastically.. but i do...

$$$ MGMT IS UP TO YOU... Be careful out there... :SIB

BestofLuck!!

 

[Harley Race]

Harley...
i popped bk in and saw ur question, allow me to answer for McVegas (who has been keeping the r/l record so far)

you can play as u wish... r/l or alt r/l... sometimes they both win... we all hav seen even the worst teams get wins and can beat anybody on occasion...

Basically... Youre betting on the Home Team to get a win by 2 or more, and U dont wanna lay much juice...
Object is to win $$ on each Home Team that week... sometimes i win more on some tms than others... im ok w/that...
A friend of mine plays the money line on all these "system teams" and only occasionally the r/l...
w/Me its the other way around... I will always put $$ on the r/l... and usually some on the ml too.. but i hate laying above -130.. so i'll just take my chance on the r/l...
Im not sure if you'd call that "playing it safe" or just the opposite of "safe"... but the juice is much smaller...

EXample from Tues Nite:
played the WSox...(i had lost 120 on them the other day)
105/60 ml
140/154 rl
10/19 -2.5 rl
total = +233 woohoooo!

also played colo... (had lost 112 on them Mon)
126/110 ml
75/124 rl
total = +234 woohoooo!

played yanx
90/99 rl
10/18 -2.5 rl
total = +117

played Milw
85/70 ml
60/108 rl
total = +178

played Twins
115/100 ml
85/145 rl (lost)
25/60 -2.5 rl
total = -10

played Sea
150/95 ml
165/223 rl (lost)
total = -70

played tbay
42/30 ml
30/45 rl
total = even

played rsox (not in system)
50/53 ml
20/33 rl
total = +86

When a team is an outright dog (like Kc, or the Nationals, or Sea, or SF) sometimes u get a good price at +1.5...
so... I'll play them at +1.5... and some on ml... and sometimes even smaller amt on -1.5 if i like their chances more that day...
if that dog comes in at +1.5...thats a win on the system.. and its done very well so far...
the other alt r/l's are just me trying to get a little extra...which can also happen... go bk n ck scores since wk #2 for all home teams...

After they get their one win... youre done with them.... you win a unit...

Rarely do Home Teams go an entire week w/o winning a game... but it happd to Tigers Wk #1 (i started the system the next week btw) so it CAN happen...

Like McVegas said...
TBay has done very well @ -1.5... so have the RSox... and 10 days ago the Wsox won all 6 of their hm gms by the runline... look for good tms on a hot streak... it can help the $$ pocketbook!

You may start out some tms for higher amts on r/l than others... :shrug:
i do... not drastically.. but i do...

$$$ MGMT IS UP TO YOU... Be careful out there... :SIB

BestofLuck!!

hey...appreciate the time and explanation...I went back and saw where the other day you listed a few teams that you were putting on a 'hazard' list...so I guess you basically play the teams that are at least .500?

Thanks again....seems like a solid, safe addition to the capping arsenal.

 

[redrooster]

thanks for the info.

 

[rawli007]

Just my 2 cents..

Just my 2 cents..

So....all r/l plays are -1.5 if they are favored and +1.5 if the dog?

If home team is a +1.5 dog I just play the home team ML or not at all.. has worked out well for me.. Make educated plays that fit within the system.. and definitely steer clear of the weak teams..

GL

 

[LordofBalls]

Harley....

the Hazardous List...

Was created out of frustration watching Seattle blow gm after gm to the Nationals!! seemingly w/o a professional effort...

But... Hazardous List makes sense to me!
refers to r'l plays on teams with the worst records...bad teams...

Sea... (been the worst tm in the league the last 2 wks)
Kc... good group of starters... much improved over last few yrs... but wins still hard to come by sometimes... gotta b careful
Nats... right down nr the bottom...
SF... bad overall.. but i have spot played them well...
SD... alot better w/Peavy back.. esp when he's at home... ml always too high, but r/l worth a shot
others?? :shrug:

It varies... teams go in streaks... playing well for awhile, then in da shitter...

If they were always consistent... betting would be easy wouldnt it??

Cisco's "Home Favorite System" requires tms to be at least .470 record.... now i see why...

its cuz it sucks watchin shitty tms eat into your bankroll lol...

So!

I will continue to play the "shitty teams" ... becuz all teams win at least one game when at home all week nearly every time...
BUT...
I will reduce the amt of the bet significantly... and possibly spot play them, not bet automatically, and be happy with any winnings on them I can get...

:SIB LoB :SIB

 

[Harley Race]

Thanks man, appreciate the info & the time out to help, much appreciated.

 

[LordofBalls]

I hit the following 5 plays PLUS Arizona r/l... and 2 first inning bets... and did not win a parlay bet... oh my...
but thats allllllright.... heres the good news...

PRIMARY SYSTEM - Wed Plays
*Yanks gm OVER... Bet #1...WINNER
*Twins gm OVER... Bet #1... WINNER
*Milw gm OVER... Bet #1... WINNER
*TBay gm OVER... Bet #1... WINNER
r/l plays....
Tbay- i may wait until fri vs hou... I DID NOT PLAY...
Twins... broke even y-day... will try again...BIG WINNER
Sea... they were part of the 8tmr y-day... may cut em loose... were up 5-1 and held on 5-4 yday... DNP...

and the people said... AMEN!! :00hour

Primary System ytd... 102-2.... 0 pending...
Secondary System ytd... 62-0....

:SIB cya tomorrow... g'nite my friends...